2022 Fantasy Football

[Catwhoshatinthehat]

This may not get many or any responses but it's that time of year and with the Angels sucking the NFL season and fantasy football are what I'm looking forward to right now. QB looks to be really deep on paper with guys like Brady, Wilson, Prescott and Stafford in the 8-12 range followed by Rodgers and Cousins.  You can always make a case against any player - is this the year father time catches up with Brady, was last year a sign Wilson is regressing, not a lot of hype for Prescott after a quiet season by his standards last year where he didn't run much, Stafford's elbow, Rodgers losing Adams, Cousins inevitably starts strong but ends up as a mediocre QB.  The point is if you don't get a top 5 QB you can wait and even be one of the last guys to draft a QB. 

WR is also deep as once you get past the elite options there's multiple guys ranked 20+ that you can make a case they could end up top 15 receivers - G. Davis from Buffalo, Sutton or Jeudy in Denver (one has to become Wilson's favorite right?), JuJu in KC, Brown paired with his college QB in AZ, etc.  KC moved Hill and Robinson is gone who accounted for 200 targets between them last year  so more targets for Kelce, JuJu and Valdez Scantling along with rookie Skyy Moore.  Green Bay moved Adams and they drafted Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs while so far the latter has gotten more hype after early camp and preseason results.  TE position looking like it has for the last so many years or rather decade plus with a few elite options then a few guys who could make the leap and a lot of question marks.

I've got the last pick in my 10 team league that has no flex, 2 RB and 3 WR spots non-PPR while passing TD's are 6 points.  For picks 10 and 11 I'm thinking best available RB and Kelce which is a bit earlier than I'd normally want to take him but I know he won't make it past the end of round 2 nor will Andrews be there by the time I pick again at 30.  Kelce is Mahomes most trusted receiver to start the season and while I have no doubts someone else will emerge Kelce should see plenty of targets and without a flex spot in this league having a legit TE can go a long way.  For QB I'm liking Hurts which isn't going out on a limb as he's getting quite a bit of hype fantasy wise right now.  He's behind one of the best O-line's in the league, adding Brown should help his passing numbers and last year before his ankle injury which cut his running production in half the last 3 or 4 weeks he ranked 6th or 7th in per game scoring along QB's.     

As far as RB goes the last so many years has seen fewer workhorse backs.  You've got quite a few backfields that are murky right now - KC (sounds like Jones may get cut and CEH isn't getting a lot of love while Pacheco could be a sleeper), Denver (is Williams the guy or is it more of a 50/50 or 60/40 split with Gordon), Miami (Edmonds, Mostert, Michel), Buffalo (not a lot of production out of RB's the last so many years but word is they want Allen to run less), Dallas (was Zeke's lack of burst last year really injury related as Pollard looked like the quicker back), etc.  I'm thinking Mixon at 10 or 11 in my league mentioned above.  They tried to improve their O line and he's the unquestioned lead back in Cincy but I know last year was his best season while he's one of those guys who seems to be dealing with an injury more often than not. 

Any players any of you are targeting?   

[Jason]

I have the 1st pick in one draft but that’s a keeper league so a few studs are already off the board. I’m picking 8th in another PPR league but that league has some first time players in it so you never know how that is going to go. I think Brian Robinson in Washington is someone to keep an eye on. Gibson doesn’t look sharp and Robinson has had a good camp. Pollard is now the better back in Dallas but I don’t think Zeke takes a back seat yet. As far as targeting, I like to get one elite RB and WR in my first 2 picks. I will likely take Taylor with the #1 pick. I’d love to have CMC but he’s turning into the Trout of the NFL. I just don’t think he makes it long before another injury. If he stays healthy he will be awesome

Edited August 17, 2022 by Jason

[Catwhoshatinthehat]

Manager tendencies or preferences can make it pretty hard to plan for a draft beyond maybe your first pick but over the years you figure out how certain managers draft.  The league I mentioned someone will always grab a QB before the end of round 2 and some times this starts a run where you will see maybe 3-4 QB's come off the board earlier than they should.  Agreed about Robinson in Washington as everything reported on Gibson so far is that he's lacking explosiveness and has been underwhelming.  For years I was a big fan of going RB RB but with fewer 3 down backs and the league becoming more of a passing league I've moved towards RB WR or RB TE if I can get the top TE.  It sounds like any possible suspension for Kamara will be in 2023 so I've been kicking around the idea of going RB RB but with no flex position and 2 starting RB positions there's always RB depth on the waiver wire.  I drafted CMC and Cook in 2019 when they were the top 2 RB's which carried me in my league but the odds of that happening again are extremely small.  For CMC it's always been an issue of health and not skill.     

