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well_red
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Posts posted by well_red
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Though I thought the Pujols deal was bad business, as a fan I was ecstatic. Same with Hamilton. I figured with those two guys, we just needed it to come together for a season or two and we would easily make a deep playoff run, we'd end up with two bad contracts later but might be worth it. Shit was I wrong.
I thought the Greinke trade was absolutely stupid.
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1 hour ago, Adam said:
Hey smart guys, which includes ummmm well just uhh @fishbulb I suppose
Question. So this article says that rona been in Ohio since January.
We've seen others in NY and CA that say it was likely December.
The R0 is supposed to be between 1.8 and 2.5 or something. Let's round to 2.
No distancing measures until mid-March.
A R0 of 2 would mean that infections approximately double each day. Right?
In just 29 days it would be a half billion infections. Clearly that doesn't make sense, does it?
So which variable is wrong or what am I missing?
I'll head over to the meat locker and take your answer off the air.
R0 of 2 does mean on average, each infected person will infect 2 more. What you are missing is the timing. It takes several days for the virus to build up in the body to the point where you are infectious, then several days to transmit to these other people etc. It doesn't double every day, I think in California the doubling rate was around 4 days.
- Adam and AngelsLakersFan
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25 minutes ago, tdawg87 said:
NH sucks. I was just going to say we have a good Belgian game with Schilling Brewing but then I remembered Massachusetts has Notch and Silvaticus and I realize my state is just a pointless wasteland of trees and minimal highway travel between actual good beer and pretty much everything else.
We have no sales tax though!
I lived in NH 20-25 years ago and Catamount was the local go-to. Guess technically it was in Vermont, but close in White River Junction. Back when there weren't a ton of microbrews around, especially in the middle of nowhere New England. Surprised they went tits up because they were legit, still have nostalgia for their amber, perfect.
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1 hour ago, Tank said:
I’m trying to understand why the Lakers were applying in the first place.
The PPP was worded so poorly that really the only condition to apply was having less than 500 employees. From their perspective, at worst it is a business loan with an insanely low 1% rate, at a time when capital is hard to come by, and at best it is deemed legitimate payroll expenses and is "forgiven" by the government. I don't think they envisioned when they applied that they'd be stealing it from real small business owners and the PR ramifications of it, but the banks stepped up big time for their largest clients and made sure they got paid first. 'murica.
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Have always respected the Buss family but gotta say, fuck them:
https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/29104444/lakers-got-money-loan-program-returned-it
- Tank and mtangelsfan
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You need to read the article before making a snap judgement. It's definitely less egregious than the Astro's, though I do smell some bullshit here. Cora is the ring leader in Houston but has no knowledge in Boston, no way. Why was the sign-stealer's office moved near the dugout, that was just random? But basically the whole Red Sox organization threw this one analyst under the bus. I'd expect him to come out to the press if he felt others were involved, but the article says it as his job to steal the signs (legally, not in real time), and he took it upon himself to update his info with the live feed.
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13 minutes ago, Redondo said:
I don't care for the guilt by association. I'm about as liberal you can be but I think CNN is a shit stain on America. I'd agree if it said they were "DNC Media."
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1 hour ago, UndertheHalo said:
If it was a fuck up in a lab that was trying to prevent it. I mean that’s obviously bad. To me that seems less ominous then the wet market bat eating stuff though. Much more easily preventable from being a problem in the future. Imo China definitely has a problem with consumption of things that people shouldn’t consume. There was a study a few years back out of Hong Kong that basically said that this kind of thing was time bomb out of those wet markets. Not because of the wet markets themselves, but because of some of the shit that people buy and eat out of them.
I'm not sure how this equates into China is the worlds greatest threat. Ehh. They research dangerous things all over the place. If it is, in fact the result of a laboratory mishap. I mean holy shit. But at the same time. Hopefully there is some lesson learned here.
I don't know, I think any news that comes out of China like this is terrifying. Mistakes happen, sure. But this is a country where infant milk producers were poisoning babies for a year and the biggest concern of the Chinese government was to kill any negative publicity around the Olympics. Any info that leaks out is just the tip of the iceberg.
