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CartiHalos

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  1. Like
    CartiHalos reacted to Angelsjunky in AngelsWin Today: My Takeaways from Spring So Far   
    There's how the roster looks to start the season vs. how it looks in June-July when we have a better sense of how good the team is, vs. how it looks in August-Oct for a hypothetical stretch run. Sort of like Billy Beane's old saw, "You use the first third to see what you have, the second third to get what you need, and then ride the last third to the playoffs." Or something like that.
    So, for the outfield, it seems likely that, as the author says, they start with Trout and Ward, with Moniak on the strong side of a platoon with Hicks and Adell. Trout and Ward can get DH starts, so after 50 games we might see games started like so: Trout 45, Ward 45, Moniak 35, Hicks 20, Adell 20 (150 outfield + 15 DH starts). Adjust for injury and performance. By June, you've got a third of the season in the bank and have a better sense of things, and can re-adjust.
    Adell pretty much has to start on the big league club, unless someone offers a similar "tarnished former top prospect with untapped upside" in return, which is very unlikely. You just can't trade him for peanuts, not at 25 years old (can't believe he's going to be 25 in a few weeks).
    That said, Hicks and Marisniak, despite strong springs, are unlikely to be anything more than the 4th outfield types they've been for most of their careers. Meaning, their upside is limited - and quite a bit below Adell's (and probably Moniak's) - so you really don't want to completely block Adell from getting his chances. The scenario in which one of them retains a job over Adell for the entire season is basically if all of the above happens: Trout and Ward are healthy, Moniak is playing well, AND the Angels are competing. Then you want a high floor 4th outfielder. But that's a lot of "ifs." Chances are someone gets hurt and/or disappoints, or the Angels simply aren't that good. Then Adell's sporadic playing time expands come June.
    And of course Adell could theoretically force the issue by earning more playing time. But unfortunately for him (and the Angels), he probably needs a solid 400+ PA of consistent play to un-tap his potential. Meaning, it is hard to see him mashing in a sporadic 100 PA in the first couple months, forcing a full-time gig. But I hope to be proven wrong.
     
     
  2. Like
    CartiHalos reacted to Duren, Duren in AngelsWin Today: My Takeaways from Spring So Far   
    Should be interesting and kinda fun watching various experiments with platoons and rotations. This is the foundation for establishing structure and stability going forward. 
    Looking  back, last year was really tough because of the Ohtani factor. Selling out at the deadline especially. In the hope of impressing him enough to resign. And the better he did, the worse the odds were anyways. 
    The most pressure will be on Trout and Rendon to stay healthy and put up career level numbers. Which would actually be a bonus, given the last couple of years when expectations weren't met. 
    A nice productive spring so far. Nothing spectacular, but positive signs for a team re-establishing themselves and their image. 
    One comment on this good article. I really think this is Adell's last chance with this team. So I hope he gets every opportunity to show that he belongs. That might mean patience early, but the clock will be ticking. 
  3. Like
    CartiHalos reacted to Angels 1961 in AngelsWin Today: My Takeaways from Spring So Far   
    I do wonder about final names in BP. Will Stephenson start year on IL? Will Wantz and Soriano be starters at SLC?
  4. Like
    CartiHalos reacted to Second Base in AngelsWin Today: My Takeaways from Spring So Far   
    I'm failing to see how having Jo Adell as the 5th outfielder benefits this team.  If it were me, the Angels would be rebuilding and Jo Adell would be starting every single game, because he's a lottery ticket and you're hoping to cash in on him figuring it out.  But the Angel have different intentions.  So where does Adell fit?  He isn't good enough defensively to be a late game replacement.  Sure, he's fast, and can pinch run, but is that really using him to his full ability?  If you just wanted speed you would be better off using Adams in that role.  Is he a DH?  And if so, do you use him over Sano if you're trying to win ball games?  Or if Trout is at DH, Adell still isn't in the lineup over Hicks. 
    So what do you do with him?
    I think the Angels will get what they can get for him at the end of Spring Training.  Probably some 25 year old reliever in AA that throws 98 with no control that gets DFA'd next winter.  Or if they're lucky, some team will be looking for a change of scenery situation like Michael Kopech for Adell, which could be ideal for both teams. 
  5. Like
    CartiHalos reacted to Chitown27Fan in AngelsWin Today: My Takeaways from Spring So Far   
    Nice honest wright up I agree we should think long and hard about Snell not so much for this year but for next pair him with another top guy next year with Reid and Chase and Canning would be nice. 
  6. Like
    CartiHalos reacted to Angels 1961 in AngelsWin Today: My Takeaways from Spring So Far   
    Well written questions still to be answered. Adell I'm really pulling for along with Sano. 
  7. Like
    CartiHalos reacted to Chuck in AngelsWin Today: My Takeaways from Spring So Far   
    Good stuff, @CartiHalos!!
  8. Like
    CartiHalos reacted to ettin in AngelsWin Today: My Takeaways from Spring So Far   
    This was well written and executed, good job @CartiHalos !
  9. Like
    CartiHalos got a reaction from Vegas Halo Fan in AngelsWin Today: My 2024 Predictions   
    For sure, there's a lot of unrealized talent on this roster so with a couple big jumps we could be right in the thick of things.
