Kole Calhoun - Historic 1st/2nd Half Split?

[101halo]

29 minutes ago, Jeff Fletcher said:

https://www.baseball-reference.com/tiny/d235W

Just the Angels

Oh and thanks for reminding us why Valbuena is still on the team. Last year's back half resurgence led me to think he'd go back to being pretty good this year. Oops. 

[Jeff Fletcher]

1 hour ago, 101halo said:

Thanks Jeff! I actually started at bbref since I do pay, but didn't think to do it that way. Based on specifically requiring that you had to suck, bad, in the 1st half, I'd take out the 10 of first 25 that ended up with 900+ overall. I'd consider those "fine first half, monster second half guys," a little different than what I wanted. So, based on some back of the envelope math, Calhoun has an outside shot at landing in that 10-15 range all time. Would be awesome! 

You’d do the same thing I did, but search for first halves below, say, a .550 OPS and then do it in reverse, for the largest negative difference from their overall OPS.

[101halo]

1 hour ago, Jeff Fletcher said:

You’d do the same thing I did, but search for first halves below, say, a .550 OPS and then do it in reverse, for the largest negative difference from their overall OPS.

Yep!  Just hadn't gotten around to it yet, but thanks for the push, just did.  Same criteria as my first post, but goes back 30 years now (BBRef only allows 300 records to be exported at once, from what i can tell, so still limited it, but at least tripled the seasons included).  Kole still leading, but obviously when you see 5 of the top 11 from this year in limited time, no guarantee it'll hold up.  Kole's 80+ PA of keeping this up along with his massive lead over Clayton's 2011 full season gives me hope, though!

			1st Half		2nd Half
Rnk	Player	Year	PA	OPS	PA	OPS	OPS Var
1	Kole Calhoun	2018	279	0.556	31	1.234	0.678
2	Ian Kinsler	2018	354	0.647	29	1.283	0.636
3	Victor Martinez	2018	326	0.587	25	1.207	0.620
4	Freddy Galvis	2018	392	0.613	26	0.983	0.370
5	Royce Clayton	2001	228	0.532	257	0.866	0.334
6	Dan Uggla	2011	374	0.621	298	0.948	0.327
7	Steve Finley	2001	313	0.631	235	0.949	0.318
8	Freddy Sanchez	2008	384	0.556	224	0.862	0.306
9	J.J. Hardy	2005	219	0.560	208	0.865	0.305
10	Byron Buxton	2017	283	0.594	228	0.893	0.299
11	Dee Gordon	2018	382	0.648	26	0.940	0.292
12	Ernie Whitt	1988	247	0.622	221	0.913	0.291
13	Asdrubal Cabrera	2015	325	0.627	226	0.916	0.289
14	Paul Konerko	2003	258	0.568	237	0.853	0.285
15	Carlos Gonzalez	2017	298	0.637	236	0.921	0.284
16	Felipe Lopez	2008	327	0.619	205	0.903	0.284
17	Jorge Polanco	2017	287	0.596	257	0.870	0.274
18	Royce Clayton	1999	228	0.639	292	0.912	0.273
19	Joe Crede	2003	331	0.624	249	0.892	0.268
20	Darren Daulton	1990	247	0.643	293	0.899	0.256
21	Oddibe McDowell	1989	300	0.603	278	0.852	0.249
22	Ramon Hernandez	2001	283	0.613	226	0.862	0.249
23	Brett Butler	1995	289	0.630	307	0.873	0.243
24	Coco Crisp	2012	247	0.617	261	0.859	0.242
25	Omar Infante	2011	386	0.601	254	0.842	0.241

[101halo]

11 hours ago, Lou said:

@101halo

damn, this is great work. appreciate your effort.  what Kole has done since returning from his coughinjurycough has been remarkable. 

(now do best-to-worst)

Ask and ye shall receive, thanks to @Jeff Fletcher recommendation on how to do it faster.  Last 30 years, reverse logic.  Our old friend Brennan Boesch says, "wuts up?"

