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What should happen with Andrelton Simmons?


Angelsjunky

What should happen with Simmons?  

30 members have voted

  1. 1. The choices, as I see it...

    • Buh-bye - no qualifying offer or contract
      10
    • Make qualifying offer (~$18M), if he doesn't accept, buh-bye
      3
    • Make qualifying offer (~$18M), if he doesn't accept make contract offer of 1-2 years
      4
    • Make qualifying offer (~$18M), if he doesn't accept make contract offer of 3-4 years
      2
    • Don't make QO, offer contract
      11


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What do you think should happen (vote), and will happen (discuss)?

I'm voting QO, 1-2 year contract offer. What I think will happen is QO, no contract offer.

I'm fine going with Fletcher and Barreto/Rengifo in some form or fashion, with a hopefully maturing Jahmai Jones in AAA and maybe a cheap journeyman UT signed as insurance. But I also think the team is better with Simmons and don't think we should take his defense for granted. I'm also reasonably optimistic he'll hit closer to 2017-18 than previous years.

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  • Chuck changed the title to What should happen with Andrelton Simmons?

Goodbye because if he accepts the qualifying offer that could be 18 million dollars less that we have to spend on starting pitching. 

That and Fletcher is a really good SS. Is he Simmons good? Maybe not but he's awful close. I've loved everything I've seen from Fletcher at SS defensively. 

If Simmons was hitting double digit home runs like his early days with Atlanta I'd probably do it, but his bat has regressed a bit. His at bats are painful to watch at times.

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He's not getting close to $18M/yr.....certainly not over 3+ years.  Injuries + the CV financial impact + lack of SS market will all limit his opportunities this FA off-season.  If you QO him, he's very likely to take it.  And we simply can afford to use up $18M of salary space next year on Simmons at SS.  That's bad salary management for a team that is going to be limited payroll flexibility wise.

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I would have preferred to trade him and get something.  anything in return.  

Resign him on the cheap as his value has decreased substantially over the last two years.  mostly due to injury.  

He was a 3-4 WAR player and now you can't bank on that.  I know this doesn't seem fair because he was so good before, but I'm at 3/21 for him right now.  I think he's worth a bit more but also because there aren't many teams out there in need of a defense only SS no matter how good he is.  Plus there are other available players who are better.  

There is no way in hell I give him a QO for 18m.  

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OK, I'm starting to be convinced that offering him a QO isn't a good idea. Maybe if Pujols and Upton weren't on the books.

As for whether the Angels offer him one, who knows. They might risk it in the hopes that he doesn't agree and they get the pick, but he'd be a fool not to agree and try to rebuild his value for a larger contract in 2022.

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Fletcher is in no way close to Simmons defense at SS. And Simmons would still be better defensively three seasons from now than Fletcher. 

The real question is Rengifo's value moving forward as to whether Simmons is offered a contract, not Fletcher's defense. Because if Rengifo can provide either SS or 2nd base coverage along with a reasonable enough replication of his AAA performance at the MLB level with the bat then Simmons defense only value is offset. Jones and Barreto are cost controlled infield depth which leaves all cash savings for pitching. 

The real linchpin is Rengifo. If he can't step up the extending Simmons will be necessary. 

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17 minutes ago, Chuckster70 said:

Goodbye because if he accepts the qualifying offer that could be 18 million dollars less that we have to spend on starting pitching. 

That and Fletcher is a really good SS. Is he Simmons good? Maybe not but he's awful close. I've loved everything I've seen from Fletcher at SS defensively. 

If Simmons was hitting double digit home runs like his early days with Atlanta I'd probably do it, but his bat has regressed a bit. His at bats are painful to watch at times.

I don't necessarily disagree with your main point but even though Fletcher is good defensively, he is not close to Simmons. Simmons is pretty much a GOAT shortstop defensively. Not many players are close. Not saying Fletcher isn't really good defensively, but Simmons is on another level. 

But again, I agree with your main point. That's 18 million dollars less that can go to pitching. 

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I agree with a lot that has been said here.  My opinion is this, if you can get him for 3 years and under $30 million you bring him back.  I know it is money that can be spent on pitching, but as @Inside Pitch has pointed out our biggest problem this year has been defense even more so than pitching.  I also look at a team like the Rays and they are a pitching and DEFENSE team first.  So since we have zero chance of having an elite defensive outfield, with Trout, Upton and Adell then we might as well work towards cutting down the runs on the infield.  The only way they can get a really strong defensive outfield is to bring up Marsh, play him in RF and trade Adell, then we will be a pretty good defensive outfield.  Sadly this isn’t a normal season where after the trade deadline we would still have two months worth of at bats to figure out what Barreto or Rengifo are.  We have 24 games, which really is only going to show us whether or not a player can get hot for a few weeks.  

