The Official 2019 Major League Baseball Thread

[m0nkey]

Machado's picked it up a bit, last 17 games:

.397/.430/.890 10HR in 79 PAs

Overall line for the season:

.276/.349/.513

[Lou]

I would love to see the Padres make the playoffs

[Blarg]

11 hours ago, Lou said:

I would love to see the Padres make beat the Dodgers in the playoffs

 

[Blarg]

Ohtani's OPS is now 913. 

[fan_since79]

Dodgers walk it off again with five straight walks.

First time in modern baseball history (since 1920), five straight walks with no outs in between to end a game.

[Angel Oracle]

43 minutes ago, fan_since79 said:

Dodgers walk it off again with five straight walks.

First time in modern baseball history (since 1920), five straight walks with no outs in between to end a game.

Three true outcomes produces yet another first. 

[Blarg]

That wasn't a true outcome, that was horseshit pitching.

[UndertheHalo]

5 walks in a row is absolutely a miserable failure of pitching. 

[Tank]

And it all happened with two outs, too.

[fan_since79]

6 hours ago, UndertheHalo said:

5 walks in a row is absolutely a miserable failure of pitching. 

No love for disciplined hitting??

Yeah, but I get you. Several of those pitches were pretty bad. He just lost it. Happens.

[UndertheHalo]

23 minutes ago, fan_since79 said:

No love for disciplined hitting??

Yeah, but I get you. Several of those pitches were pretty bad. He just lost it. Happens.

Oh for sure.  I don’t mean to take anything away from the Dodgers.  But when a guy is going like that.  I mean just let your bat take a rest on a shoulder. 

[Lou]

Matt Bush (Rangers) to undergo TJS 

[m0nkey]

Cody Bellinger hit 2 home runs tonight including the walk off, and has 29 for the year. Dogs win again

[Lou]

Nats are 26-10 in their last 36 games. They are now tied with Philly for 2nd place and only 5.5 GB of Atlanta

[Angelsjunky]

Max Scherzer is ridiculously good. Already at 5.0 WAR for the year, on pace for his best season at age 34. Its his 7th year in a row of 5+ fWAR and 9th out of 10 with 4+ fWAR. With Kershaw's decline, he's been the best pitcher in baseball according to WAR from 2012-19:

1. Scherzer 46.8

2. Kershaw 46.0

3. Sale 42.2

4. Verlander 36.6

5. Kluber 34.7

[Lou]

With their 3 starters, NL teams better hope the Nats don't make the playoffs

[Angelsjunky]

On 7/2/2019 at 7:49 AM, Lou said:

THE DECLINE OF JAKE ARRIETA

 

https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2019/07/the-decline-of-jake-arrieta.html

This is where FIP is a really solid predictor of future performance. If you look at his ERA and FIP from 2014 to 2019, his FIP of one year always accurately predicted whether his ERA would go up or down the following year. And of course the trajectory is not good - it has gone up each year from 2015 to the present, and if the pattern holds he'll be even worse in 2020.

[34red4]

5 minutes ago, Angelsjunky said:

This is where FIP is a really solid predictor of future performance. If you look at his ERA and FIP from 2014 to 2019, his FIP of one year always accurately predicted whether his ERA would go up or down the following year. And of course the trajectory is not good - it has gone up each year from 2015 to the present, and if the pattern holds he'll be even worse in 2020.

I remember a few years ago someone put together a list of pitchers who out-pitched their FIP and it showed it was only sustainable for a few years before the performances tank. It may have been a conversation brought up around Weaver’s final years playing.

[Angelsjunky]

30 minutes ago, Jinzu said:

I remember a few years ago someone put together a list of pitchers who out-pitched their FIP and it showed it was only sustainable for a few years before the performances tank. It may have been a conversation brought up around Weaver’s final years playing.

yeah, I vaguely remember that. Some pitchers do consistently out-pitch their FIP, but it is rare - and it is usually the smart "pitchability" types like Weaver. Tom Glavine also comes to mind.

But I'm not talking as much about out-pitching FIP, but using FIP as an indicator for the next year. Weaver's FIP also accurately predicted his decline: as it went up, so too did his ERA the following year.

[Tank]

18 hours ago, m0nkey said:

Cody Bellinger hit 2 home runs tonight including the walk off, and has 29 for the year. Dogs win again

The dogs have now won five games in a row, all walk-offs.

This is beyond crazy.

[Angel Oracle]

7 hours ago, Lou said:

Nats are 26-10 in their last 36 games. They are now tied with Philly for 2nd place and only 5.5 GB of Atlanta

The bullpen is a mess though after Dolittle, who is the only key guy in it with a sub 4.40 ERA.

[Angel Oracle]

Just saw that Howie is having his best ever MLB season hitting wise so far, with a .934 OPS and a .322 BA in 227 PAs.

[Taylor]

17 hours ago, Lou said:

Nats are 26-10 in their last 36 games. They are now tied with Philly for 2nd place and only 5.5 GB of Atlanta

Poor Bryce

[Blarg]

16 hours ago, Angelsjunky said:

yeah, I vaguely remember that. Some pitchers do consistently out-pitch their FIP, but it is rare - and it is usually the smart "pitchability" types like Weaver. Tom Glavine also comes to mind.

But I'm not talking as much about out-pitching FIP, but using FIP as an indicator for the next year. Weaver's FIP also accurately predicted his decline: as it went up, so too did his ERA the following year.

His loss of velocity predicted his decline, FIP had nothing to do with it. He simply could not throw the ball with enough velocity to compete in the major leagues. 

 

[Blarg]

13 minutes ago, Taylor said:

Poor Bryce

His accountant begs to differ.