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About ettin
- Birthday 06/16/1972
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ettinone@hotmail.com
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ettin
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Rancho Palos Verdes, CA
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Angels Baseball (duh!), Astronomy, Spaceflight, and Games of all sorts!
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ettin's Achievements
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ettin reacted to a post in a topic: The Official 2024 Major League Baseball Thread
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samwum reacted to a post in a topic: The Official 2024 Draft Thread
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Congratulations you have won the random-online attacker of the month! You read WAY too much into what I said.
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ettin reacted to a post in a topic: The Official 2024 Draft Thread
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ettin reacted to a post in a topic: The Official 2024 Minor League Stats, Scouting, Updates, and Reports Thread
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Chuck reacted to a post in a topic: The Official 2024 Minor League Stats, Scouting, Updates, and Reports Thread
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Blarg reacted to a post in a topic: The Official 2024 Minor League Stats, Scouting, Updates, and Reports Thread
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ettin reacted to a post in a topic: Nolan Schanuel
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ettin reacted to a post in a topic: Rendon injured again, possibly out for season
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ettin reacted to a post in a topic: Rendon injured again, possibly out for season
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ettin reacted to a post in a topic: The Official 2024 Major League Baseball Thread
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ettin reacted to a post in a topic: Gameday Thread (4/19/24 3:40pm Pacific): Angels @ Reds: Anderson on the mound, Drury at DH
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ettin reacted to a post in a topic: Gameday Thread (4/19/24 3:40pm Pacific): Angels @ Reds: Anderson on the mound, Drury at DH
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ettin reacted to a post in a topic: The Official 2024 Draft Thread
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No I was just responding to what I perceived your comment to read, that you haven't been impressed with Minasian at the helm, so far. I was just saying that he is likely operating in the win now environment where he would normally draft a certain type of player that he prefers, not what this win now mode is demanding him to pick, over, possibly, a more preferred draft pick. That was all.
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Angels in 2030 reacted to a post in a topic: The Official 2024 Draft Thread
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I think we should temper this opinion against the likely fact that Perry has been told to try and win now, which would skew what might be a normal, preferred strategy from Minasian. If that is his mandate it will force him to make "uncharacteristic" decisions in support of that.
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So, I am glad to hear someone saying we should always reevaluate data based on one or more modern principles to ensure that the assumptions and calculations put into an original analysis remains true. For me it should be something like this for early batting orders: 1) One-hole should be a high on-base player, preferably .350 OBP or higher, whether it is through high contact and/or walk rate. 2) Two-hole should be your best pure all-around hitter, with above average contact, power, batting eye, and does not have a high K rate. 3) Three-hole should be a higher power type, preferably with good on-base ability and contact if possible. A high strikeout rate is okay here, because of the cleanup spot. 4) Cleanup hitter should have great run-producing capability with power and solid contact ability. The reasons in my mind are because a) teams that score first in a game statistically have a much higher chance of winning the game and b) by having at least one person on-base ahead of the 3-spot and cleanup, you give both of those positions the opportunity to drive runs in, particularly in the 1st inning. All it takes is one of those first two hitters to get on-base and you have enough outs to get to the cleanup spot to give your best power hitters and run producers the opportunity to drive in runs. I think it is still very relevant, because by placing them in those positions you are also giving them more at-bat's over an entire season, which should, hypothetically and statistically, give your team a better chance to score more runs overall during the season. To be honest I haven't looked at research on this subject in a couple of years, but I think it still holds true. Would love to be proven wrong. I do agree with you that 30 years ago, they were putting speedsters in the leadoff spot, but as it has been shown stealing bases is not as popular as it once was, because in order to have an effective impact on run production, you need fast guys that can successfully steal bases at a 75% success rate or higher. Those guys don't exist as much anymore, although the base enlargement thing may slide that statistical bar more to the left toward 70% for example (just spit-balling on the last number). The first two positions should have good on-base guys, I agree. By the way, if your team has the luxury of putting a high on-base guy like Judge in the 3-hole, more power to you (or them or whomever). The Angels don't in my opinion. It really should probably have been a Schanuel/Rendon, 1-2 combo of some sort, then Ward, then Trout, to start the season. I say this with a little bit of hindsight to how the season has started, because Ward has about a .328 OBP at the moment, which is lower than average because he is not walking as much as he normally does. At this point I'd reverse Ward and Trout, though. That 5-hole hitter should also be some type of run producer as well to help drive in additional runs if the inning gets off to a good start.
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Chuck reacted to a post in a topic: Weird RBI stats re: Trout/Ward
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I should clarify that I should have used the word "statistically" instead of "traditionally". It has statistically been proven to be a poor run-producing spot in the order. You normally want to place a good power hitting, higher-strikeout player in that spot with the ability to take a walk when able, ideally.
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Inside Pitch reacted to a post in a topic: Weird RBI stats re: Trout/Ward
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The 3-spot is not traditionally a great run producing spot in the order. Surprised they don't have Trout hitting in the 2-hole or at cleanup. I think they'd be better off putting Ward in the 3-hole and Trout in cleanup.
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UBstrange reacted to a post in a topic: Arte Moreno and the Ben Franklin Chart
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SlappyUtilityMIF reacted to a post in a topic: Blum: Arte Moreno removed from "Calling All Angels" montage
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Blum: Arte Moreno removed from "Calling All Angels" montage
ettin replied to jsnpritchett's topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily
A great CF defender with a great baserunning stride! -
AngelsLakersFan reacted to a post in a topic: Blum: Arte Moreno removed from "Calling All Angels" montage
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mmc reacted to a post in a topic: Blum: Arte Moreno removed from "Calling All Angels" montage
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Blum: Arte Moreno removed from "Calling All Angels" montage
ettin replied to jsnpritchett's topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily
Hmm... it is "CatJam" to me, lol. Thanks for adding it though, you will now see it exclusively on any posts I mark, it is the perfect response to everything really. -
Blum: Arte Moreno removed from "Calling All Angels" montage
ettin replied to jsnpritchett's topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily
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This in particular. Rendon already had a predisposition to injury during his time with the Nationals. The pivot by Arte from wanting a frontline starter to locking in on Rendon to play 3B, felt more like an Arte-based "splash" decision, rather than a front office one from my perspective and I think the huge salary outlay for him was more unnecessarily needful, than insightful. Rendon at that moment in time, definitely had on-base skills and good defense to back up a star-level storyline, but I always felt that the decision was not as fact-based as it should have been. Injuries since then cloud the issue immensely, but I really think the Angels need to just focus on their farm system and not go after most of these free agency signings that overtly impact payroll long-term, we just haven't had a great track record of success the last 10 years in Major League free agency.
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Go fly a kite!