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34red4

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Posts posted by 34red4

  1. 5 minutes ago, Angelsjunky said:

    This is where FIP is a really solid predictor of future performance. If you look at his ERA and FIP from 2014 to 2019, his FIP of one year always accurately predicted whether his ERA would go up or down the following year. And of course the trajectory is not good - it has gone up each year from 2015 to the present, and if the pattern holds he'll be even worse in 2020.

    I remember a few years ago someone put together a list of pitchers who out-pitched their FIP and it showed it was only sustainable for a few years before the performances tank. It may have been a conversation brought up around Weaver’s final years playing.

  2. 2 hours ago, mulwin444 said:

    Jeff Samardzija - signed through 2020.  He's a body...but capable of some decent innings and likely would not cost a lot to acquire.

    I think after yesterday’s tragedy, the team just needs someone who can pitch significant innings. I think he would be a good target. He looked very good in yesterday’s start.

    Does anyone have any insight on his character? Maybe a veteran can help pick up some of the younger guys on the staff.

  3. 27 minutes ago, Second Base said:

    Woah woah woah....62.5 million in deferred payments? Never mind, I changed my mind. Not unless Arizona covers the deferred payments and the trade assignment bonus. 

    The deferred is $12.5M per year. If I’m understand things correctly, since his base salaries are $31.5M in 2019, $32M in 2020 and 2021, a trade occurring today with no money exchanged would leave the Angels having to pay $2M trade bonus plus $8.5M for the rest of 2019, $19.5M in 2020 and 2021, and deferred $31.25M over the years 2022-2026.

  4. Some interesting things I noticed about Calhoun’s stats. Fangraphs does not rate him a good defender, and they rate his arm as bad. I’m not sure why that is as he’s still seen by most as a gold glove caliber RF.

    The only thing I can think of in regards to his arm is that he is being punished by stats because he doesn’t have as many assists as he’s had in the past, but that’s because runners don’t test him as much out of respect for his arm. And I don’t think any stats take that respect into consideration.

  5. 8 minutes ago, mymerlincat said:

    Even if he improves a bit (which is unlikely because he's been incredibly meh for 3 seasons now), he still isn't better than Hedges.

    Hedges is absolutely better overall than Lucroy. But Lucroy is superior with the bat this season. And offense is what they are looking for.

    “The Padres’ goal in dealing from its current position player cast would be to upgrade offensively at two spots – catcher and center field – and add “young arms,” per Acee. Their desire to pick up controllable pitching has long been known, though it’s interesting they want a better offensive backstop.”

    On May 24th, Lucroys OPS was .800. Last 15 games he’s slumped atrociously,  hitting .140/.228/.140. For the season, his OPS is .680. It is not unrealistic for him to get hot again.

    Hedges OPS for the season is .579.

    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2019/06/padres-reportedly-willing-to-trade-most-position-players.html

  6. 34 minutes ago, mymerlincat said:

    Why would the Padres trade one of their top 15 prospects for a backup catcher in a year where they probably won't make the playoffs?

    You saw Lucroy as a backup catcher when his OPS was in the upper .700s? My post was with the assumption he got hot again to those levels again.

    To answer your question, for the same reason some posters on here want to go after MadBum though the Angels probably won’t make the playoffs. Because there is hope of making the playoffs, current players in-house are worse this season, and there is organizational depth in the position they are trading from.

  7. 9 minutes ago, AngelsLakersFan said:

    He probably ends up with a contender but I really doubt that's on his list of priorities right now.

    Agreed.

    He may be looking for the team that offers him the opportunity to raise his stock the highest before the offseason. A good story can do that.

    Leading the Angels as their “ace” into the postseason is a good story. Better than solidifying the middle of a contender’s rotation.

  8. 5 hours ago, Jinzu said:

    I also like 134. Carter Bins C. But who knows if we have capped out on drafting catchers from Fresno State.

    School: Fresno State Year: Junior Position: CAge: 21 DOB: 05/11/1998 Bats: R Throws: RHeight: 6'0" Weight: 200 lb.Previously drafted: 2016, 35th (1037) - PHI 
    WATCH video.gif

    Scouting grades: Hit: 45 | Power: 50 | Run: 40 | Arm: 60 | Field: 55 | Overall: 45

    A 35th-round pick out of a Northern California high school by the Phillies in 2016, Bins turned them down to attend Fresno State. He became an immediate starter behind the plate for the Bulldogs and has blossomed into one of the better defensive catchers in college baseball. A team that believes enough in his bat could take him in the top three rounds.

    Bins has a chance to become a plus receiver with arm strength to match. He moves well behind the plate, possesses soft hands, blocks well and makes accurate throws. He also earns praise for his instincts and leadership skills.