			1st Half		2nd Half
Rnk	Player	Year	PA	OPS	PA	OPS	OPS Var
1	Brennan Boesch	2010	267	0.990	245	0.458	-0.532
2	Mookie Betts	2018	355	1.139	34	0.671	-0.468
3	Jesus Aguilar	2018	316	0.995	26	0.535	-0.460
4	Fernando Tatis	2002	226	0.881	204	0.502	-0.379
5	Scooter Gennett	2018	389	0.894	28	0.526	-0.368
6	Jermaine Dye	2009	328	0.942	246	0.590	-0.352
7	Chris Sabo	1988	333	0.877	249	0.526	-0.351
8	Gary Sheffield	2007	371	0.970	222	0.624	-0.346
9	Mark Trumbo	2012	313	0.965	273	0.630	-0.335
10	Brandon Inge	2009	345	0.876	292	0.542	-0.334
11	Charles Johnson	2001	287	0.914	209	0.581	-0.333
12	Nick Castellanos	2018	409	0.877	28	0.548	-0.329
13	Ed Sprague	1999	349	0.947	215	0.620	-0.327
14	Lonnie Chisenhall	2014	298	0.915	235	0.591	-0.324
15	Jake Lamb	2016	329	0.983	265	0.663	-0.320
16	Joey Votto	2018	422	0.863	28	0.543	-0.320
17	Derek Bell	2000	375	0.897	247	0.587	-0.310
18	Luke Scott	2009	263	0.976	243	0.667	-0.309
19	Xander Bogaerts	2018	348	0.889	27	0.593	-0.296
20	Brandon Moss	2014	364	0.878	216	0.584	-0.294
21	Buster Posey	2013	367	0.931	228	0.643	-0.288
22	Michael Saunders	2016	344	0.923	214	0.638	-0.285
23	Marcell Ozuna	2016	353	0.892	255	0.609	-0.283
24	Jeromy Burnitz	2003	259	0.925	246	0.643	-0.282
25	Joe Carter	1996	383	0.908	299	0.626	-0.282

[101halo]

No player has both a worst to best and a best to worst season, though Jermaine Dye comes closest in 2007 (huge rebound) and 2009 (fell off a cliff). His 2007 first half was sub 700 but not below my sub 650 criteria. 

[Pujols4MVP]

From -1.2 WAR to 0.1 WAR thats incredible.

[101halo]

15 minutes ago, Scioscia4MVP said:

From -1.2 WAR to 0.1 WAR thats incredible.

It sounds bad because of the starting point for sure. I think of it as he has +1.3 over basically a month, which would translate to a 7-8 WAR season if done all year. Sucks the first part had to happen, but the rebound has been crazy. 

[gurn67]

Kole's Troutian July with his AL Rankings:

Runs 4th

2B 6th

Home Runs 1st!!!

RBI 2nd

Total Bases 3rd

Extra Base Hits 1st!!!

OPS 2nd

Slg Pct 1st!!!

He may not get player of the month because Jose Ramirez & Khris Davis had great months as well, and are on contending teams, but it was sure fun to watch.

[Angel Oracle]

From .374 OPS starting June 18 to .645 OPS today, that is crazy good.   1.136 OPS for July = Troutian.

[gurn67]

My favorite moment was on July 13 when they were playing the Dodgers. I was listening on XM in the car, so I was forced to listen to the Dodgers' radio feed. Their color guy was explaining how, with his new batting stance, Kole was going to be able to get more plate coverage, but he was not going to be able to "drive the ball". About two pitches later, Kole hit his first of two home runs in the game, and hit another one against the Dodgers in the next game.

[gurn67]

That's now 9 Home Runs and 21 RBI's in his last 17 games.

Before this run, he had 5 Home Runs and 20 RBI's in his first 69 games.

[Jeff Fletcher]

11 hours ago, gurn67 said:

Kole's Troutian July with his AL Rankings:

Runs 4th

2B 6th

Home Runs 1st!!!

RBI 2nd

Total Bases 3rd

Extra Base Hits 1st!!!

OPS 2nd

Slg Pct 1st!!!

He may not get player of the month because Jose Ramirez & Khris Davis had great months as well, and are on contending teams, but it was sure fun to watch.

I voted for him 

[Troll Daddy]

 

[Blarg]

Had he played the first half like he has after his DL stint it would probably have been an added 4+ wins for the Angels. 

