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Brent Maguire

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Everything posted by Brent Maguire

  1. He's right about 1% of the time so it felt "noteworthy" to include here.
  2. @incarceratedbob More **UPDATED MLB RUMORS** Source: Rays called about Archer from 5 teams that seem serious. Cardinals, Dodgers, Phillies, Angels, Yankees Offers should start coming this weekend
  3. Per Jim Bowden, the Angels are one of numerous teams showing interest in Yu Darvish. Won't cost a draft pick but his signing would put the club right up against the luxury tax threshold.
  4. His 2017 line(.265/.362/.439) was almost identical to his career line(.271/.342/.437) and he's been a 2+ win player every year in his career. The injury and age concern is real but his game isn't really declining at all. A 2/22 type deal is totally fair for him.
  5. Would I take Profar as the utility guy going into 2018? 100% Would I bank on him being a productive everyday 2B? Absolutely not. Yes, he's a former top prospect but he's done jack squat in the majors. At some point, you have to produce.
  6. Healy managed to slug 25 home runs yet finish with a league average batting line(.271/.302/.451, 100 wRC+). For comparison, C.J. Cron last year: 248/.305/.437, 99 wRC+ Given that Healey will play 1B full time in Seattle, the M's just essentially traded for C.J. Cron with a bit more club control.
  7. I wouldn't be opposed to Morrison if they upgraded elsewhere but: 1st half 2017: .258/.367/.564, 143 wRC+ 2nd Half 2017: .231/.333/.452, 112 wRC+ Career: .245/.330/.443, 109 wRC+ It's possible he made some real changes but I'm a bit worried that his first half of 2017 is an outlier.
  8. Hmmm. That changes things a bit. I wouldn't be surprised if he was worth that contract in the end but I'm not comfortable taking that risk given he just tanked offensively in his age 31 season. This could be his new norm now.
  9. 5/67 isn't a bad deal, even for his age 32-36 seasons. However, his offense fell below the league average line last year for the first time and you have to wonder about his overall game heading in the wrong direction. Longoria is someone I thought about last offseason but he didn't pop in my mind until now. I think he's an interesting player to acquire considering the contract price would drive the prospect price down.
  10. Hosmer has had 3 good/above average MLB seasons and 3 replacement level seasons. 4/75 is something I'd maybe consider but anything more than that looks to be disastrous. There's such a huge surplus of 1B this offseason(Santana, Morrison, Alonso, etc) that overpaying for Hosmer makes little sense.
  11. Shohei Otani is on a very different level than any other pitchers that have came over in recent years. He could be a top 10 starter in baseball right off the bat. This will be fun to monitor. Lots of buzz about him going to Texas so let's hope that isn't the case.
  12. Highly doubt he ends up here but if Upton opts out, it's a pretty good fallback plan. The question I had before and still have now is how much prospect currency is this going to cost? That contract is still likely an albatross in the end and the Marlins will want prospects as well. Finding that middle ground with the Marlins will prove to be highly difficult for any team trying to acquire Stanton.
  13. The thought of that top of the lineup makes me extremely happy but there's zero chance for that happening. Heck, I'll take just Hernandez and Santana and be happy with those 2 slotted at the top of the order.
  14. Alex Cobb would be a guy I'd personally target. He could give this team 150-175 league average-ish innings and I don't think he'll cost a ton. Angels have been bitten in the ass too many times the past few years to just assume Richards, Heaney, Skaggs, Ramirez and Shoemaker will be fine heading into 2018. Add a legit rotation arm if it fits into the offseason plans.
  15. Those first two points are reasons why I initially had him. But he played very few games in college and I think he's just so far behind the curve that it's going to take a lot of refining to just advance in the minors. I'm encouraged by the high walk totals and overall production though. I just want to see a bit more. You can make the case for him being in there because I had 20-30 guys fighting for the last 10 or so spots.
  16. Torii was on my initial list but I talked with someone who swayed me away. He just missed my list. The track record of guys making it to the majors with the little experience he has playing baseball is very small.
  17. Thanks for the feedback everybody. The tiers I posted are a site wide method the website uses so I tried to follow it the best I could. You can make the case for Adell/Jones being Tier 1 but I didn't feel comfortable projecting them that high. I had him 10th a few weeks ago so I'd probably slot him there again between Ward and Hermosillo.
