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Still a chance (update: no chance)


fan_since79

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3 minutes ago, AngelsFaninGA said:

We'll win our next four games, the Twins will lose their next four games. Then Colon will pitch a perfect game on Sunday

No, the Twins will lose out and the Angels will win their next 4 before getting no-hit on the final game of the year. They'll lose 1-0 in 15 innings. 

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23 minutes ago, fan_since79 said:

ESPN has us at 0.1% chance. How can that even be calculated?

 

Its easy.

The Angels have (roughly) a 50% chance to win the each of their following five games.

The Twins have (roughly) a 50% chance to lose each of their following the next five games.

Each event has to occur.

50%x50%x50%x50%x50%x50%x50%x50%x50%x50 =.00098 or 0.1%

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