ettin

17 hours ago, samwum said:

Minasian should be held accountable for his draft strategy and draft picks until other speculation is shown to have any basis. The GM turns the draft picks in, not the owner. 

I think you're just happy to use the Arte excuse rather than confronting the very real possibility the Angels may have suffered from poor drafting by a bad GM hire. 

Congratulations you have won the random-online attacker of the month!

You read WAY too much into what I said.

On 4/19/2024 at 12:05 PM, Stradling said:

Then every single team needs two long guys. 

@Chuck and I, have that covered.

4 hours ago, totdprods said:

Wouldn’t that align with taking players in earliest drafts who can reach bigs quickest, and maybe not be the ‘best’ overall pick? That’s why I’m suggesting they probably do the same this year since they still seem to be in compete mode. It maybe being Perry’s last year could further that too.

Or are you saying years prior it’s been win now, and they can take a more relaxed approach now?

No I was just responding to what I perceived your comment to read, that you haven't been impressed with Minasian at the helm, so far. I was just saying that he is likely operating in the win now environment where he would normally draft a certain type of player that he prefers, not what this win now mode is demanding him to pick, over, possibly, a more preferred draft pick. That was all.

18 hours ago, totdprods said:

Detmers was a Billy pick.

I’ve made this same point in the minors thread before, about how I’m not totally crazy about Perry’s farm system yet. He’s done a very good job of drafting guys who can get to the bigs quickly and not look totally lost (compared to Thaiss, Ward, Adell initially) but yeah, we don’t know if these quick to bigs guys will be legit yet or not. I think the bigger issue with these guys isn’t necessarily their production, but their health, especially the arms. Not confident Joyce, Silseth or Bachman will remain healthy enough. I have some faith in Neto and Schanuel being at least solid MLB players though.

And it’s a strength IMO when compared to other parts of Perry’s portfolio. Not wild about his FA deals. His trades have been okay. Waiver claims non-existent. Top picks, good, rest of farm meh.

I think we should temper this opinion against the likely fact that Perry has been  told to try and win now, which would skew what might be a normal, preferred strategy from Minasian. If that is his mandate it will force him to make "uncharacteristic" decisions in support of that.

So, I am glad to hear someone saying we should always reevaluate data based on one or more modern principles to ensure that the assumptions and calculations put into an original analysis remains true.

For me it should be something like this for early batting orders:

1) One-hole should be a high on-base player, preferably .350 OBP or higher, whether it is through high contact and/or walk rate.

2) Two-hole should be your best pure all-around hitter, with above average contact, power, batting eye, and does not have a high K rate.

3) Three-hole should be a higher power type, preferably with good on-base ability and contact if possible. A high strikeout rate is okay here, because of the cleanup spot.

4) Cleanup hitter should have great run-producing capability with power and solid contact ability.

The reasons in my mind are because a) teams that score first in a game statistically have a much higher chance of winning the game and b) by having at least one person on-base ahead of the 3-spot and cleanup, you give both of those positions the opportunity to drive runs in, particularly in the 1st inning. All it takes is one of those first two hitters to get on-base and you have enough outs to get to the cleanup spot to give your best power hitters and run producers the opportunity to drive in runs.

I think it is still very relevant, because by placing them in those positions you are also giving them more at-bat's over an entire season, which should, hypothetically and statistically, give your team a better chance to score more runs overall during the season.

To be honest I haven't looked at research on this subject in a couple of years, but I think it still holds true. Would love to be proven wrong. I do agree with you that 30 years ago, they were putting speedsters in the leadoff spot, but as it has been shown stealing bases is not as popular as it once was, because in order to have an effective impact on run production, you need fast guys that can successfully steal bases at a 75% success rate or higher. Those guys don't exist as much anymore, although the base enlargement thing may slide that statistical bar more to the left toward 70% for example (just spit-balling on the last number). The first two positions should have good on-base guys, I agree.

By the way, if your team has the luxury of putting a high on-base guy like Judge in the 3-hole, more power to you (or them or whomever). The Angels don't in my opinion. It really should probably have been a Schanuel/Rendon, 1-2 combo of some sort, then Ward, then Trout, to start the season. I say this with a little bit of hindsight to how the season has started, because Ward has about a .328 OBP at the moment, which is lower than average because he is not walking as much as he normally does. At this point I'd reverse Ward and Trout, though. That 5-hole hitter should also be some type of run producer as well to help drive in additional runs if the inning gets off to a good start.

