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zenmaster

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  1. 3 minutes ago, eaterfan said:

    Why this obsession with pitching? Can our pitching improve? Yes. But trading offense to do it probably doesn't help. You don't get any more wins for winning a game 4-3 than you do 6-5.

    Assuming it's a fair trade, you expect to lose as much offensive production as what you gain in pitching. Not only does that seem to be break even, it probably hurts the team. Offense builds on itself.

    For example about every 10 runs created is a win. If the league average has a .300 OBP then a HR is worth about 1.3 runs because a runner will be on base about 30% of the time. The same HR for a team with an OBP of .400 would create about 1.4 runs. In addition, the higher the OBP of the team the more PAs they get. Fangraphs did an article on putting Mike Trout in different lineups. In Houston's he would be projected for about 800 PAs over a full season. That's about 150 more than an Angels season. 

    Pitching doesn't work quite the same way. You get diminishing returns once you reach a certain number of innings that starters pitch.

    We have a Grammar Cop here but I think we need a Math Cop on this one...

  2. I'd say we are top 5 sure, maybe even top 3. Who would we really trade though? We'd probably have to package a prospect with Flether or LaStella to get a good pitching piece. 

     

     

    Maybe we can trade Rendon + Fletcher for Cole?

  3. The more I think about it the more I'm against trading Adell or Marsh. I really think both these guys could be stars someday in the not so distant future. I'd hate to give one of them up for a year of a player. The only way I'd consider giving one of them up is for a proven starter with multiple (3 or more) years left. An even then I'd still be torn on the move. It will kill me if we lose one of them and they turn into an all star.

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