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1 Year Contract(Nate’s idea, he was just too lazy to start a thread)


Stradling

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1 minute ago, Stradling said:

Which current free agent would you be most likely to give a large one year contract to play for the Angels this year?

 

I would go with Arrieta or Darvish.  You’d overpay for one year, probably go over the tax for one year, but you’d have a heck of a pitcher.  

Darvish. How about a one year guarantee deal with a player/club option?

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4 hours ago, Stradling said:

Which current free agent would you be most likely to give a large one year contract to play for the Angels this year?

 

I would go with Arrieta or Darvish.  You’d overpay for one year, probably go over the tax for one year, but you’d have a heck of a pitcher.  

Darvish is the only pitcher of the top 4 not costing a draft pick. Although Lynn or Cobb maybe cheaper and both had good years. No to Arieta, OK to the other 3.

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^^^ agreed @OHTANILAND. Things are slow and quiet and the market is depressed, but there will still be plenty of legitimate offers for these big names that'll be close enough to find agreement. Darvish and Arrieta are too old to risk a 1-yr, and any number of teams will still be willing to offer 4-5 yrs at $20m - they're either holding out for more, or waiting for certain teams to jump in. 

Of all the big names who may take a 1-yr deal, Moustakas seems most likely, and there isn't a place for him in Anaheim, so I'd see him doing so back in KC. Alex Cobb seems likeliest of the big SP candidates, simply because another solid year probably guarantees him a 4-5 year at $15-18m. Lynn's peripherals are a bit too shaky for him to take his risk.

As for why things are so slow, there's always a lot of blame placed on agents, especially Boras, for setting high prices or unreasonable demands, but I agree with the general idea that the players dictate what the agent works within and they're likely receiving plenty of acceptable offers still. The problem is the agent is likely advising they keep waiting things out and the player is taking that advice rather than the offer. That again likely comes back to Boras. He has a history of holding out for big offers for his guys and more often than not, it works for him. He has the biggest names, therefore his guys will set the market for other big names...

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At this point it's probably Darvish who is causing the slowdown. Everybody prefers him without the QO or the Boras hassle and it seems like the Rays and Marlins have priced Archer and Yelich out of most teams' minds. If Yu does sign with the Cubs then the others may fall in place right away. The position players probably all have offers they're willing to accept once it's clear there won't be any last minute competition

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1 hour ago, totdprods said:

^^^ agreed @OHTANILAND. Things are slow and quiet and the market is depressed, but there will still be plenty of legitimate offers for these big names that'll be close enough to find agreement. Darvish and Arrieta are too old to risk a 1-yr, and any number of teams will still be willing to offer 4-5 yrs at $20m - they're either holding out for more, or waiting for certain teams to jump in. 

Of all the big names who may take a 1-yr deal, Moustakas seems most likely, and there isn't a place for him in Anaheim, so I'd see him doing so back in KC. Alex Cobb seems likeliest of the big SP candidates, simply because another solid year probably guarantees him a 4-5 year at $15-18m. Lynn's peripherals are a bit too shaky for him to take his risk.

As for why things are so slow, there's always a lot of blame placed on agents, especially Boras, for setting high prices or unreasonable demands, but I agree with the general idea that the players dictate what the agent works within and they're likely receiving plenty of acceptable offers still. The problem is the agent is likely advising they keep waiting things out and the player is taking that advice rather than the offer. That again likely comes back to Boras. He has a history of holding out for big offers for his guys and more often than not, it works for him. He has the biggest names, therefore his guys will set the market for other big names...

And the worst thing you can do is give in to Boras and his clients by paying a premium for guys that are on the cusps of the sunset side of their careers. You see it happen time after time where you make that big splash hoping for that instant championship run and then it’s followed by almost immediate decline and injuries. 

 

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What will be interesting is to see what teams jump into the fray as prices decrease. That's when you see some serious surprises and deals being struck...

That's when you see random, surprising deals happen, like the usual suspects balking at Alex Cobb for 4/$60m and then someone random like the Blue Jays or White Sox or Reds swooping in and locking him up for 4/$70m, because they were originally out when Cobb's camp was asking 5/$85m or whatever, or the Padres going in on both Darvish and Hosmer, or the A's signing Lynn...

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