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WicketMaiden

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Posts posted by WicketMaiden

  1. 58 minutes ago, Angelsjunky said:

    See my post upthread. Strikeout rates were very different back then - the league average went as low as 6.9% in 1925. Only Arraez among qualifiers has a K% below that (a ridiculous 5.0%). Ruth's K% was 16.0% that year, which is more than double the league average and second after Gabby Hartnett (17.4%) among all hitters with at least 400 PA.

    Or to put it another way, between 1871-1945 (through WW2) there were 310 hitters with at least 5,000 PA. Ruth's career K% of 12.5 is 6th highest. Jimmie Foxx, also one of the greatest hitters of all time (156 wRC+), was 2nd with 13.6%, and Hack Wilson (141 wRC+) was 4th.

    Let's find a similar sample size. During the 21st century (2000-23) there have been 322 hitters with at least 4,000 PA. Trout is 54th with 22.3%.

    Or to put it another way, this notion that "great hitters don't strike out a lot" or Trout's rate is abnormally high, relative to his era:

    Loop Trump GIF

    Excellent research @Angelsjunky. Good point, well made.

  2. 51 minutes ago, ten ocho recon scout said:

    What I like about this is that the opening statements will include the Defense giggling, waving their hand at the paralegals who are dying but trying to do it discreetly, while saying "do it! You have to do it!"

    And the Defense will open with "Mr. Bubba. Will you please tell the court about how you made Mr. Coles balls sticky?"

    And Carpino is like "oh, real mature."

    And the Judge bangs the gavel, saying "order in the court", but he's laughing too.

    Reminded me of this.

  3. 40 minutes ago, Tank said:

    GB posted a link about it being missing, which includes a video on what the sub looks like and how it works. in hindsight, it looks like a lot of bad decisions. 

    i hope they're found before it's too late.

    It is being reported over here that even if they find it, they won't be able to rescue it immediately. The small submersibles used to find the submarine haven't got the kit, they will have to arrange for another submersible to go down and grab it once it's been located. That will add several hours to any rescue attempt.

     

  4. 2 hours ago, disarcina said:

    YES -- Halos really have no real choice here. -- cannot risk losing Ohtani (best MLB player of all time) leave for draft pick compensation.

    NO -  Arte keeps his word but risks being the guy  who not only let Ohtani get away, but get away for virtually nothing in return.

    This is just fuckwittery. And very old fuckwittery, too.

    tenor-3771699148.gif.4eb430672b09346122f932fdd4ac5383.gif

  5. 4 hours ago, steveuk said:

    Thanks. So at the simplest, crudest level someone on +1.0 is a better player or has more value than someone on -0.1.

    Therefore, the suggestion - for example - the Angels should have brought up Fletch instead of Stefanic is wrong.

    But I suppose that's where stats can be subjective 🙂

    No, not necessarily. WAR is several counting stats that are built up over a period of time, it's an aggregate of a players actual impact on the game, not an assessment of value. So, a player who has 1.0 WAR after 100 games is having a lesser impact than another player who has 0.5 WAR in 20 games.

    It is a metric to measure a player's total actual impact on the games already played, but offers no projection of a player's value or future performance.

  6. 38 minutes ago, steveuk said:

    Interesting read, particularly WAR v Salary. I'm not very au fait with these advanced stats. Wins against Replacement Player. Is that Wins against a league average replacement or against some random minimum wage scrub found on the street? 

    Wins Above Replacement (WAR) is judged against a replacement level player, so think of a AAAA type player, a guy that just about holds his own in the big leagues. A guy like that would likely score 0.0 WAR over the season. Several dozen stats, aggregated over several seasons, are used to calculate WAR. Here's a couple of links if you want to know more: https://www.baseball-reference.com/about/war_explained.shtml  and https://library.fangraphs.com/misc/war/

    All-Star calibre players are 4 - 6 WAR players over a 162 game season.