    Bins' bat will determine whether he can become a starting catcher at the big league level. He has shown better discipline and made more consistent contact this spring, but his right-handed swing can get long and he'll probably hit more for power than average. While he hasn't driven the ball as much in 2019 as he did a year ago, he has solid to plus raw power.

     

    Best remaining college player after Day 2. Interesting. #134 MLB.com, #92 Baseball America.

  9. I also like 134. Carter Bins C. But who knows if we have capped out on drafting catchers from Fresno State.

    School: Fresno State Year: Junior Position: CAge: 21 DOB: 05/11/1998 Bats: R Throws: RHeight: 6'0" Weight: 200 lb.Previously drafted: 2016, 35th (1037) - PHI 
    WATCH video.gif

    Scouting grades: Hit: 45 | Power: 50 | Run: 40 | Arm: 60 | Field: 55 | Overall: 45

    A 35th-round pick out of a Northern California high school by the Phillies in 2016, Bins turned them down to attend Fresno State. He became an immediate starter behind the plate for the Bulldogs and has blossomed into one of the better defensive catchers in college baseball. A team that believes enough in his bat could take him in the top three rounds.

    Bins has a chance to become a plus receiver with arm strength to match. He moves well behind the plate, possesses soft hands, blocks well and makes accurate throws. He also earns praise for his instincts and leadership skills.

    Bins' bat will determine whether he can become a starting catcher at the big league level. He has shown better discipline and made more consistent contact this spring, but his right-handed swing can get long and he'll probably hit more for power than average. While he hasn't driven the ball as much in 2019 as he did a year ago, he has solid to plus raw power.

     

  10. 71. Spencer Jones 1B/LHP could also be another potential two-way player.

    School: La Costa Canyon (Calif.) HS Year: SeniorPosition: 1B/LHP Age: 18 DOB: 05/14/2001Bats: L Throws: L Height: 6'7" Weight: 205 lb.Commitment: Vanderbilt 
    WATCH video.gif

    Scouting grades: Hit: 50 | Power: 55 | Run: 55 | Arm: 55 | Field: 50 | Overall: 50

    Scouting grades: Fastball: 55 | Curveball: 55 | Changeup: 40 | Control: 45 | Overall: 45

    At first, Jones' participation at the Perfect Game All-American Classic in San Diego last summer after a solid Area Codes Game performance seemed like a nice little "local kid done good" story. Then he singled and stole a base on the offensive end while throwing a perfect inning on the mound, serving notice that he might be the best two-way player in this Draft class. Scouts won't get the chance to see him this spring, however, as surgery to fix a small fracture in his throwing elbow will put him on the shelf until the summer.

    The scouting industry is somewhat divided about where the 6-foot-7 left-hander's future lies. On the mound, he's up to 93 mph with his fastball, a pitch that's rarely straight. He has the ingredients of a very good curveball that could eventually be a plus pitch. It all comes from a projectable body and a delivery that works, giving hope that he'll find the strike zone more consistently and have the aptitude to add an effective third pitch as he gains more experience. Many thought he'd turn into a pitcher only, especially given his size, but he's shown he uses all those moving parts well as a position player. He's a plus runner and obviously, his arm works well, and he's played both the outfield and first base. He has a whip of a swing and is very unpolished, but some evaluators can dream on him as a hitter.

    Jones has as much upside as perhaps anyone in the Draft class and that's true on both sides of the ball. He still could factor in the early rounds of the Draft, though teams looking to sign him away from his Vanderbilt commitment will have to do so based on his summer performance.

  11. 3 minutes ago, eligrba4ever said:

    Suarez Ks Haniger. Probably done for the day, having used 80 of his allocated 90 pitches. He qualifies for the W if the 10-run lead holds.

     

    They just said no one is warming up in the pen so he may be out for another inning.

    After that, bring in Cody Allen to hopefully get in some clean innings and lower his ERA so we can fool some GM to trade for him.

  12. On 5/31/2019 at 8:46 AM, totdprods said:

    Since the original post, the Angels have gone 5-5. And since April 5th, they still have a winning record 26-23.

    In the last ten games...

    • The Angels 'starters' (including Pena/Trop) have posted a 4.68 ERA across 50 innings, despite Harvey allowing 8 ER in 2.2 IP. Take that out, and it's a 3.44 ERA.
    • The bullpen, including the openers, have thrown 41 IP, allowing 11 HR and a 7.24 ERA.
    • The Angels main starting 9 - Fletcher, Trout, Calhoun, La Stella, Rengifo, Goodwin, Lucroy, Pujols, and Ohtani - have a combined slash of .263/.357/.409/.765, still above the AL average.
    • Entering today they are back to 9.5 GB out of 1st (fell as low as 11 GB) and are 2 GB in the WC race.

     

    The thing that stands out to me the most is how many innings our bullpen has been throwing. They are getting burnt out and you can see it in the results.

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