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Reveille1984

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Posts posted by Reveille1984

  1. Two top 100 prospects is underselling an Ohtani trade? I'd take that as a centerpiece for Shohei any day of the week.  We'd likely get some major league talent coming back as well, but that's pretty obvious if we're moving him.

    I think people forget how few actual contenders have multiple top 100 guys in their farm system they're willing to move (or at all).  The only two I can think of off the top of my head are the Dodgers & Orioles (Orioles have EIGHT in the top 100, holy sh*&), and I don't see Baltimore making that type of move.  Some other teams have a couple of guys, but they're more towards the bottom 100 than top.

     

     

  2. At this point we just need to give the guys time to get it together, there's too much failure going on from the pitching side.  Even a decent mid rotation acquisition isn't going to change much for us.

    To put it into perspective, only 25 (qualified) starting pitchers were worth over 3 WAR in 2022 (there's also a handful of guys like Scherzer, Sandoval, etc. over 3 WAR with less than qualified innings).  You might expect a mid-rotation guy to give you 1.5-2.0 WAR over a season, and we're already approaching the 50 game mark.  So even if we grab someone to replace whoever (Canning/Silseth/etc.), we'd be lucky if they added another win or two to a barely .500 team.  

    We're better off just hoping these guys round into form, and if not trade Ohtani and get some pieces back for the future.

  3. 48 minutes ago, ArkyAngelsFan said:

    I've been thinking about the Ohtani situation and this is where I'm at also. I hate to have to let him go but the chances of him resigning with us seems to get bleaker every day.

     

    This is the Angels we're talking about.  We'll make some kind of headway, hang around about 5-6 games out at the ASB and keep Shohei around under the justification of "having a shot".  Then we'll fade completely, finish around .500, and Ohtani will walk in the offseason for squat.

    We all know this will happen barring some catastrophic collapse in the next two months.  

  4. Has been about as good as we could have hoped for up to this point.  League average offense (wRC+ of 100) and great defense.  Competitive at bats, hasn't really looked overmatched at all.  Already at around 0.5 WAR after 65 PAs.

    Only one walk is a little concerning, but funny enough he has a .350 OBP with all his HBPs.  Once he taps into some of that power I think he'll end up a 4-5 WAR guy over the next couple years.

  5. 1 hour ago, Stradling said:

    if you follow the team, you know it isn’t the same. The results are somewhat similar but there is a ton more talent here now.  

    We haven't finished above .500 since he's been here, but it isn't the same... what?

    Maybe this is the year we finally do, but I wouldn't call this team "a ton" more talented unless a lot of circumstances break our way.

  6. 19 minutes ago, DMVol said:

    I don't think we're going to "fall out of contention", if by that he means 10 games back in the Wild Card standings.  If we're squarely in the mix for the Division and the Wild Card, not a hard call to keep him, even if you later lose him.....The tough call, which is certainly possible, is what do you do if you're on the fringe of the Wild Card standings, maybe 5-6 games behind, maybe a little below .500? I dunno.....I know it's probably not a popular sentiment but I'd probably trade him to salvage what I can....

    If Texas ends up being the real deal, I could see us being 6-8 games back of the WC at the TDL if we don't pull our heads out of our asses.  I still don't see a scenario where Moreno would sell off Ohtani though.

    The AL is a meat grinder this year, and we have to prove we can actually compete with teams like NYY/HOU/TOR/BAL/etc.

  7. Unless something catastrophic happens with injuries again, I don't see us being far enough behind at the TDL to trade Ohtani.  Especially with Arte doing a full 180 on the team sale, he probably has a renewed hard on for any semblance of a successful season.  And barring that, he'll want to suck every last marketing dollar dry from Shohei before he's on his way to a new team.

     

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