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Fangraphs: Mike Trout, When All Is Said and Done (Some Troutporn to Brighten Your Day)


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This is from the scout, Tony Blengino, who (amazingly enough) accurately comped Trout to Mantle years ago.

 

Read all about it here.

 

Here's an exciting quote:

 

Where might Trout go from here? Obviously, the absolute floor is a Conigliaro situation, a sudden, career-ending impact, which really could happen to anyone. Barring that fairly remote possibility, Trout’s floor is about as high as they come. If he performs as Ken Griffey, Jr., did from age 22 through the end of his career – and Griffey is by far his weakest comp – he’ll rack up 21.79 standard deviations between 22 and 28, and then another 23.7% of total career value afterward, for a total career score of 41.07 – good for 36th on the all-time list. That’s his “floor”. If he hits his ceiling, and posts a Cobb-like 40.42 score from 22 to 28, and then ages like Speaker, accumulating 50.8% of his career value from age 29 onward, that would put him in the mix with the top three of Barry Bonds, Ted Williams and Babe Ruth for best hitter of all time honors. If he hits the midpoint of those two tracks, he would rank seventh on the all-time list, behind those three plus Cobb, Stan Musial and Rogers Hornsby. Pretty heady stuff.

 

In other words, Ken Griffey is the floor, Bonds/Williams/Ruth (the three greatest hitters of all time) is the ceiling, and the midpoint is Cobb/Musial/Hornsby.

 

Dude.

Edited by Angelsjunky
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My Wife walking by me on the computer a while back and seeing a thread with Trout Porn in the title:

 

"What the #$%^ are you looking at?"

 

Me:  Explanation of Trout porn

 

Her:  'Oh good.  I thought I was gonna have to start wearing a fish costume or something'

 

Me: 'I wouldn't rule that out just yet'

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My Wife walking by me on the computer a while back and seeing a thread with Trout Porn in the title:

 

"What the #$%^ are you looking at?"

 

Me:  Explanation of Trout porn

 

Her:  'Oh good.  I thought I was gonna have to start wearing a fish costume or something'

 

Me: 'I wouldn't rule that out just yet'

 

LOL Thats awesome

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