Jump to content

WicketMaiden

Members
  • Posts

    1,831
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    1

Reputation Activity

  1. Like
    WicketMaiden got a reaction from Angel Oracle in Moniak Undervalued   
    As many others here have alluded to, if it ain't broke, don't fix it.
  2. Like
    WicketMaiden reacted to Tank in Moniak Undervalued   
    according to baseball reference.com, ohtani has a batting WAR of 3.0 and a pitching WAR of 2.4 so far this season.
  3. Like
    WicketMaiden reacted to Angelsjunky in Moniak Undervalued   
    If it ain't broke, don't fix it. Moniak has played in 27 of the last 40 games, starting 23 of them. He's getting a lot of playing time--playing in just over two-thirds of all games--and it is working out well. I don't think adding a few more starts and adding some artificial label ("everyday starter") would necessarily do anything positive for him.
    Here is the last 40 games, since Moniak was called up:
    Moniak: 27 games, 23 started | .337/.371/.707, 193 wRC+
    Ward: 33 games, 30 started | .268/.309/.441, 103 wRC+
    Renfroe: 34 games, 30 started | .260/.297/.389, 87 wRC+
    Trout: 38 games, 37 started | .222/.358/.444, 123 wRC+
    Trout and Ward are both improving, and Renfroe just had a huge game. Unless someone gets injured or one of Ward or Renfroe falls off, I think they just keep going with what they've been doing.
  4. Like
    WicketMaiden got a reaction from HaloBronco in Moniak Undervalued   
    As many others here have alluded to, if it ain't broke, don't fix it.
  5. Like
    WicketMaiden got a reaction from Slegnaac in What have you watched recently? (Please use the hide function for spoilers or plot lines)   
    Alone: Season 10
    Now this is more like it. I'm only one episode in but there are some serious players in this season. No gimmicks this year, just a great new location (Saskatchewan) and the standard rules, but from what I've seen so far the overall quality of the contestants is up on the last couple of years. A promising beginning.
  6. Woah
    WicketMaiden reacted to arch stanton in Thoughts and Prayers   
    Yeah that’s a standard video in safety training around aircraft. One of the first things I heard about in the early ‘80s was someone whose field jacket hood got caught in the vortex of a F-16 engine at end of runway and sucked him in
  7. PLEASE NO GOD NO!!
    WicketMaiden reacted to OhtaniSan in Describe tonight's game in one word   
    coughmagicalcough 
  8. Like
    WicketMaiden reacted to Biergott in Angels acquire Mike Moustakas from the Rockies for Connor van Scoyoc   
    My son just sent me this
     

  9. Like
    WicketMaiden got a reaction from arch stanton in What have you watched recently? (Please use the hide function for spoilers or plot lines)   
    You can access BBC iPlayer if you have a VPN. Or, you can find that show here: https://www.dailymotion.com/search/37 one month in Summer/videos
  10. Like
  11. Like
  12. I Don't Know?
    WicketMaiden reacted to Jason in Gameday Thread (6/24/23): Angels @ Rockies - Escobar making Angels debut at 3B, Renfroe at 1B   
    When was the last time we’ve seen the Halos kick someone’s ass like this?
  13. Like
  14. It's True!
  15. Like
    WicketMaiden reacted to Blarg in AngelsWin Today: Dissecting Mike Trout and why you should not worry   
    Trout's Last 5 days .278/.409/.722/1.131    
  16. Like
    WicketMaiden got a reaction from Taylor in AngelsWin Today: Dissecting Mike Trout and why you should not worry   
    Is it written in crayon?
  17. Like
    WicketMaiden reacted to Dirtbags in Gameday Thread (6/24/23): Angels @ Rockies - Escobar making Angels debut at 3B, Renfroe at 1B   
    Wow! Trading for Escobar, starting Renfroe at first, and bringing up Fletcher.  Angels are definitely showing a sense of urgency this season. Wished they've shown this more in past seasons.
     