  10. Like
    CartiHalos got a reaction from OhtaniSan in AngelsWin Today: My 2024 Predictions   
    For sure, there's a lot of unrealized talent on this roster so with a couple big jumps we could be right in the thick of things.
  11. Like
    CartiHalos got a reaction from HaloOnFire in AngelsWin Today: My 2024 Predictions   
    For sure, there's a lot of unrealized talent on this roster so with a couple big jumps we could be right in the thick of things.
  12. Like
    CartiHalos got a reaction from Chuck in AngelsWin Today: My 2024 Predictions   
    For sure, there's a lot of unrealized talent on this roster so with a couple big jumps we could be right in the thick of things.
  13. Like
    CartiHalos reacted to Chuck in AngelsWin Today: My 2024 Predictions   
    Good stuff, @CartiHalos. 
    I've been around baseball long enough to know that anything can happen in this great game. I'm pretty sure the Orioles and D-Backs going into last season were projected to win around 75-82 games, and alas, but of them were playoff teams. 
  14. Like
    CartiHalos got a reaction from Inside Pitch in New to the AngelsWin.com Community? Introduce yourself here!   
    I've been here for a little but never technically introduced myself, so...
    My name is Carter, I'm just about 19, I love the Angels specifically but I eat, sleep, and breathe baseball (and sports in general). Grew up in Orange County, now I go to Utah Valley University and I'm studying Comp. Data Science, with the eventual dream of working in an MLB front office.  I'm big on sabermetrics and have very strong opinions. Prior to Angelswin I spent a lot of my time arguing with people on Twitter, so feel free to follow me there if you want to see that @cartihalos. I also tweet occasionally about my other teams, the Jazz (ouch), the AZ Cardinals (yeowch), and the Golden Knights.
  15. THIS!
    CartiHalos got a reaction from SlappyUtilityMIF in The Official Los Angeles Angels 2023-2024 Hot Stove Offseason Thread   
    I still think he's the Mariners to lose.  He's from Seattle, been there all offseason, and the Mariners have been salary dumping all offseason with nothing to show for it.
  16. Like
    CartiHalos reacted to Chuck in AngelsWin Today: Bob Steve: A Lesson in Swinging Strikes   
    Good stuff, @CartiHalos!!! 
  17. Like
    CartiHalos got a reaction from HaloBronco in Angels sign Robert Stephenson (3 years, $33 million), DFA Rivas   
    Not saying this is like a game-changing move or anything, but it is very not-Loupish.
  18. Like
    CartiHalos got a reaction from Chuck in Angels sign Robert Stephenson (3 years, $33 million), DFA Rivas   
    Not saying this is like a game-changing move or anything, but it is very not-Loupish.
  19. Like
    CartiHalos reacted to Stradling in Angels sign Robert Stephenson (3 years, $33 million), DFA Rivas   
    I find it hilarious we signed one of the best relievers on the market and still everyone is a total twat about it. Well done Angel fans. 
  20. Like
    CartiHalos reacted to BTH in The Official Los Angeles Angels 2023-2024 Hot Stove Offseason Thread   
    This just tells me how stupid Arte is.
    Even if we as fans had some level of hope that he’d come back, we weren’t surprised when he left.
    He’s also the guy who didn’t match the offer.
    He’s literally the guy in the hot dog suit saying, “we’re all looking for the guy who did this.”
  21. Like
    CartiHalos got a reaction from SlappyUtilityMIF in The Official Los Angeles Angels 2023-2024 Hot Stove Offseason Thread   
    I know this was just a silly joke, but makes you ponder the tactical advantage of deferring $210 of a $100M+ contract. Maybe by the time he's 239 he'll be able to afford Dodgers tickets?
  22. Like
    CartiHalos got a reaction from TroutField in The Official Los Angeles Angels 2023-2024 Hot Stove Offseason Thread   
    At the risk of being pessimistic, I think anyone expecting us to win more than 80 games next year is going to be very upset.  Seems like we're gearing up for 2025-26.
  23. Like
    CartiHalos reacted to BTH in The Official Los Angeles Angels 2023-2024 Hot Stove Offseason Thread   
    I believe he has very good sources in the Angels org, maybe the best of any insider.
    If you just search tweets from him with “Angels” in the tweet on Twitter, you’ll see that he has broken a ton of stuff.
    Ranging from minor moves to big moves.
    O’Hoppe trade, Moustakas trade, Bachman & Mederos promotions, Raisel Iglesias trade, Michael Lorenzen signing, etc.
  24. Like
    CartiHalos got a reaction from jsnpritchett in The Official Los Angeles Angels 2023-2024 Hot Stove Offseason Thread   
    Murray did indeed break the Plesac signing so maybe he has a good source inside the org, but I really just think nobody knows what the Angels are actually up to.
  25. Like
    CartiHalos reacted to Erstad Grit in The Official Los Angeles Angels 2023-2024 Hot Stove Offseason Thread   
    I'd rather have a great lefty than an average righty. The rotation isn't a pen, I don't see the need to have diversity. Finley, Langston, and Abbott were all leftys and I loved that rotation. 
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