    MVP's are generally around 9 - 10 WAR, and there are usually only a handful of players in any year who are above 8 WAR. Trout has had several of them and is flying up the all-time leader-boards.

  7. Shohei Ohtani is the best in baseball and this season it's not even close.

    His 4.7 bWAR is a huge lead over Wander Franco with 3.9, and is tracking at 10.4 bWAR for the season.

    Fangraphs tells a similar tale, Shohei leads in fWAR with 4.4, another huge lead over Corbin Burnes with 3.4 (Franco T3 with 3.3 fWAR), and that is tracking at 9.8 fWAR for the season.

    He has been a little wild though, he also leads MLB in wild pitches (11) and hit batters (9).

    Trout is next on the Angels with 2.1 fWAR (tied for 18th in the AL), and 2.1 bWAR.

    Mickey Moniak is still tearing it up with 1.5 bWAR from just 23 games - that is tracking for 10.7 bWAR over a full season. Great stuff!

    Here's the rest, courtesy of baseball-reference.com...

    Full-Season Roster & Games by Position

    • Glossary
    Name Age   B T Ht Wt DoB Yrs G GS Batting Defense P C 1B 2B 3B SS LF CF RF OF DH PH PR WAR
    Salary  
    Shohei Ohtani 28 jp JP L R 6' 4" 210 Jul 5, 1994 6 71 71 71 14 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 71 0 0 4.7 $30,000,000  
    Mike Trout 31 us US R R 6' 2" 235 Aug 7, 1991 13 68 67 68 65 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 65 0 65 2 1 0 2.1 $37,116,667  
    Zach Neto 22 us US R R 6' 0" 185 Jan 31, 2001 1st 55 52 55 55 0 0 0 0 0 55 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1.9    
    Carlos Estévez 30 do DO R R 6' 6" 277 Dec 28, 1992 7 31 0 0 31 31 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.5 $6,750,000  
    Mickey Moniak 25 us US L R 6' 2" 195 May 13, 1998 4 23 20 23 21 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 4 8 21 0 2 1 1.5    
    Matt Moore 34 us US L L 6' 3" 210 Jun 18, 1989 12 22 0 0 22 22 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.1 $7,550,000  
    Taylor Ward 29 us US R R 6' 1" 200 Dec 14, 1993 6 66 60 66 64 0 0 1 0 0 0 64 0 0 64 0 6 0 1.1 $2,750,000  
    Brandon Drury 30 us US R R 6' 2" 230 Aug 21, 1992 9 65 62 65 65 0 0 35 49 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1.0 $8,500,000  
    Jaime Barria 26 pa PA R R 6' 1" 210 Jul 18, 1996 6 15 4 0 15 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.9 $1,050,000  
    Chris Devenski 32 us US R R 6' 3" 211 Nov 13, 1990 8 20 0 0 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.9 $100,000  
    Matt Thaiss 28 us US L R 6' 0" 215 May 6, 1995 5 50 35 50 44 0 42 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 11 1 0.8 $740,000  
    Sam Bachman 23 us US R R 6' 1" 235 Sep 30, 1999 1st 7 0 0 7 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.7    
    Chad Wallach 31 us US R R 6' 2" 246 Nov 4, 1991 7 31 24 31 29 0 29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 0.7    
    Griffin Canning 27 us US R R 6' 2" 180 May 11, 1996 4 11 11 0 11 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.6 $850,000  
    Logan O'Hoppe 23 us US R R 6' 2" 185 Feb 9, 2000 2 16 15 16 16 0 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.6 $730,000  
    Patrick Sandoval 26 us US L L 6' 3" 190 Oct 18, 1996 5 13 13 0 13 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.6 $2,750,000  
    Jacob Webb 29 us US R R 6' 2" 210 Aug 15, 1993 4 12 0 0 12 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.6    
    Gio Urshela 31 co CO R R 6' 0" 215 Oct 11, 1991 8 62 56 62 61 0 0 22 1 37 9 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0.5 $8,400,000  
    Andrew Wantz 27 us US R R 6' 4" 235 Oct 13, 1995 3 14 0 0 14 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.3 $740,000  