  18. Like
    WicketMaiden reacted to Inside Pitch in AngelsWin Today: Dissecting Mike Trout and why you should not worry   
    Comparing players today to anything prior to 68 at the earliest seems pointless to me.  The game has changed so much, the rules have changed so much -- even the equipment.  I'd argue you could hack 30 points off everyone's average due to improvements in gloves alone much less all the data and advance scouting that takes place now and that doesn't even factor in the usage of RPs and average velocities/sliders..  Ty Cobb was considered one of the finest fielders of his day and yet the dude had 271 errors over the course of his career -- Mike Trout 21, and there are some who have argued Trout has been a poor defensive CFer for years now.
    Saying hit the ball up the middle sounds good, and is a sound strategy but it's not the quick fix it used to be even 30 years ago.
  19. Like
    WicketMaiden reacted to Inside Pitch in AngelsWin Today: Dissecting Mike Trout and why you should not worry   
    I know right, lets ignore the data and instead buy into what some little league batting champion that never actually faced a AA quality slider or FB thinks about swing mechanics.
    If you compare his predictive stuff when Chuck posted the BS data on May 18th to today we see that his average exit velocity on the season has improved by 11%, his maximum exit velocity has improved by 10%, his hard hit % has increased by 10%, his xwOBA has improved by 4%, his xSLG% has improved by 3%, his barrels have improved by 1%, and finally his K and whiff% clearly areas of real concern for years now seeming cancel each other out -- he's whiffing less but his K rate has worsened slightly.  The lone area where there has been ANY slippage is in xBA...  where he's gone from 81% to 74%.
    So how does someone see his predictive data improve across the board and still see the worst stretch of his life?  Let's break it down into two segments...  April 30th-May 31st.
    Date Tm G GS Rslt PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB IBB SO HBP SH SF ROE GDP SB CS BA OBP SLG OPS BAbip aLI WPA acLI cWPA RE24 DFS(DK) DFS(FD) Apr 30 to May 31, 2023 LAA 27 26 14-13 116 102 16 24 2 0 6 13 10 2 34 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 .235 .328 .431 .759 .290 1.03 0.244 1.08 0.11% -0.80 204.00 270.70 June 1st through Wednesday
    Date Tm G GS Rslt PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB IBB SO HBP SH SF ROE GDP SB CS BA OBP SLG OPS BAbip aLI WPA acLI cWPA RE24 DFS(DK) DFS(FD) Jun 1 to Jun 21, 2023 LAA 18 18 10-8 80 63 10 10 2 0 2 8 16 0 22 0 0 1 0 3 1 0 .159 .325 .286 .611 .200 1.09 0.014 1.19 0.02% -1.44 121.00 168.00 Totals since April 30th
    ▲ Tm G GS Rslt PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB IBB SO HBP SH SF ROE GDP SB CS BA OBP SLG OPS BAbip aLI WPA acLI cWPA RE24 DFS(DK) DFS(FD) May 2 to Jun 21, 2023 LAA 44 43 23-21 192 161 26 34 4 0 8 21 26 2 53 4 0 1 0 3 1 0 .211 .333 .385 .718 .257 1.06 0.329 1.14 0.17% -1.28 325.00 438.70 The MLB average BaBip from April 30th-Wednesday was sitting at .299 according to the info at StatsPerform (formerly STATS INC).
    Anyone that has actually watched Trout at bats has seen him either be on top or under the ball a lot, he's been off -- he's been missing, I don't think anyone would argue otherwise.  But when a guy with a career BaBip of .345 while sporting a 96% sprint speed is posting a .Babip 40 points below the league average over the span of 192 PAs or .200 over 80 PAs you have to ask yourself, is this actual decline, is it extremely bad luck, or both?   His full season BaBip BTW is sitting at .310, which really goes a long ways to show how unlucky he's been during this 200 PA stretch or you have to believe that MLB is positioning Mike Trout better than they are everyone else..  
    Given his plate discipline has been inching up along with all his predictive data, particularly the batted ball data, it's hard to argue he's swinging harder to make up for something he's lost.  So the questions become -- has he suddenly all at once lost the ability to elevate the baseball...are we watching him hit the ball into the air like always only to see it die?  I can't say that that's what I've been seeing happen.
    He's been off, he's been unlucky.  Maybe he needs to get his eyes checked -- but I'll start worrying in earnest when some of the obvious clues as to what's happening aren't as obvious.  I do think some of it is in his head, he's never had a run like this and maybe he's pressing a bit, trying to make too much happen.  Doc's post did a great job of pointing out an actual area of concern but as a whole, much of his numbers read like luck induced noise.   That being said, there are a lot of people who think BaBip is exclusively a pitcher's stat... so, some may view the luck talk as "noise".
     
