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PattyD22

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Posts posted by PattyD22

  1. 6 hours ago, Inside Pitch said:

    There's math but there's also gibberish built upon the subjective analysis of a random dude on the internet -- it's about as scientific and analytical as an ESPN power ranking.  

    If you wanted to create a tier list based on purely on math and focusing on wins and who has played who then you may as well start by using RPI as the the baseline -- RPI basic formula being, 25% team winning percentage, 50% opponents' average winning percentage, and 25% opponents' opponents' average winning percentage.

    Using RPI and going for 6 tiers you'd get the following.

    Tier 1: Milwaukee .577, Baltimore .574 , Cleveland .568, NYM .556, and Boston .547.
    Tier 2: Seattle .535, Cinci .526, Pittsburgh.523, LAD .521, NYY .517.
    Tier 3: Atlanta .516, Philly .510, Minnesota .503, Oakland .499, Toronto .498
    Tier 4: KC .497, CHC .494, SDP .494, Detroit .488, LAA .483
    Tier 5: Texas .479, STL .477, TBR .475, Washington .473, SFG .473
    Tier 6: Arizona .463, Houston .455, Miami .441, Colorado .426, CWS .415

    So how does Oakland end up in Tier 3 while the D-Backs (You didn't even include them in yours), end up in Tier 6?  It's called the unbalanced schedule.  Even using something that attempts to incorporate real math/analysis and not "trust me bro" math it's pointless until everyone in MLB has played more than 5 or 6 of the 30 teams in MLB.  

    Using RPI, 12 of the Angels 25 games (48%) have come against TIER 1 teams and 15 of their 25 games (60%) have come against the top 2 tiers .vs the 3 games they have played against the Marlins.
     Considering how many winnable games they have lost some might see that as a reason to believe they could do better... but reality is we don't know if they will find ways to lose against bad teams too.  It's just too early. 

    Props for making an effort to substantiate your rankings but you may want to ease up on BS a bit.


     

    Bill Hader Popcorn GIF by Saturday Night Live

  2. 20 hours ago, PattyD22 said:

    Great job @gotbeer.  I can’t tell you how many morons we had to fly out of there on our Air Squads because they thought they could do that hike to Switzer Falls in flip flops and a 16 oz water in the summertime.

     

    20 hours ago, cals said:

    I read a story today about another Asian person dying while hiking in SoCal.  They really need to pass a law.

     

    18 hours ago, gotbeer said:

    Yeah, actually pretty tragic.  It was 2 canyons over from me when I did my hike.  Was wondering what the helicopters were for.  I even commented to one of my hiking partners, that it was a sheriffs helicopter, so definitely a rescue somewhere.  By the "died of blunt force trauma", that's either she fell off the trail, or more likely, tripped and hit her head on a rock.  And that trail she was on was a more moderate one too according to alltrails.

    This could be one of the people I was mentioning in my response regarding hiking in flip flops and a small 16.9 oz Arrowhead water.

    Then again, she may have been wearing Crocs also.  Very popular hiking shoes in the Asian community.  With all due respect.

  3. On 4/22/2024 at 9:58 AM, gotbeer said:

    Personal best.  20 miles on the Mt. Wilson hike yesterday.  A bit hot, but found a group of people to hopefully do a bunch of hikes with.  Someone pass me the drugs.

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    Not sure what kind of snake this was.  Looks like a rattler, but it didn't have a rattle on him.  

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    Great job @gotbeer.  I can’t tell you how many morons we had to fly out of there on our Air Squads because they thought they could do that hike to Switzer Falls in flip flops and a 16 oz water in the summertime.

  4. 4 hours ago, James said:

    Thats a great venue. Saw TATE there with the San Diego Symphony backing them. Was an amazing evening. Seeing Avett there in October. 

    We had pretty awesome seats, then found out later you could just sit on the boardwalk behind a small fence and watch/listen to the same show I am for about $560 less.  Now I know

    IMG_3310.jpeg

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