GregAlso

Tehran over here like... 🤔

Tehran over here like... 🤔

Tehran over here like... 🤔

Tehran over here like... 🤔

Tehran over here like... 🤔

Teheran gets no love.... I think he's a solid pitcher. We're lucky to have him.

You could say they got him for.... half... price....

Rendon is over here like 😗

Rendon is over here like 😗

He's probably Catholic, so I would imagine that he is.

2B just aren’t worth that much on the market unless they hit a lot of bombs. Philadelphia and Baltimore both waived theirs and the Orioles second baseman was an all star. 

Listen if you were married to an awesome woman that will travel with you to watch the Angels, you’d take her to see some theatre.  

Do you honestly think that Eppler didn’t try that?  

And once again, the Dodger help the red sox get out off payroll issues and on paste to win another ring faster than the Dodgers.

Baseball ops VP of Tampa. I was hoping for the Royals guy they interviewed. My backup hope is that a lot of their really smart baseball guys go elsewhere. 

Interesting article in the Athletic today about all of this. Worth the read if you have a sub. Here’s a quote to think about. 
 
“Four of their returning hitters made remarkable improvements in their ability to lay off those pitches. Marwin González went, incredibly, from a 40-percent swing rate to just 10 percent … Carlos Correa improved from 27 percent to 15 percent … Jake Marisnick dropped from 30 percent to 13 percent … George Springer went from 18 percent to 12 percent. We’ll mention here that according to Tony Adams’ work at signstealingscandal.com, those four players were among the Astros who were at bat for the highest percentage of trash-can bangs that season. “
https://theathletic.com/1573075/2020/01/31/does-electronic-sign-stealing-work-the-astros-numbers-are-eye-popping/?amp
 

Interesting article in the Athletic today about all of this. Worth the read if you have a sub. Here’s a quote to think about. 
 
“Four of their returning hitters made remarkable improvements in their ability to lay off those pitches. Marwin González went, incredibly, from a 40-percent swing rate to just 10 percent … Carlos Correa improved from 27 percent to 15 percent … Jake Marisnick dropped from 30 percent to 13 percent … George Springer went from 18 percent to 12 percent. We’ll mention here that according to Tony Adams’ work at signstealingscandal.com, those four players were among the Astros who were at bat for the highest percentage of trash-can bangs that season. “
https://theathletic.com/1573075/2020/01/31/does-electronic-sign-stealing-work-the-astros-numbers-are-eye-popping/?amp
 

I think just about everyone has one. And the ones that don’t do a caravan, which is like a little traveling fanfest. 
 
When I covered the Giants and A’s they both had them every year. I think they’re great for fans. 

This but of humor is spot on and after a the week baseball has been having this is certainly worth the watch. As a side note it may clue you in to the things you’ve missed about the dumpster fire going on right now. 
 
Enjoy

I feel like the teams that have fanfests, or that we hear about having them, are teams that have had winning records over the past couple of seasons or have won a title recently. I have heard about Houston, Cubs, Doggies, and Oakland fanfests. I wonder if that’s what all the teams with fanfests have in common, a recent Track record of winning? Hence none for us. 🤷🏻‍♂️

This is just over 5 2/3 IP per start on the average. I know that Ausmus had a quick hook, but I look for our starters to really go deeper into games, especially if they go with a true 6 man rotation. At 6 1/3 IP per start average, you'd get 100 more innings from the starters.
Assuming that Teheran, Bundy, and Heaney all get at least 27 starts, they all look good as far as innings go. If they get 30, then the innings go up to 180-190. Lets call all three 180 inning starters, and say they average 29 starts. Canning getting 135 innings is 5 inning average in 27 starts. If you bump that to 6, its 162 innings. Lets round down to 144 over 24 starts. Ohtani at 110 innings is 5 inning average in 22 starts. I think he pitches more innings per starts, but 22-24 is likely at 6 1/3 it's 140-150 innings. Lets say 140 over 22 starts.
That's 830 innings out of the top 5 starters, over 133 starts.
Sandoval getting 10-12 starts wouldn't surprise me, but lets say he goes 12 at 6.1 per that's 66 or 76 innings, so a slight uptick. I think Andriese may surprise, but if he only starts 10-12 as well, lets give him slightly less at 5 2/3 per start, for say 57 to 68 innings. They didn't put Pena in here, and he's likely to get starts. Say 8-10 starts at the minimum, or around 48 innings. I think Barria, Suarez and Peters maybe get 1-2 starts each. Basically non-factors. The next 6 guys in the rotation then start around 27-30 games total, at 180 innings,  and they break 1000 innings from the starting staff. That is a 6.17 average at 1000, so slightly less than 6 1/3.
At a slightly lower team ERA, led mainly by Teheran being 1.5 runs lower, Bundy being closer to 4, Canning being closer to 4, and Ohtani being closer to 3, I figure the team ERA will be closer to 4.2.
Teheran at 3.8 ERA over 31 starts and 186 IP would be at 79 runs. Bundy at a 4.1 ERA over 29 starts would be 183.2 IP , would be at 84 runs. Heaney at 170.1 IP with a 4.01 ERA would be 76 runs. Canning at 144 IP and a 4.00 ERA is 65 runs or so. Ohtani being closer to a 3.2 ERA (or lower) over 140 innings, would be around 48-50 runs. This totals out at 824 IP and say 353 runs.
Sandoval at his numbers above would be fine, but I'm bumping up Andriese and adding Pena to the group, all around the same Sandoval ERA and IP. That means each of these guys giving up around 32 runs in 66 IP on average. So 96 runs over 198 IP for the back end three.
Add the 96 to the 353 and the 198 to the 824 and you end up at 449 over 1022 IP and the starting staff ERA is around 3.95. I think that's a tad optimistic, but add 7% to the above across the board and you're at that 4.2 ish ERA number. That would increase the runs to 480 from the starting staff.
At 1022 IP from the starters, the pen would only have to pick up around 430 IP. This would be the fewest they've pitched in several seasons. Even if you decrease the number of IP from the starters by 7% you're down to 950 IP, which at that original 449 actually comes out similarly to increasing the runs.
So the Pen pitching to their standard 3.85-3.95 ERA over 430-500 IP means that the pen gives up between 184 and 219 ER.
This leads the team as a total to allow around 664-668 earned runs.  Team ERA would sit at the 4.1 range.
Add that to the unearned runs, which is usually low (like 6-9% more) and you end up in the low 700-720 runs range. That's less than 4 1/2 runs per game, which is better than league average. 
Seeing as I have them near the top offensively, around 850 runs scored, That will lead to a 94 win team.
 
 
 
 

We used to do these every year because they were fun and the Angels weren't doing them, so someone had to. 
Over the past 4-5 years though life got busy, some changes in our org took place and so we haven't done one since 2017 when we had Wally Joyner as a special guest. 
Here's one of our many though from 2008-2017, this one taking place in 2013. 
 

Sooo, Ausmus gets the Boston job then?

Sooo, Ausmus gets the Boston job then?