2023 Pitching wOBA Projection

[SigBaby]

I built a model to project pitching wOBA for figuring out who to pick in fantasy baseball last year (pitching is more difficult to project than hitting for fantasy baseball). The model outperforms simply using the previous years' xwOBA to project the current season. Just figured I'd share it here in case anyone is interested. It did pretty well for me last year - identified Justin Steele and Kyle Bradish for me and I went 17-4-2 and won the championship (subtle brag). We'll see how it does this year.

 

As far as pitchers it suggests the Angels might benefit in targeting, Domingo German is an interesting projection and is pretty much the only guy in the top 30 projected starters who would be reasonable to acquire (he seems to have personal issues, but who doesn't). Make of it what you will

woba_23_predictions.csv

[SigBaby]

Woops 2024 projection

[Erstad Grit]

I don't think Ohtani SP will be top ten next year. 

[ScruffytheJanitor]

7 hours ago, Erstad Grit said:

I don't think Ohtani SP will be top ten next year. 

[T.G.]

7 hours ago, Erstad Grit said:

I don't think Ohtani SP will be top ten next year. 

He is going to pitch left handed.