Thoroughbred Racing

[gotbeer]

Future In Doubt For Golden Gate Fields In Northern California

Expand the paddock like planned at Santa Anita.  Move those horses down here, and have cheaper claiming and allowance races.  Sell land to developers for millions if not billions.  

[gotbeer]

Not exactly thoroughbred.  But still amazing.

Jockey Remounts After Being Knocked From Horse During Fall, Then Wins Race

[Adam]

Saratoga and Del Mar cards for tomorrow. 

Pacific Classic.pdf

SAR--08-18-2018.pdf

[Adam]

Also, Breeder's Cup back at Santa Anita next year. Keeneland in 2020, Del Mar in 2021

[Homebrewer]

On 8/17/2018 at 9:24 AM, Adam said:

Saratoga and Del Mar cards for tomorrow. 

Pacific Classic.pdf

SAR--08-18-2018.pdf

Thanks Adam...going to try to catch a few races today.

[gotbeer]

Breeders' Cup sets future wager for Classic, Distaff; see the odds

Quote

Number	Horse	Odds
1	Accelerate	4-1
2	Blended Citizen	50-1
3	Bravazo	30-1
4	Catalina Cruiser	15-1
5	Catholic Boy	50-1
6	Collected	12-1
7	Diversify	5-1
8	Draft Pick	50-1
9	Good Magic	12-1
10	Gronkowski	12-1
11	Gunnevera	15-1
12	Hofburg	30-1
13	McKinzie	30-1
14	Mendelssohn	30-1
15	Mind Your Biscuits	30-1
16	Monomoy Girl (f)	30-1
17	Pavel	30-1
18	Saxon Warrior (JPN)	30-1
19	Tenfold	50-1
20	Thunder Snow (IRE)	12-1
21	Toast of New York	30-1
22	Vino Rosso	30-1
23	West Coast	9-2
24	All others	50-1

The field, listed in alphabetical order, with program numbers and morning-line odds for the Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff Future Wager, is as follows:
 

Number	Horse	Odds
1	Abel Tasman	4-1
2	Berned	50-1
3	Blue Prize (ARG)	30-1
4	Chocolate Martini	50-1
5	Coach Rocks	50-1
6	Dream Tree	15-1
7	Elate	6-1
8	Eskimo Kisses	8-1
9	Farrell	30-1
10	Gamble's Ghost	50-1
11	Ivy Bell	30-1
12	La Force (GER)	12-1
13	Midnight Bisou	15-1
14	Monomoy Girl	7-2
15	Mopotism	50-1
16	My Miss Lilly	50-1
17	Road to Victory	50-1
18	She's a Julie	50-1
19	Sinfonia Fantastica (ARG)	50-1
20	Talk Veuve to Me	30-1
21	Thirteen Squared	50-1
22	Unbridled Mo	SCR
23	Wonder Gadot	5-1
24	All others	50-1

 

[Tank]

catalina cruiser and mind your biscuits. $$$$$

[gotbeer]

Also in the Breeders Cup Distaff.  IMO there is a huge ommission that may make the All Others at 50-1 (if it stays there) a juicy bet.  Unique Bella.  Came in 7th in the BC Filly and Mare sprint last year.  Scratch that race.  And she has 11 races, 9 firsts, and 2 seconds.  With one of the seconds in her first MSW race.  

[Homebrewer]

Travers day (tomorrow) has some nice races on tap. All G1 P6.

Litfin At Large: Options Abound on Travers Day Card

Dave Litfin handicaps the weekend stakes races.

• By Dave Litfin 
• Today, 4:55 PM

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August 25 is Travers Day at Saratoga Race Course, and what is now officially known as the Runhappy Travers Stakes (G1) anchors a pick six comprised entirely of grade 1 events. The grade 1 action begins with the H. Allen Jerkens Presented by Runhappy and goes through the Personal Ensign, Ketel One Ballerina, Forego and Sword Dancer. The latter race and the Travers will be shown live on NBC from 4-6 pm Eastern.

The Mid-Summer Derby is also the concluding leg of a pick five that dangles a $1 million single-ticket payout, and a pick four with a $1 million guaranteed pool. If you've got any bullets left after all that, the Woodford Reserve Ballston Spa (G2T) goes as race 12 on a 13-race program that gets underway at 11:35 am Eastern.

Let's run through the pick six races in order.