  18. Hi all, I was recently asked to cover the Angels for a minor league website called Prospects1500. My first task was to rank the top 50 Angels prospects and write them all up. Given that I write here as well, I felt like it was appropriate to share this with you all. Any feedback or comments would be great! http://prospects1500.com/top-50-lists/los-angeles-angels-anaheim-updated-top-50-prospects/
  19. Appreciate it Chuck. The amount of strikeouts so far is very encouraging. I think the home run outbreak is a bit of a mirage but I'm definitely intrigued by an Andrew Heaney with better swing and miss stuff.
  20. 2.63 ERA and 113:28 K/BB ratio in 137 innings in the minors this year. He's already well past his career high in innings and is only 21, however. I'd caution against bringing him up unless the org feels he's ready now. He's pretty clearly made himself a 2018 rotation candidate though.
  21. Stanton is almost certainly going to be moved this coming offseason after this ridiculous stretch. His value will only go downhill from here as there is potential for a decline and injury as soon as next year. With so much money being involved here, I would imagine the Marlins would like to rid themselves of that financial commitment, even if it means giving up a talent like Stanton. I have read through plenty of pages on AW about Stanton and his cost and I don't believe he will cost as much as everybody believes. Some writers at Fangraphs, Baseball Prospectus, The Ringer, etc. believe that contract is still too big of a burden for the Marlins to both a) dump the whole contract on a team and b) receive significant talent back.
  22. Literally every fan base thinks their manager sucks at managing the bullpen. It's not different with Angels fans. They believe he's been crap this year when I honestly think his BP management has played a big part in this team overachieving. Problem is fans will always point out the mistakes when the bullpen blows it but not give credit when they do their job.
  23. Another thing to think about is the potential market for Stanton. Take a look at the big market teams who may have a case for Stanton. Yankees: Their outfield consists of Judge, Gardner, Hicks and Ellsbury with Clint Frazier in the wings. They also seem more likely to sign Harper in a few years. Red Sox: They have one of the best outfields groups in baseball. Betts, JBJ and Benintendi is a superb group and they're all under control for a while. Dodgers: They could hypothetically make a deal for Stanton but they have plenty of outfield depth. Pederson, Puig and Taylor is a nice group and they have a top prospect in Alex Verdugo close. Bellinger/Hernandez can also handle the outfield. Mets: Cespedes and Conforto pair up as a very good corner outfield duo but they really need a legit player to stick in center field. Stanton doesn't fit. Nationals: One of the rumored teams interested. Eaton is good and under contract. Harper is under control one more year. Victor Robles is their top prospect who could be ready next year. Nats make sense if they believe Harper will 100% walk but they do have depth in their group. Giants: Another interested team. They're one of the worst teams in baseball this year, have an average-ish farm system and aren't generally chasing power hitters. Astros: This is the darkhorse team for me. They've been ridiculed for not making that one big move to solidify their roster. Springer and Reddick will man 2 outfield spots but they could use a guy in LF and use Stanton at DH sparingly. That short porch in left field would make Stanton a monster. They have the financial space to fit him in and some blue chip prospects to send to Miami. Rangers: Another potential darkhorse. They need another legit MOTO hitter and they have the payroll/prospects to make this work. Quite frankly, after looking at these teams, it seems like Stanton could easily land in the AL West. The usual teams don't have much of a need for Stanton currently.
  24. Thanks for the response. So his overall worth may be closer to 330-350 million based on this model, which means you can switch out Rodriguez and plug Jones in for my first hypothetical of taking on the whole deal. I still believe it's a bit pricey to take on the full deal AND dump 2-3 legitimate prospects but that may be the asking price. I did find it curious that the 3 teams that Jon Morosi listed as suitors(Angels, Giants and Nationals) all are probably in the bottom tier of farm systems. That makes me think that the Marlins might be more interested in shedding the contract rather than eating money and getting legit prospects back but I could be reading into it too much.
  25. The Angels spent nearly half a billion dollars on Pujols, Hamilton and Wilson and ticket prices barely budged. Bringing Stanton aboard may raise prices because the Angels end up being a better team and therefore bringing prices up. But bringing Stanton's contract likely won't affect ticket prices.
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