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Exit Velocity - is it important?


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Exit velocity if a fun stat of little importance. There's been one HR hit in the statcast era that hit the 120 mph mark. You know what it looked like? 

The same as any other HR.

As evidenced by Ohtani's ground out to 1B yesterday, exit velocity only tells a small part of the story. It was a shot! It was also a run of the mill 3-unassisted.

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2 minutes ago, Scotty@AW said:

Exit velocity if a fun stat of little importance. There's been one HR hit in the statcast era that hit the 120 mph mark. You know what it looked like? 

The same as any other HR.

As evidenced by Ohtani's ground out to 1B yesterday, exit velocity only tells a small part of the story. It was a shot! It was also a run of the mill 3-unassisted.

A ground ball hit at 100 mph has a better shot at clearing the IF than say a 50 mph ground ball hit to the exact same spot with the exact same defensive setup, I'm betting.

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10 minutes ago, Ace-Of-Diamonds said:

A ground ball hit at 100 mph has a better shot at clearing the IF than say a 50 mph ground ball hit to the exact same spot with the exact same defensive setup, I'm betting.

Hit placement is just as important as exit velocity in that case. 

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It’s definitely a good sign when a hitter hits it hard.  Means they are squaring it up and seeing the ball well.  Trumbo was one guy who always seems to hit it hard, but his lifetime .249 avg isn’t anything to write home about.  

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1 hour ago, Ace-Of-Diamonds said:

A ground ball hit at 100 mph has a better shot at clearing the IF than say a 50 mph ground ball hit to the exact same spot with the exact same defensive setup, I'm betting.

Absolutely agree.  The harder you hit the ball, the better your chances of getting a hit, as it means less time for the fielder to react to the ball.  Yes, if a hitter can "hit it where they aren't," then that's cool, but I think that hitters have more control over how hard they hit the ball than they do in hitting it to a precise, small location between two fielders.

I absolutely believe in exit velocity.  It isn't the end all be all, but it is a useful stat, and all things considered, you'd rather have someone who routinely blasts then ball than one who just generates modest contact.

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12 minutes ago, Ace-Of-Diamonds said:

And in practice.

In the real world, all things aren't equal. You might want them to be, but they aren't. So 110 mph off the bat can be an out and 30 can be a hit.

Exit velocity is a limited scope.  It's fun to look at, just like the radar gun is fun to read. It can tell you some things. But at the end of the day, it doesn't tell you much.

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3 minutes ago, Scotty@AW said:

In the real world, all things aren't equal. You might want them to be, but they aren't. So 110 mph off the bat can be an out and 30 can be a hit.

Exit velocity is a limited scope.  It's fun to look at, just like the radar gun is fun to read. It can tell you some things. But at the end of the day, it doesn't tell you much.

If a player has twice as much time to get to a ball, it makes perfect sense that he will make the play more often than he would if he had half that time to react. Just like driving a car at 100 mph you'd have less time to react to an emergency than at 50 mph.

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10 minutes ago, Scotty@AW said:

In the real world, all things aren't equal. You might want them to be, but they aren't. So 110 mph off the bat can be an out and 30 can be a hit.

Sure, but if the ball is hit to the exact same spot at 110 mph, it will get thru the IF way more often than at 30 mph and that's a fact Jack.

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