    Reid Detmers 23 us US L L 6' 2" 210 Jul 8, 1999 3 12 12 0 12 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.2 $740,000  
    Brett Phillips 29 us US L R 6' 0" 195 May 30, 1994 7 20 3 19 13 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 8 1 12 1 1 8 0.2 $1,200,000  
    Jo Adell 24 us US R R 6' 3" 215 Apr 8, 1999 4 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0.1    
    Jake Lamb 32 us US L R 6' 3" 215 Oct 9, 1990 10 19 14 18 17 1 0 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0.1 $100,000  
    Anthony Rendon 33 us US R R 6' 1" 200 Jun 6, 1990 11 38 38 38 38 0 0 0 0 38 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.1 $38,571,428  
    Hunter Renfroe 31 us US R R 6' 1" 230 Jan 28, 1992 8 65 62 65 65 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 65 65 0 3 0 0.1 $11,900,000  
    José Soriano 24 do DO R R 6' 3" 220 Oct 20, 1998 1st 7 0 0 7 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.1    
    Michael Stefanic 27 us US R R 5' 8" 180 Feb 24, 1996 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.1    
    Andrew Velazquez 28 us US B R 5' 9" 170 Jul 14, 1994 6 3 3 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.1    
    Ben Joyce 22 us US R R 6' 5" 225 Sep 17, 2000 1st 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0    
    Reyes Moronta 30 do DO R R 5' 10" 265 Jan 6, 1993 6 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0    
    Chris Okey 28 us US R R 5' 11" 200 Dec 29, 1994 2 2 1 2 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0    
    Gerardo Reyes 30 mx MX R R 5' 11" 195 May 13, 1993 3 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0    
    Austin Warren 27 us US R R 6' 0" 170 Feb 5, 1996 3 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0    
    Zack Weiss 31 us US R R 6' 3" 210 Jun 16, 1992 3 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0    
    Jimmy Herget 29 us US R R 6' 3" 170 Sep 9, 1993 5 15 0 0 15 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1    
    Kolton Ingram 26 us US L L 5' 9" 170 Oct 21, 1996 1st 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1    
    Luis Rengifo 26 ve VE B R 5' 10" 195 Feb 26, 1997 5 61 48 61 58 0 0 0 41 7 6 4 2 3 9 0 6 0 -0.1 $2,300,000  
    Livan Soto 23 ve VE L R 5' 10" 160 Jun 22, 2000 2 4 4 4 4 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1    
    David Fletcher 29 us US R R 5' 9" 185 May 31, 1994 6 8 4 8 8 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.2 $6,000,000  
    José Quijada 27 ve VE L L 5' 11" 215 Nov 9, 1995 5 10 0 0 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.3 $750,000  
    Chase Silseth 23 us US R R 6' 0" 217 May 18, 2000 2 9 1 0 9 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.3    
    Tucker Davidson 27 us US L L 6' 2" 215 Mar 25, 1996 4 14 0 0 14 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.4 $740,000  
    Aaron Loup 35 us US L L 5' 11" 210 Dec 19, 1987 12 20 0 0 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.4 $7,500,000  
    Tyler Anderson 33 us US L L 6' 2" 220 Dec 30, 1989 8 12 12 0 12 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.5 $13,000,000  
    Ryan Tepera 35 us US R R 6' 1" 195 Nov 3, 1987 9 10 0 0 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.6 $7,000,000  
    Jared Walsh 29 us US L L 6' 0" 210 Jul 30, 1993 5 25 16 25 24 0 0 24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -0.7 $2,650,000  
    José Suarez 25 ve VE L L 5' 10" 225 Jan 3, 1998 5 6 6 0 6 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0 $750,000
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