  20. Like
    WicketMaiden got a reaction from Vegas Halo Fan in HR Pros   
    First step is get everything in writing. So in your position I would email HR (copy in your manager) to recap your conversations to date over the phone, and then ask them confirm in writing what they have said. For example: "You advised that contract was given in error. Who is liable for that mistake?" "Can you confirm no other employees have this contract?". That sort of thing.
    As a general rule of thumb over here, if HR is doing everything over the phone and not in writing, there is something amiss.
    Good luck with it.
  21. Like
    WicketMaiden reacted to Jason in AngelsWin Today: Dissecting Mike Trout and why you should not worry   
    Maybe he enjoys reliving his childhood 😜
  22. Like
    WicketMaiden reacted to Tank in Spin Forum Dumping Bin   
    I dunno but let’s ask him.  Larry, do you find it odd that Taylor has such a burning desire to make light of this tragedy? 
  23. Like
    WicketMaiden reacted to Angelsjunky in AngelsWin Today: Dissecting Mike Trout and why you should not worry   
    See my post upthread. Strikeout rates were very different back then - the league average went as low as 6.9% in 1925. Only Arraez among qualifiers has a K% below that (a ridiculous 5.0%). Ruth's K% was 16.0% that year, which is more than double the league average and second after Gabby Hartnett (17.4%) among all hitters with at least 400 PA.
    Or to put it another way, between 1871-1945 (through WW2) there were 310 hitters with at least 5,000 PA. Ruth's career K% of 12.5 is 6th highest. Jimmie Foxx, also one of the greatest hitters of all time (156 wRC+), was 2nd with 13.6%, and Hack Wilson (141 wRC+) was 4th.
    Let's find a similar sample size. During the 21st century (2000-23) there have been 322 hitters with at least 4,000 PA. Trout is 54th with 22.3%.
    Or to put it another way, this notion that "great hitters don't strike out a lot" or Trout's rate is abnormally high, relative to his era:

  24. THIS!
    WicketMaiden got a reaction from Vladdy Issues in Angels acquire Eduardo Escobar from the Mets for Landon Marceaux and Coleman Crow   
    Escobar stats:
    2019: 158 games; 35 HR; 111 OPS+; 2.9 fWAR
    2021: 146 games; 28 HR; 109 OPS+; 2.6 fWAR
    2022: 136 games; 20 HR; 107 OPS+; 2.3 fWAR
    That reads like a very solid player who is now on a slow decline. Not bad for a couple of depth arms and $250k. Nice job, Perry.
  25. THIS!
    WicketMaiden got a reaction from REDneck in Angels acquire Eduardo Escobar from the Mets for Landon Marceaux and Coleman Crow   
    Escobar stats:
    2019: 158 games; 35 HR; 111 OPS+; 2.9 fWAR
    2021: 146 games; 28 HR; 109 OPS+; 2.6 fWAR
    2022: 136 games; 20 HR; 107 OPS+; 2.3 fWAR
    That reads like a very solid player who is now on a slow decline. Not bad for a couple of depth arms and $250k. Nice job, Perry.
×
×
  • Create New...