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Yeah, Sweden is sure showing up the rest of the world.
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This thing just won't leave
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59 minutes ago, ten ocho recon scout said:
Some mentioned on here a few weeks back that NY has a lot of italians, and that must be why and here we see that its very possible. But to be fair, it could be from any number of european countries. And until a "patient zero" is identified, its speculative that this is how it arrived.
Those "Italians" in NY/NJ immigrated many generations ago. There is such a big community there that they have kept their identity, but I doubt they are traveling to the "old country" very often like Michael Corleone. Probably just common tourist destination for Americans, Chinese, etc.
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6 minutes ago, Chuckster70 said:
So my question to you is, do you blame both Trump and Dr. Fauci for acting slowly and causing deaths or still just Trump?
Ridiculous to pin anything around coronavirus on Trump. I think he acted pretty much in line and in time with all the western heads of state. But he's an egomaniacal buffoon who can't hold his tongue and probably the least capable leader we could have in such a crisis, so he is an easy target.
The whole federal government is absolutely broken. Federal oversight was supposed to proactively protect us from foreign terrorists (nope), financial collapse due to greedy and amoral banks (nope), and now global fucking pandemics (nope). At this rate you can bet that Skynet will become a reality and we'll be fighting AI and robots in 10 years.
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5 minutes ago, gotbeer said:
That India number looks suspicious.
It's a rolling 7 day average after the first day with at least 3 deaths -- probably shouldn't even be plotted for another week or so.
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I don't know why they even release the number of known cases, it's completely misleading to compare country to country or even state by state. No one knows how the aggregate number compares to the number of actual infected.
Anyway, deaths are a pretty firm measurement, give or take, and scary that we don't look like we even close to a plateau yet:
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So I guess the "high floor" that Dipoto and Servais raved about was AA, amazing scouting.
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I definitely miss playing online poker. I got into the math and strategy etc and read up a lot and looked up a lot of stuff on two plus two, got decent but definitely a rookie. My bank roll was constantly grind away for a while, turn 100 into 1000 or whatever, then back down to 50 in a night drinking or on tilt. Rinse and repeat. Probably don't have the mentality for the grind, especially since I was playing far below what I could afford so the winnings were meaningless. The low stakes tables get boring after a while and I never wanted to invest more since I was just doing it for fun. Started out on sit-n-go's but the cash games were more fun. I pretty much just played PLO for the last year they were still running online and that was super fun but the variance can be brutal. I'll jump back on if/when it is legalized.
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19 minutes ago, JarsOfClay said:
Anyone else feel like they might have corona and not get tested yet?
I feel like I might have the corona virus. For the past 10 days, I have had this horrible dizziness and fatigue, as well as a cough that seems to last all day one day then disappears the next. I wake up in the morning and get of bed, and almost fall down from my head spinning out of control. I eventually recover and seem fine enough to get through the day.
My symptoms are too mild to actually go to the doctor, but there is definitely something wrong with me.
Last week I felt like I had a very mild cold, eyes were burning a bit, slight sore throat, but what really stood out was for 3 or 4 days I often felt out of breath. Normally I probably wouldn't have thought twice about it but who knows.
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Seems measures are working in California, let's hope it continues:
https://www.ft.com/coronavirus-latest
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23 minutes ago, ten ocho recon scout said:
So what youre saying is, we just need some time to adjust to covid america, but were pandemic ready right now?
We had a “high floor” for our response
The Outdoors Thread
in The Official Hangout Forum
Posted
Had a similar experience camping at Whitney Portal last year. For a month before we went my wife was in a panic about bears because of what she read online, I kept teasing her about it because, though I know there are bears all over these camp sites, it's not like you hear much about bear attacks. Anyway, first night, just after sunset, I'm a few whiskeys in around the campfire and my wife suddenly grabs my arm and a huge bear emerges out of the woods about 10 feet from us. And it just wandered right by me, sniffed the bear locker, then went on to the next site. By day 3 it was as scary as a loose dog.