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About tennischmp

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  • Birthday 10/26/1988

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  1. You don't need polls, just look at 2016, Trump won a bunch of states by narrow margins(Michigan by 13k, Wisconsin by 27k, Pennsylvania by 44k and Florida by 114k, just to name a few) against a horrible candidate and without a 4 year track record of being president. Also it's not like Trump got shattering number of votes compared to previous Republican candidates. As long as the Democrats turn out like they did for Obama(maybe not necessarily to vote for Biden but against Trump), the margins are easily achievable. And the turnout is looking more like 2008-2012 rather than 2016 so far.
  2. Green shooting 23% from 3 in the finals. If he can’t shot 3s what is he good for?
  3. Trump isn't polling well and a poll or two once a week (in between daily polls showing Biden ahead) in states that Biden doesn't even need to win isn't going to change that narrative.
  4. Why do you only post the rare times a poll shows Trump up? I am starting to think you are a Russian bot. There were 11 other polls just from today that have Biden up, including in Arizona and Florida.
  5. All those players and picks they gave up for George. Clolippers
  6. The 2020 RCP average is only past 4 polls, for 2016 I am assuming they are using the average off all polls since for Wisconsin it says Clinton +9.5 but the 2016 RCP average was +6.5 https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/wi/wisconsin_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5976.html But we don't need to look at the polls to see that Trump is in trouble, just look at the 3 closest states in 2016. Trump in Michigan by 11k, Wisconsin by 23k and Pennsylvania by 44k. Biden is a much better candidate and Trump's approval is in the tank.
  7. Weren't you going to get it from a family member who had it?
  8. https://mobile.twitter.com/GSarafan/status/1294867322088431616
  9. If only the lines at the polls were as short as those at CVS and Walmart
  10. "USPS warns 46 states it cannot guarantee mail-in ballots will arrive in time for election" There is no crisis here, this happens every election
  11. We are talking about a secure, convenient, way to mail something 24/7 correct? None of those you listed checks all those boxes. If @gotbeer is telling me I shouldn’t trust the blue bins with my ballot why the hell would I trust my grandma’s friend’s mailbox? And don’t get me started on my work outbox, if they happen to see I voted for Trump I would get fired on the spot.
  12. Don't know but in California but is a common practice in mail in voting states with very low reports of fraud https://www.brookings.edu/blog/fixgov/2020/06/02/low-rates-of-fraud-in-vote-by-mail-states-show-the-benefits-outweigh-the-risks/
  13. Except only 4 states are reinventing the wheel(by sending absentee ballots to all registered voters) , the rest are doing exactly what they have been doing in the past in regard to mail in voting
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