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I agree with everyone pointing out the difference defensively between Fletcher and Simmons.  Fletcher will make all the routine plays and the occasional excellent play.  But those excellent plays he makes are plays that Simmons makes and makes them look easy.  Then factor in that Simmons makes more plays as well.  Not to mention the play he made in the 9th inning against Seattle where he secured the win basically.  So Adell gets the ball in “quickly” (nothing he does defensively has been quickly yet) and Simmons doesn’t even look, just whirls and throws the dude out trying to go 1st to 3rd.  No one else in the game today makes that play.  

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4 minutes ago, Stradling said:

I agree with a lot that has been said here.  My opinion is this, if you can get him for 3 years and under $30 million you bring him back.  I know it is money that can be spent on pitching, but as @Inside Pitch has pointed out our biggest problem this year has been defense even more so than pitching.  I also look at a team like the Rays and they are a pitching and DEFENSE team first.  So since we have zero chance of having an elite defensive outfield, with Trout, Upton and Adell then we might as well work towards cutting down the runs on the infield.  The only way they can get a really strong defensive outfield is to bring up Marsh, play him in RF and trade Adell, then we will be a pretty good defensive outfield.  Sadly this isn’t a normal season where after the trade deadline we would still have two months worth of at bats to figure out what Barreto or Rengifo are.  We have 24 games, which really is only going to show us whether or not a player can get hot for a few weeks.  

Strad my concern for Simmons is his durability. Sure he’s an elite shortstop but his plate discipline has dropped off. He doesn’t have much power either.  

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3 minutes ago, RendZone said:

Strad my concern for Simmons is his durability. Sure he’s an elite shortstop but his plate discipline has dropped off. He doesn’t have much power either.  

I get what you are saying, but I think you are over valuing his defense.  Unless I am reading it incorrectly he was a negative 17 defensive runs saved.  Simmons was positive 16, so we would be 33 runs worse defensively.  As IP pointed out the bigger problem is defense even more than pitching.  

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5 minutes ago, RendZone said:

Strad my concern for Simmons is his durability. Sure he’s an elite shortstop but his plate discipline has dropped off. He doesn’t have much power either.  

He has a 8.0 walk %, highest of his career. Small sample size, of course, but it is fun correcting you with facts.

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23 minutes ago, Blarg said:

Fletcher is in no way close to Simmons defense at SS. And Simmons would still be better defensively three seasons from now than Fletcher. 

The real question is Rengifo's value moving forward as to whether Simmons is offered a contract, not Fletcher's defense. Because if Rengifo can provide either SS or 2nd base coverage along with a reasonable enough replication of his AAA performance at the MLB level with the bat then Simmons defense only value is offset. Jones and Barreto are cost controlled infield depth which leaves all cash savings for pitching. 

The real linchpin is Rengifo. If he can't step up the extending Simmons will be necessary. 

Fletcher is pretty damn close to being Simmons defensively at SS. Have you watched any games this season, @Blarg? I know you've been working on production shit for TV, maybe you've missed out on some of Fletch's gems at SS. 

Point is, Simmons cannot stay healthy. He's not worth the $$$ it would take to sign him. 

Also, let Jones, Rengifo, Alcantra and Barreto battle it out for the starting 2B job. Whoever is best defensively and shows a decent bat, that guy gets the job! 

There's also some cheap 2B available as FA's next year. La Stella, Schoop, B. Miller and C. Hernandez (who everyone wanted to trade for 2-3 years ago). 

My focus is utilizing every bit of our $$$ on starting pitching. These guys should be our focus this offseason that aren't available for trade:

