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Pitcher List on Angels starters in 2020


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53 minutes ago, Pancake Bear said:

If the Dodgers swing a trade for Betts/Price, are they going to want to flip Price or do they want to keep him? I've been assuming the latter, but it's possible they may try to save some cash and flip Price to another team (assuming the first deal goes through).

if betts would cost more in prospect capital by himself than he would by taking on a decent chunk of Price's money, then it would make sense that if Price were flipped to someone else and that team took on the commitment the dogs were willing to then they'd have to include a prospect to get rid of him.  

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3 minutes ago, tdawg87 said:

I mean that's essentially every starting pitcher in baseball. So Teheran is one of the worst, apparently, and Sandoval is not much better. 

I don’t like the list because at some point you have to take history into account of how someone will do.  So doing that then Bundy is a #5 and Teheran is a #3.  

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There's no way Teheran is one of the 13 worst starting pitchers in baseball. And Sandoval is generally well liked by a lot of scouts. 

Heaney being rated over Ohtani is probably because of track record.

Meh. I like The Athletic for the most part, but that's a shitty list. Canning is the only ranking I agree with. 

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Sarris is purely a numbers guy -- so, he's got some projection system he buys into and none of the projection systems buy into Teheran -- he's always outperformed his periphs.

Canning, Sandoval, etc..  Those are the guys projection systems are least reliable for -- MLEs don't always translate into actual MLB production and given the changes with the balls and such, the most recent minor league projections are probably going to be wonky for a couple more years.

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2 minutes ago, Inside Pitch said:

Sarris is purely a numbers guy -- so, he's got some projection system he buys into and none of the projection systems buy into Teheran -- he's always outperformed his periphs.

Canning, Sandoval, etc..  Those are the guys projection systems are least reliable for -- MLEs don't always translate into actual MLB production and given the changes with the balls and such, the most recent minor league projections are probably going to be wonky for a couple more years.

Thank you for explaining it.

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there are 41 pitchers with at least 1000ip over the last 7 years.  Teheran has outperformed his FIP by 0.58 runs during that time which puts him as #1 on the list.  It's clearly become a repeatable skill for him.  Which means it also makes sense that he leads that group in FDP-wins over that time with 9.0.  The next closest is Greinke with 8.9.  

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2 hours ago, Stradling said:

Here’s another one Scotty will hate:

 

So obviously I think Ohtani and Teheran are low.

But a #2, two borderline 2/3's, a 3, and a two 5's is not a terrible rotation, it's just not a great one either.

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5 minutes ago, Hubs said:

So obviously I think Ohtani and Teheran are low.

But a #2, two borderline 2/3's, a 3, and a two 5's is not a terrible rotation, it's just not a great one either.

Right and we have all of our prospects to go after whomever might be available at the deadline.  

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