[ten ocho recon scout]

13 minutes ago, Blarg said:

Had he played the first half like he has after his DL stint it would probably have been an added 4+ wins for the Angels. 

Wouldq, coulda, shoulda but, if that happened, richards and ohtani stayed healthy, and middleton didnt get hurt, this team would look totally different in the standings right now. Not houston good, but definitely in a playoff run. 

[GrittyVeterans]

The Angels desperately need Kole to be a consistent threat next year. He doesn't have to be this good. He needs to do what he did from 2013-2017. Hit .260, 20-25 homers, play good defense. Shouldn't be asking for too much for a guy that obviously has the talent he has. He is one of those guys you count on to extend the lineup. He shouldn't be the leadoff or cleanup hitter but theoretically is a great 6th or 7th hitter in a lineup.

One less hole to fill than we thought we had a month ago. Bridges the gap to Adell.

Allows us to spend more on pitching and an upgrade at catcher.

[Blarg]

8 hours ago, ten ocho recon scout said:

Wouldq, coulda, shoulda but, if that happened, richards and ohtani stayed healthy, and middleton didnt get hurt, this team would look totally different in the standings right now. Not houston good, but definitely in a playoff run. 

We are talking about Calhoun's contribution. His problems weren't injury related unless you can call having a brain cramp an injury. All things the same, his change in swing, which the problem dated back to last year, could have been a season changer even with all of the other issues outside of Calhoun's control. 

[Angel Oracle]

Update on Kole's comeback for the ages:

Past 154 at bats since returning from the DL on June 22:  .292/.408/.637/1.045, 14 HRs, 33 rbis, 9 doubles, 1 triple

Previous 173 at bats saw a .374 OPS, 1 double, 1 triple, 1 HR, 11 rbis

OPS has jumped from .374 to .669 in only about 7 weeks. 

[itsKnoppUitsme]

I'm very surprised that Valbuena's 2017 season is not on there!

[Taylor]

On 8/1/2018 at 10:41 AM, gurn67 said:

Kole's Troutian July with his AL Rankings:

Runs 4th

2B 6th

Home Runs 1st!!!

RBI 2nd

Total Bases 3rd

Extra Base Hits 1st!!!

OPS 2nd

Slg Pct 1st!!!

He may not get player of the month because Jose Ramirez & Khris Davis had great months as well, and are on contending teams, but it was sure fun to watch.

Kole is having the month that @JustATroutFan promised Trout would have in May.

[Dick B Back]

4 hours ago, Taylor said:

Kole is having the month that @JustATroutFan promised Trout would have in May.

 

[BackUpTheTruck]

Could Kole be a nominee for comeback player of the year?

[Angelsfan1984]

10 hours ago, BackUpTheTruck said:

Could Kole be a nominee for comeback player of the year?

The overall season doesn't warrant that. Maybe if there was a back from the dead award....

[Stradling]

Kole Calhoun after his 3 for 4 night last night is now up to a 1.1 bWAR on the season.  Simply amazing.  He has been so good that when I saw over his last 28 days he was hitting like .285, I thought for sure it was something higher.  If he wants to end the year a .250 hitter he will have to hit about .330 the rest of the way.  While I don’t think that will happen, it is crazy to think he will hit probably close to .235 this season and give us damn near a 2 WAR season.  I certainly hope this new stance continues to give him success going into next year.  If it doesn’t they Angels will almost certainly pick up his option or trade him at the deadline next year.  

[mulwin444]

2 hours ago, Stradling said:

Kole Calhoun after his 3 for 4 night last night is now up to a 1.1 bWAR on the season.  Simply amazing.  He has been so good that when I saw over his last 28 days he was hitting like .285, I thought for sure it was something higher.  If he wants to end the year a .250 hitter he will have to hit about .330 the rest of the way.  While I don’t think that will happen, it is crazy to think he will hit probably close to .235 this season and give us damn near a 2 WAR season.  I certainly hope this new stance continues to give him success going into next year.  If it doesn’t they Angels will almost certainly pick up his option or trade him at the deadline next year.  

His July was crazy.  I wonder if Eppler passed him through waivers just to give himself the opportunity to see what his value is given his 2nd half.