H. Allen Jerkens (race 6, 2:23 ET): The "bounce" theory will be on the minds of many horseplayers, who must decide how Promises Fulfilled(1) and Firenze Fire (8) will react after their respective stopwatch-busting wins in the Amsterdam (G3) and Dwyer Stakes (G3). Firenze Fire has had seven weeks off and drew near the outside, while Promises Fulfilled is back in three weeks and stuck on the rail.

The wild card is Gidu (6), a fast colt by Frankel trying dirt after setting or forcing the pace in seven grass races, and legged-up after showing the way to deep stretch in the National Museum of Racing Hall of Fame (G2T) on yielding turf first time trying a route. He looms a strong part of the early pace, but Promises Fulfilled will make his life miserable up front, which could set the table for Engage (3), the Amsterdam runner-up at even money.

If you'd like to be the only one alive after the first leg of the pick six, consider Telekinesis (2), who cuts back after dueling in the Queen's Plate.

A - 1, 8
B - 3
C - 2

Personal Ensign (race 7, 2:59 ET): Abel Tasman(1) and Elate (6) were heads apart after a knockdown-dragout brawl through the stretch in last year's Coaching Club American Oaks (G1), and figure close once again as they come off decisive wins in the Ogden Phipps Stakes (G1) and Delaware Handicap (G2) respectively.

Those who have designs on the single-ticket jackpot in the pick five may start off by trying to beat the favorites with Farrell (5) and/or Wow Cat(4), the one-two finishers in the Shuvee Stakes (G3).

A - 1, 6
B - none
C - 4, 5

Ballerina (race 8, 3:35 ET): Marley's Freedom (7) and Lewis Bay (6) head a solid renewal of this long sprint, with Ivy Bell (2) and Finley'sluckycharm (5) right in the mix as well.

Marley's Freedom has won the Desert Stormer Stakes (G3) and Great Lady M. Stakes (G2) since transferred to Bob Baffert.

Lewis Bay has banked over $1 million by winning graded stakes in each of the last four years. The only thing she doesn't have is a grade 1 title, with four in-the-money finishes from as many attempts.

Ivy Bell beat Lewis Bay by three lengths for second in the Humana Distaff  Stakes (G1) over a sealed wet track, and cuts back after being outkicked in the Phipps and Shuvee; she is 2 for 2 at seven furlongs for Todd Pletcher.

Finley'sluckycharm spots weight to everyone after capitalizing on a good setup in the Honorable Miss Stakes (G2).

Highway Star (9) came within a head of winning this race last year, and turned in a best-of-90 bullet work earlier this week.

A - 6, 7
B - 2, 5
C - 9

Forego (race 9, 4:12 ET): Acceleratehas won four of five starts this year to take leadership of the older male division, and the only horse to beat him in 2018 is City of Light  (8), who prevailed by a neck when they met on neutral ground in the Oaklawn Handicap (G2).

That performance was City of Light's only sojourn outside Southern California to date, and offers reassurance that he can ship and win. Five straight bullet works have him on edge for his first start in two months, and he is a two-time grade 1 winner at seven furlongs when fresh.

Limousine Liberal (1) is 3-for-3 from the rail in his career, and was tough as nails edging Whitmore (3) in the Belmont Sprint Championship Stakes (G2).

Reaching further, C Z Rocket (6) and Warrior's Club (7) are in sharp form and have won over the track.

A - 8
B - 1, 6
C - 7

Sword Dancer (race 10, 4:49 ET): As I suspect is true for many, I am absolutely at sea with this familiar cast of characters who regularly take turns beating each other depending on footing, pace and trips. The top six out of the recent Bowling Green Stakes (G2T) run over an absolute bog reconvene here, and a handful ran in the Woodford Reserve Manhattan Stakes (G1T), where the top eight finishers were separated by a length and a half.

The only horse I can throw out is Seahenge (8), who won the Howcroft Champagne Stakes (G2) at Doncaster last September, but has since lost six times by better than 82 lengths. He may have simply tagged along to keep barn mate and Travers entrant Mendelssohn company.

So we'll divide the remaining nine up thusly, and hope for the best:

A - 3, 4, 10
B - 2, 6
C - 1, 5, 7, 9

Travers (race 11, 5:44 ET): So many subplots, so little time. There's Chad Brown, a native of nearby Mechanicville, New York, shooting for his first Travers with morning-line favorite Good Magic (9) and second choice Gronkowski(3).

There's Wonder Gadot (2), the first filly to try the Travers since Davona Dale in 1979, and trying to become the first one to win it in over a century.

There's Catholic Boy (11) going turf to dirt, after prevailing in two gut-wrenching stretch battles with Analyze It at Belmont Park for Jonathan Thomas, a former assistant to Todd Pletcher.