PLAYER (55)
POS.
AGE
TEAM
H
RBI
HR
AVG
OPS
IP
ERA
W
SV
2020 SALARY
MARKET VALUE (AAV)
2020 WAR
Jake Arrieta SP 35 PHI           26.3 6.49 2   $20,000,000 - 1
Masahiro Tanaka SP 32 NYY           26.7 3.38 1   $23,000,000 - 1
Jordan Zimmermann SP 35 DET                   $25,000,000 -  
Jeff Samardzija SP 36 SF           13.7 9.88 0   $19,800,000 - 1
Cole Hamels SP 37 ATL                   $18,000,000 -  
Jake Odorizzi SP 31 MIN           10 8.10 0   $17,800,000 $17,845,563 1
Trevor Bauer SP 30 CIN           38 2.13 3   $17,500,000 - 1
Mike Leake SP 33 ARI                   $15,000,000 -  
Tyler Chatwood SP 31 CHC           18.7 5.30 2   $13,000,000 - 1
James Paxton SP 32 NYY           20.3 6.64 1   $12,500,000 - 1
Marcus Stroman SP 30 NYM                   $12,000,000 -  
Rick Porcello SP 32 NYM           33 6.00 1   $10,000,000 - 1
Anibal Sanchez SP 37 WSH           30 6.90 1   $12,000,000 - 1
Robbie Ray SP 29 TOR           34.3 7.34 1   $9,430,000 - 1
Mike Minor SP 33 OAK           35.3 5.60 0   $9,833,334 - 1
Kevin Gausman SP 30 SF           40.7 4.43 2   $9,000,000 - 0.8
Julio Teheran SP 30 LAA           17.7 9.17 0   $9,000,000 - 0.24
Garrett Richards SP 33 SD           35 4.63 1   $8,500,000 - 1
Corey Kluber SP 35 TEX           1   0   $18,000,000 - 1
Michael Fiers SP 36 OAK           37 4.87 4   $8,100,000 - 1
Homer Bailey SP 35 MIN           5 3.60 1   $7,000,000 - 1
Martin Perez SP 30 BOS           35.3 4.59 2   $6,250,000 - 1
Anthony DeSclafani SP 31 CIN           21 7.71 1   $5,900,000 - 1
Chase Anderson SP 33 TOR           19.7 3.20 0   $9,500,000 - 1
Jose Quintana SP 32 CHC           6 6.00 0   $10,500,000 - 0.89
Adam Wainwright SP 39 STL           34 2.65 3   $5,000,000 - 1
Brett Anderson SP 33 MIL           28 4.18 2   $5,000,000 - 1
Chris Archer SP 32 PIT                   $11,000,000 -  
Matt Shoemaker SP 34 TOR           25.7 4.91 0   $4,200,000 - 1
Alex Wood SP 30 LAD           4 6.75 0   $4,000,000 - 1
Drew Smyly SP 32 SF           8.3 3.24 0   $4,000,000 - 1.17
Brad Peacock SP 33 HOU                   $3,900,000 -  
Rich Hill SP 41 MIN           16 3.94 1   $3,000,000 - 1
Merrill Kelly SP 32 ARI           31.3 2.59 3   $4,250,000 - 1
Kendall Graveman SP 30 SEA           8.7 8.31 0   $3,500,000 - 1
Taijuan Walker SP 28 TOR           33 3.27 3   $2,000,000 - 1
Ivan Nova SP 34 DET           19 8.53 1   $1,500,000 - 1
Tom Milone SP 34 ATL           31.7 5.68 1   $1,000,000 - 1
Shelby Miller SP 30 MIL                   $1,000,000 -  
Felix Hernandez SP 35 ATL                   $1,000,000 -  
Wade LeBlanc SP 36 BAL           22.3 8.06 1   $800,000 - 1
Brad Keller SP 25 KC           28 1.93 3   $613,000 - 1
Collin McHugh SP 34 BOS                   $600,000 -  
Eric Jokisch SP 31 OAK                   - -  
Chad Bettis SP 32 NYY                   - -  
Nate Karns SP 33 BAL                   - -  
Zeke Spruill SP 31 TEX                   - -  
James Jones SP 32 TEX                   - -  
John Holdzkom SP 33 CHW                   - -  
Taylor Thompson SP 34 OAK                   - -  
Scott Snodgress SP 31 CHW                   - -  
Mitch Atkins SP 35 NYM                   - -  
Michael Roth SP 31 TEX                   - -  
Hiram Burgos SP 33 MIL                   - -  
Erasmo Ramirez SP 31 NYM                   - -  

 

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15 minutes ago, Angelsjunky said:

He has a 8.0 walk %, highest of his career. Small sample size, of course, but it is fun correcting you with facts.

That’s fine he’s great defensively, injury prone and has very little pop in his bat. Singles and walks is his thing. I just think Didi and Fletcher would provide a solid defensive core in the middle and add some pop. Didi can reach that RF yellow line and he hits good in Anaheim.

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1 hour ago, Dochalo said:

I would have preferred to trade him and get something.  anything in return.  

Resign him on the cheap as his value has decreased substantially over the last two years.  mostly due to injury.  

He was a 3-4 WAR player and now you can't bank on that.  I know this doesn't seem fair because he was so good before, but I'm at 3/21 for him right now.  I think he's worth a bit more but also because there aren't many teams out there in need of a defense only SS no matter how good he is.  Plus there are other available players who are better.  

There is no way in hell I give him a QO for 18m.  

I think we offer him a 2 year contract at an increased annual salary. I think most players in his situation would look to sign a one year deal, but with the amount of great free agent shortstops next year he's gona want to skip that class.

