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ettin

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Posts posted by ettin

  1. 3 hours ago, Angelsjunky said:

    Thought I'd post this here. I think Bill James makes an important point - that the decline of a Mike Trout is very different from the decline of a Kole Calhoun (he wrote "Kyle" but I think he meant Kole). Meaning, a peak seasons of 120 OPS+ declines to 100 to 90, etc. Whereas Trout peaked around 180-190, so his first plateau of decline might be more in the 150-160 range. Plus, even in decline, great players still seem to have one or two peak-level seasons mixed in.

    So my sense is that the next five years of Trout is going to see more ups and downs, but still one or two vintage Trout performances. James' hypothetical OPS+ line of 170, 150, 185, 160, 135, 152, 144 sounds about right...obviously it won't be right, but something like that.

    I'm also not convinced that Trout can't adjust. He's done it before, and more so, he's been dominant for good periods of time this year. He may still continue to struggle with the high fastball, but if he can lay off it more, his walks will go up, and he can focus on pitches he can hit. For whatever reason he's swinging at pitches he's generally avoided in the past.

    So I do believe this, when it comes to Trout, but this was also a similar argument that was made prior to extending Albert Pujols (which I think was, in hindsight, a mistake for a 1B/DH type of player).

  2. Frankly, we need to see how the team plays through the rest of July. If they go on a winning streak and improve from their current 5% chance of a Wild Card slot, it would not be unsurprising to see them turn around and become buyers, possibly. Really just depends on where they are at in 3 weeks.

    Beyond that you don't tear it all down. You don't move Iglesias whom you just signed to a multi-year deal, that is counter-productive in all likelihood. You just don't blow it up, you continue to build forward, which this team needs and can accomplish. If we end up as sellers, you simply move the short-term assets only. Then in the off-season if you have an opportunity to upgrade, then you might move one or more longer-term assets for an established, productive player. Extend Ohtani and do the other things that will make the Angels contenders in 2023 and beyond.

    Personally, Ward has shown great bat production and hasn't overly hurt in the outfield. Adell would be fantastic depth so do you move one of them or do you keep both? Are there other ways to upgrade pitching for example? Lots of permutations and I am not sure we need to make drastic changes to achieve our goals.

    Everyone likes the fun thought process of making a big trade, but I think the Angels need to be really shrewd and careful about what they move and why.

  3. 2 hours ago, Jeff Fletcher said:

    I’ve had several conversations with Angels coaches and front office people about how Rengifo has much more talent than all of the other middle infielders (Fletcher included). He just hasn’t been able to put it together. 
     

    Let’s not forget this is a guy the Dodgers and Indians both wanted in trades that didn’t happen. 

    But Jeff who was the second piece the Angels were sending with Rengifo?!?!? 😄

  4. When I hear the word "rebuild", I immediately equate it to a tear down of the current roster and a multi-year process of reconstituting the entire team.

    The Angels have not been that for a handful of years now, primarily because they have two once-in-a-lifetime generational players on the team in Trout and Ohtani. They have been trying to surround those two with a good set of role players and other stars, to win now, not later.

    So everyone should get the word rebuild out of their vocabulary as long as one or both of Trout and Ohtani are on this roster. At best you should be calling it a "retooling", probably. "Reloading" might be a word that describes a "retooling" combined with a touch of "rebuilding".

    Don't use the word rebuild until Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani are no longer on this roster. Despite the fact the team is laying down to their opponents, doesn't mean the organization philosophically believes the team should not be competitive year in and year out. I think they all want to win, but the magic formula has not presented itself yet and the personalities involved in the decision making processes continue to jam up the wheels (looking directly at Arte Moreno here). 

  5. 13 hours ago, Docwaukee said:

    I've got one for yah - who the hell is Jorge Marcheco?  Made 3 starts in the DSL last year.  9ip, 0 hits, 0 walks, 20 k's.  His only baserunner allowed was a HBP.  In those 9 innings, he threw 70 pitches.  What the shit?

    Tonight in his first ACL game he went 5 innings and gave up 2 hits, 0 walk and whiffed 6 on 31 pitches.  He also hit a guy.  Um.  What the hell?  

    Are those pitch counts right?  I don't think so.  

     

    13 hours ago, rafibomb said:

    howwww

    gambling-counting-cards.gif

    90-grade stuff with 10-grade control?

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