Name the percentage chance that Trout plays in a World Series as an Angel

[Angelsjunky]

There is no way to estimate this, but I'll pull out some numbers. Trout is going to be an Angel for at least then next 11 1/3 seasons. We'll include this year as there's a bit more than a snowball's (if less than an ice block's) chance they go on a run and make the WS this year.

So, 12 years. Over the last 12 seasons--2007 to 2018--there have been 15 different teams in the World Series. That's half of all teams in MLB.

So that gives us a baseline of 50%. So let's consider some other factors:

1) They have Trout, the best player in baseball. +10%

2) They have money and spend more than 70% of other teams. +10%

3) They have a good and overall improving farm system. +10%

4) They're the Angels, and are cursed. -10%.

So all things tolled, I'd give Trout a 70% chance of playing in at least one World Series as an Angel.

[tdawg87]

Do we get extra points for how many words we put in our posts? I believe AJ is going for the high score today.

[Lou]

On 7/28/2019 at 5:03 PM, Lou said:

You guys write a lot 

 

[happybat4]

The question should be what are the chances Trout ever plays in another playoff?

[tdawg87]

1 minute ago, happybat4 said:

The question should be what are the chances Trout ever plays in another playoff?

Pretty much 100%.

[ScottT]

72%

[HeavenlyHalos]

1 hour ago, Vladdylonglegs said:

I would say he has a 10% chance of ever playing in the playoffs again.

 

[halomatt]

14 hours ago, tdawg87 said:

Threeve.

[halomatt]

BTW:  100%. 

FACT.

[Tank]

25% chance of playing in the WS.

[ScottT]

Any answer under 26 is silly.  

So was mine though. I just reversed his uniform number

[Dtwncbad]

Ask me at 1pm.

[Lou]

5 minutes ago, Dtwncbad said:

Ask me at 1pm.

So the 2019 trade deadline is your basis for judging how we do for the next 10 years?

[Stradling]

1 minute ago, Lou said:

So the 2019 trade deadline is your basis for judging how we do for the next 10 years?

Well if you remember how the Angels did last year and in free agency is what prevented them from signing Trout to a contract extension. 

[Dtwncbad]

18 minutes ago, Lou said:

So the 2019 trade deadline is your basis for judging how we do for the next 10 years?

Thanks for picking up on the subtle sarcasm.  I feel warm and understood.

[Dick B Back]

The Halos only go to the WS once every 40 years so there’s your answer.

[tomsred]

Still working on it, ...need more time.