[Jason]

4 hours ago, Catwhoshatinthehat said:

Manager tendencies or preferences can make it pretty hard to plan for a draft beyond maybe your first pick but over the years you figure out how certain managers draft.  The league I mentioned someone will always grab a QB before the end of round 2 and some times this starts a run where you will see maybe 3-4 QB's come off the board earlier than they should.  Agreed about Robinson in Washington as everything reported on Gibson so far is that he's lacking explosiveness and has been underwhelming.  For years I was a big fan of going RB RB but with fewer 3 down backs and the league becoming more of a passing league I've moved towards RB WR or RB TE if I can get the top TE.  It sounds like any possible suspension for Kamara will be in 2023 so I've been kicking around the idea of going RB RB but with no flex position and 2 starting RB positions there's always RB depth on the waiver wire.  I drafted CMC and Cook in 2019 when they were the top 2 RB's which carried me in my league but the odds of that happening again are extremely small.  For CMC it's always been an issue of health and not skill.     

Yeah, the NFL has changed and the work horse RBs are all but gone. I always want one stud RB early and I figure some combo of other decent guys I draft in the 5 round or later will suffice. As far as QB, I’ve only drafted one before the 5th round And that was in the fourth last year. I’ve played in a fantasy league for about 12 years now with the same players so it’s pretty easy to predict how they are going to draft. RBs go very quick in that league (non PPR) so if you don’t grab one in the 1st you might be a little weak in that position. I make myself some tiers for the early rounds and that helps take some guess work out of it. I hate when there’s a player or two that doesn’t do any homework prior to draft day and it takes them forever to make their pics

[HanfordGuy]

Defense wins championships…pick a Def/ST with your 1st pick.

[Slegnaac]

5 hours ago, HanfordGuy said:

Defense wins championships…pick a Def/ST with your 1st pick.

Kickers score points!

[Jason]

Here’s my first draft of the year. Non-PPR, keeper league. I kept Jefferson for my 11th round , Moore for my 15th and Freimuth for the 16th round. I had the 1st overall pick for the first time ever. I’m happy with how it turned out. Keeper leagues are weird because of all the good players that are already kept on a team. For example Jefferson, Chase and Kupp we’re already off the board before we started drafting so many guys get taken before their ADPs. I got Hall and Brown at the 2nd and 3rd turn. All 12 first round picks in this draft were RBs 

Edited August 24, 2022 by Jason

[Vegas Halo Fan]

I am in five leagues this year. One is an autodraft league, so I'm stuck with whatever I get (one year my only QB after the initial draft was a backup). It's a 12-team league, so there isn't much help on the waiver wire if your initial roster sucks. The general rule used to be, don't take a QB until the third round. I read the draft as it goes on and see what other teams are doing before I decide that.

[Catwhoshatinthehat]

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/commanders-rookie-brian-robinson-jr-shot-multiple-times-in-attempted-robbery-per-reports/

[Jason]

37 minutes ago, Catwhoshatinthehat said:

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/commanders-rookie-brian-robinson-jr-shot-multiple-times-in-attempted-robbery-per-reports/

Looks like I may have my first drop candidate

[Chuck]

Get your NFL picks in everyone! 

 

[Chuck]

So I drafted three teams, three different formats (Yahoo, ESPN and CBS). All PPR (1pt). 

What do you think?

[Jason]

On 9/10/2022 at 11:19 AM, Chuckster70 said:

So I drafted three teams, three different formats (Yahoo, ESPN and CBS). All PPR (1pt). 

What do you think?

I already dropped Kmet and Penny is next in line. Seattle’s offense looks awful and Penny will share time with Walker