Inside Pitch

I didn't offer any tier rating, I just broke RPI down into groups of 6 because it's not subjective. I also made it a point to say that it's noise because most teams have yet to play even 30% of the other teams. Explain to me what is good about record over the last ten games? That would measure three series vs Boston, Cleveland, and NY as being equal to having played Miami, CWS, and Colorado. Adding bad methodology to a system only adds more noise. You should be aiming for clarity, not noise. See above. See above. It also has the Dbacks in Tier 6. I know you think you're making a point but you're actually missing it completely. It's noise.

Yes, but the guy that scouted him had read Moneyball and thought he was looking at the modern day Jeremy Brown. I mean, Brown even went to Alabama!

He needed the wake up call and to get out of his own backyard. I got stories!

There's math but there's also gibberish built upon the subjective analysis of a random dude on the internet -- it's about as scientific and analytical as an ESPN power ranking. If you wanted to create a tier list based on purely on math and focusing on wins and who has played who then you may as well start by using RPI as the the baseline -- RPI basic formula being, 25% team winning percentage, 50% opponents' average winning percentage, and 25% opponents' opponents' average winning percentage. Using RPI and going for 6 tiers you'd get the following. Tier 1: Milwaukee .577, Baltimore .574 , Cleveland .568, NYM .556, and Boston .547. Tier 2: Seattle .535, Cinci .526, Pittsburgh.523, LAD .521, NYY .517. Tier 3: Atlanta .516, Philly .510, Minnesota .503, Oakland .499, Toronto .498 Tier 4: KC .497, CHC .494, SDP .494, Detroit .488, LAA .483 Tier 5: Texas .479, STL .477, TBR .475, Washington .473, SFG .473 Tier 6: Arizona .463, Houston .455, Miami .441, Colorado .426, CWS .415 So how does Oakland end up in Tier 3 while the D-Backs (You didn't even include them in yours), end up in Tier 6? It's called the unbalanced schedule. Even using something that attempts to incorporate real math/analysis and not "trust me bro" math it's pointless until everyone in MLB has played more than 5 or 6 of the 30 teams in MLB. Using RPI, 12 of the Angels 25 games (48%) have come against TIER 1 teams and 15 of their 25 games (60%) have come against the top 2 tiers .vs the 3 games they have played against the Marlins. Considering how many winnable games they have lost some might see that as a reason to believe they could do better... but reality is we don't know if they will find ways to lose against bad teams too. It's just too early. Props for making an effort to substantiate your rankings but you may want to ease up on BS a bit.

Edmonds too. Edmonds blew out his arm trying to impress scouts while pitching (he was a better pitcher than hitter in HS). He continued to have issues through the first two years in the minors, so the Angels were trying to transition him to 1B just in case the arm issues continued. But ppl forget he started more games at 1B than in CF as a.rookie.

I agree he shouldn't be. I don't think he would be if he had options, it feels like they just didn't want to risk losing him so they have a square peg in a round hole situation. He's not helping them and not pitching at all isn't going to help him find his command. Everything about his predictive data is wonky.. Velocity is steady, more movement and career low exit velocities but despite those exit velos he's been getting torched. The big issue has been a massive spike in walk rate, so he's probably falling behind and serving up meat. His Babip has been over .330 since coming back from the injury last year so, there's some bad luck there but the command issues are real and problematic. But yeah -- its not working.

I think he'd likely pass through waivers. Everyone tends to be focusing on what they have in place. The one team I could see making a move for him is Chicago.

1 - he's always been round. If anything this is the least round he's ever been 2 - stat cast data shows nothing of the sort -- you're making shit up. His FB is exactly the same more importantly he's never pitched off his FB. He's also getting more movement on several of his pitches. It's been a command thing and might be a case of being too rested. Whatever they are having him do isn't working.

I believe he dropped the curve after the 22 season, essentially replacing it with his sweeper. Similar velocity to the curve. His sweeper has been his best pitch so far this year while his change has just been awful -- and I do believe it's the command issues. Check the movement below He's getting some of the best movement of his career -- I think he's missing, falling behind, and then throwing up meatballs.

Don't look now but not wasting draft picks on Snell and Bellinger were good decisions. Baby steps maybe.

Lol!!! Good call!! But he'd been the poster boy for why ignoring noise in advance stats can make for expensive mistakes so far this year. To be fair, he had been on a bit of a HR spree of late.

Prior to last night's game he was among the league's best with an average exit velocity around 84, and his breaking ball value was elite in the 100 percentile, so there was some bad luck involved and a reason to believe he was being BaBiped to death. The flip side is his change has been getting nuked and has been for a bit, he's like the anti-Canning in that his change has always set everything else up. I legit think the pitch clock is in his head and he's rushing his arm action/doing something where he's failing to hide it better or something as simple ad the quicker pace means hitters aren't as keyed up to swing. The other thing is his command has been absolute garbage since coming off the DL last year. How much of that is him rushing I dunno but its been a legit issue. I understand them not having wanted to expose him coming off an injury filled season where the sample size wasn't great, but I doubt they would have kept him up if he had options. This is probably the best part of the season to try to have him successfully pass through waivers if they want to keep him. His out-pitch is getting torched, its early and most teams have in house options they either want to hold on to or see before risk exposing them to other teams themselves, but he definitely would be better off going to AA and pitching out of the rotation. He is simply not right, and not helping.

No comment but LOL.. It's like the Baseball Gods are trying to send Angels fans a message.

I get your point, agree even.. but they made tanking less attractive than in the past. Draft cap limits, draft order lottery, and international signing caps -- we won't see an Astros/Orioles type rebuild/turnaround again unless some team gets really lucky. I think the Angels have made a choice to rebuild, they just didn't come out and say it. They repeated the same exact BS they always do only this year they seemed to value those picks more than at any point in recent history. My beef is their not having locked in better safety nets than "nobody" in the IF and Aaron Hicks in the OF.

So.. To recap. The guy with the history of control issues, short outings, sporadic health problems, and inconsistent performances has lived up to each of those things??? And people were upset the Angels didn't throw a boatload of money and a draft pick to get him? I guess Anthony Rendon never happened.