RedSox want to package Betts, Price trade

[AngelsLakersFan]

1 hour ago, ettin said:

Mookie is in his final year of arbitration control and will make $27M in 2020. David Price has three years of team control at $32M per season for a total of $96M. Using rudimentary surplus value projections you get the following:

David Price (2.6 WAR, 2.35 WAR, and 1.85 WAR from 2020-2022): -$30M

Mookie Betts (6.75 WAR for 2020): $45M (really the number is about $35M but you can make a case of performance scarcity here that increases his value)

Remember that these surplus values include their total salaries, it represents their "extra" value beyond what they are owed.

 

Your valuations are too high. Price and Betts are closer to -$15m than +$15m. This is also assuming those WAR numbers are locked in stone which they aren't - Price has far more downside on those projections than upside.

[Inside Pitch]

2 hours ago, Jay said:

let's see who gets the last word, Flop or Strad.

 

@Lou, in about three months

[ettin]

1 hour ago, AngelsLakersFan said:

 

Your valuations are too high. Price and Betts are closer to -$15m than +$15m. This is also assuming those WAR numbers are locked in stone which they aren't - Price has far more downside on those projections than upside.

For reference I used three year averages to determine the WAR numbers.

Also, the value of 1 WAR isn't going to make much of a difference for comparison purposes since the number is being applied equally to all players.

That being said, the valuations are really rough so they could be up or down.

[Angel Oracle]

Josiah Gray has put up great numbers through AA in just 1.5 minor league seasons so far, after being dominant for Lemoyne College in 2018 (11-0 in 13 starts).    Intriguing pitching prospect, already has a 5 inning perfection outing and a no-hitter into the 7th in another start.