There's Vino Rosso (5), who got rolling too late as the Jim Dandy Stakes (G2) favorite for Pletcher.

And there's Bravazo, the only horse besides Justify to run in all three legs of the Triple Crown, in with a chance to give D. Wayne Lukas his fourth Travers victory.

Mendelssohn (8) is also here, for reasons known only to his connections, who normally have some idea of what they're doing.

Good Magic, one of four sons of Curlin  in the race (along with Vino Rosso, King Zachary and Tenfold) is obviously the most accomplished horse, but even Brown admits 10 furlongs is pushing the envelope with the 2017 champion 2-year-old.

At this point, no one really knows what Gronkowski can become, but he was good enough to run a clear second in the Belmont Stakes Presented By NYRA Bets (G1) first time on dirt, first time past one mile, and off a 10-week layoff first time in the United States, which is quite something.

A - 3, 9
B - 2, 11
C - 4

Enjoy the racing.

[Homebrewer]

https://www.xpressbet.com/images/pdf/TraversWG_2018.pdf

 

[Lou]

no support for Wonder Gadot?

sexists

[Lou]

2-8-11

[Homebrewer]

8 hours ago, Lou said:

2-8-11

Did you have it?

I did. Played a $5 "5-8-11" ex box ...just got home from a day on the road ( trout fishing the upper coquille river) to find out that I made over $700. Had a box on elate-abel tasman, too, and it paid all of $6. How to win a race and lose money..

BUT

Mendelssohn paid me back for the money I burned on him in the spring...can't believe Catholic Boy went off at 7-1!YES!~! 

Stoked...watched the race replay a few times now. CB just blew that field away'

Whoo Hoooo!

[Lou]

yep! $726 

[gotbeer]

Big new change to Santa Anita Wagering starting this fall.

The 20 cent rainbow pick 6 is finally going to be a bet at Santa Anita.

[Lou]

Adam loves rainbows 

[Tank]

7 hours ago, Lou said:

Adam loves rainbows 

And unicorns.

[Homebrewer]

Lost a Pick4 yesterday when Monomy Girl was (deservedly) taken down at Parx.

This also happened yesterday at Parx...something that is pretty common in the corral but is almost never seen in racing

 

[Adam]

On 9/15/2018 at 3:24 PM, Lou said:

Adam loves rainbows 

I like these rainbows!

[Adam]

http://www.breederscup.com/article/accelerate-5-2-favorite-breeders-cup-classic-future-wager-2-enable-even-money-favorite

I don't really see any value in future bets this close to the event, when we essentially know what the field will be. But here's an early line on the biggest BC races

[Homebrewer]

On 10/3/2018 at 9:28 AM, Adam said:

http://www.breederscup.com/article/accelerate-5-2-favorite-breeders-cup-classic-future-wager-2-enable-even-money-favorite

I don't really see any value in future bets this close to the event, when we essentially know what the field will be. But here's an early line on the biggest BC races

Hate that it's at Churchill this year. Weather is such a concern in Kentucky in November, plus the handicapping there is hard enough without factoring in weather.

Did you see the bombs away prices at Keenland for the 2YO stakes races yesterday?

Not too early to start getting up to speed. Looking forward to making some money even if it's not being held where it should be. Slop and cold will really bum me out though..

Catholic Boy is my early pick in the classic

[Homebrewer]

The weekend approaches boys! Even in the few races where I have a strong choice, (Firenze Fire-Catalina Cruiser in the dirt mile and Imperial Hint-Limousine Liberal in the sprint) this looks like a BC that is so wide open that there are going to be some stacks to be made.

I'll be playing a lot of .10 and .50 cent exotics, and $1 exacta boxes. (using 4&5 horses)

There are showers most of the week there which will deepen and soften (advantage closers?) But as of now Fri and Sat look good.

@Adam PPS now that the post draws are in? 

 

[Adam]

Man I like some bombs this weekend. If I'm right once or twice it will be a good weekend. 

BC FRIDAY.pdf

BC SATURDAY.pdf

[Homebrewer]

1 hour ago, Adam said:

Man I like some bombs this weekend. If I'm right once or twice it will be a good weekend. 

BC FRIDAY.pdf

BC SATURDAY.pdf

Thanks...and same here. There are some tasty price horses and vulnerable favorites out there!

[Adam]

I'm going to use a lot of Marley's Freedom but I'll tell you right now if Skye Diamonds wins the FM Sprint, you may not hear from me for a few months.