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1 hour ago, Blarg said:

Fletcher is in no way close to Simmons defense at SS. And Simmons would still be better defensively three seasons from now than Fletcher. 

The real question is Rengifo's value moving forward as to whether Simmons is offered a contract, not Fletcher's defense. Because if Rengifo can provide either SS or 2nd base coverage along with a reasonable enough replication of his AAA performance at the MLB level with the bat then Simmons defense only value is offset. Jones and Barreto are cost controlled infield depth which leaves all cash savings for pitching. 

The real linchpin is Rengifo. If he can't step up the extending Simmons will be necessary. 

I'm fairly confident the plan is to let Simmons walk, move Fletcher to SS, and then platoon Rengifo and Barreto at second until one of them emerges. 

I don't like that plan, for the record.

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Not voting as it depends entirely upon how or recent trace return performs.   Have to see what Barretto brings to the table to evaluate.
That having been said, Simba needs to put up some big numbers here on out to justify 18M, like 2016/17 esque numbers and stay healthy.  If he cant do either of those things, as much as ive been on board with an extension, id have to say thanks and good luck.
If i had to guess right now, were looking at Fletcher/Baretto up the middle in 21 baring something unexpected.

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I wouldn't pay him anything more than $8M/yr. 

We all know Fletcher isn't as good defensively compared to Simmons.... NO ONE IS
So to compare the glove we would lose makes no sense. 

Let Simmons walk. Should have traded him for another BP arm when we had the chance. 
Giving him a QO is one of the worst moves Eppler/whoever the GM is can do to this team.

If it upsets people then sign LaStella again...

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4 minutes ago, Randy Gradishar said:

I don't think Eppler's that stupid. Especially after seeing what a mistake he made with Calhoun, and there were actually good reasons for that.

There is literally not one reason to let Simmons go, other than tanking.

I don't know about that. Eppler has two candidates to replace him and has to work within a budget. I think there is a lot of temptation to let Simmons walk.

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Here's the upcoming free agents at infield positions, sorted by 2020 WAR. There are a few more but they have negative 2020 WAR.

https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/free-agents/ufa/infield/

 

 
 
Player Option
 
Club Option
Cesar Hernandez 2B 31 CLE 38 11 2 .268 .752         $6,250,000   1.08
                               
D.J. LeMahieu 2B 32 NYY 37 10 4 .402 1.031         $12,000,000   1.05
Jonathan Schoop 2B 29 DET 38 20 8 .311 .891         $6,100,000   0.86
Justin Turner 3B 36 LAD 33 20 2 .282 .794         $20,000,000   0.74
Brad Miller 2B 31 PHI 20 18 4 .317 1.069         $2,000,000   0.63
Didi Gregorius SS 31 PHI 31 19 5 .279 .830         $14,000,000   0.48
Jason Kipnis 2B 34 CHC 15 11 2 .231 .785         $1,000,000   0.45
Maikel Franco 3B 28 KC 34 19 6 .254 .772         $2,950,000   0.39
Tommy La Stella 2B 32 OAK 27 15 4 .265 .822         $3,250,000   0.36
                               
Chris Owings 2B 29 COL 11 5 2 .268 .757         $563,500   0.2
Andrelton Simmons SS 31 LAA 14 2   .304 .686         $15,000,000   0.1
Marcus Semien SS 30 OAK 32 12 5 .229 .664         $13,000,000   0.03
Eduardo Nunez 3B 34 NYM 1     .500 1.000         $1,250,000   0.03
Asdrubal Cabrera 2B 35 WSH 27 18 5 .233 .733         $2,500,000   -0.04
Marwin Gonzalez 3B 32 MIN 25 13 3 .219 .614         $9,000,000   -0.06
Jurickson Profar 2B 28 SD 24 14 5 .226 .697         $5,700,000   -0.07
Freddy Galvis SS 31 CIN 20 11 6 .213 .731         $5,500,000   -0.1
Neil Walker 2B 35 PHI 5 1   .192 .483 0.7       $1,000,000   -0.25
Ehire Adrianza SS 31 MIN 10 2   .185 .495 1       $1,600,000   -0.29
Adeiny Hechavarria SS 32 ATL 5     .192 .453         $1,000,000   -0.32
Joe Panik 2B 30 TOR 13     .217 .555         $2,850,000   -0.33
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6 minutes ago, Randy Gradishar said:

Eh, he's cheap and I don't think Barreto is considered the next Tatis. 

This year proved that they have the right amount of MIFs and UTs, and they just swapped one UT out for another.

It's a lot cheaper to re-sign Simmons than to sign 6 pitchers and watch them all far apart with this defense. 

Rengifo and Barreto seems pretty redundant if you are keeping Simmons.

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