14 hours ago, ettin said:

The 3-spot is not traditionally a great run producing spot in the order. Surprised they don't have Trout hitting in the 2-hole or at cleanup. I think they'd be better off putting Ward in the 3-hole and Trout in cleanup.

I should clarify that I should have used the word "statistically" instead of "traditionally". It has statistically been proven to be a poor run-producing spot in the order. You normally want to place a good power hitting, higher-strikeout player in that spot with the ability to take a walk when able, ideally.

The 3-spot is not traditionally a great run producing spot in the order. Surprised they don't have Trout hitting in the 2-hole or at cleanup. I think they'd be better off putting Ward in the 3-hole and Trout in cleanup.

1 hour ago, Chuck said:

So I just heard that they replaced Arte in the Calling All Angels montage with, wait for it.....

Peter Bourjos. 

A great CF defender with a great baserunning stride!

1 hour ago, Chuck said:

Done. Titled "Good Vibes"

Hmm... it is "CatJam" to me, lol.

Thanks for adding it though, you will now see it exclusively on any posts I mark, it is the perfect response to everything really.

24 minutes ago, Chuck said:

Hi @DHangelfan, welcome to AngelsWin.com

Let me introduce you to our reactions. We have you covered for every type of reaction to a post here, including F'n Arte. 

Enjoy! 

@Chuck we are still missing one very important reaction:

CatJam

On 4/4/2024 at 7:36 PM, mmc said:

Wantz in 6 innings, 11 K, 1BB, 2 H, 1ER

On 4/4/2024 at 8:31 PM, tdawg87 said:

Ok I was admittedly not a fan of turning Wantz and Soriano into starters (or back into). 

It is possible I was mistaken and the baseball people were right.

That kind of performance leaves you Wantzing more.

1 hour ago, Inside Pitch said:

There you go..  You're upset he's been hurt and unproductive, I am too.  I'm more mad the Angels didn't see it coming. 

This in particular.

Rendon already had a predisposition to injury during his time with the Nationals. The pivot by Arte from wanting a frontline starter to locking in on Rendon to play 3B, felt more like an Arte-based "splash" decision, rather than a front office one from my perspective and I think the huge salary outlay for him was more unnecessarily needful, than insightful. Rendon at that moment in time, definitely had on-base skills and good defense to back up a star-level storyline, but I always felt that the decision was not as fact-based as it should have been. Injuries since then cloud the issue immensely, but I really think the Angels need to just focus on their farm system and not go after most of these free agency signings that overtly impact payroll long-term, we just haven't had a great track record of success the last 10 years in Major League free agency.

14 hours ago, tdawg87 said:

Now I want a Whopper.

How is this different from any other day? 

32 minutes ago, AngelsLakersFan said:

MLB has gotta be the only sports organization that will make an effort to retroactively make a bad call in a big moment.

And not retroactively make a good call in a big moment.

On 4/5/2024 at 12:21 PM, Torridd said:

Arte should sell. Based on the Ben Franklin chart, a new owner is bound to have more electricity and spectacle.

Go fly a kite!

It's better known in the Engineering world as a Pugh chart. Some call it a Weighted Decision Matrix (WDM) or even other names, but the bottom line, as @UBstrange said is to help make more logical decisions based on weighted factors and inputs to produce a more data-driven decision versus an off-the-cuff, emotional response. The key is the weighting factors, because if those are off the decision could be skewed.

On 3/28/2024 at 8:52 AM, Dave Saltzer said:

I can't remember, if due to my health at the time, if I attended that Chalk Talk

And if I did I probably didn't write up a summary like this, again due to my health. 

 

I am so glad that I'm doing better now. 

We're glad you are doing better too, Dave. If you don't have your health you don't have much. Keep plugging along Dave, I have always been a fan of your writing!

2 hours ago, Taylor said:

What kind of content do the A's have to fill 608 pages? Are the last 450 pages Tarpy?

Hey don't bang on Tarpy, he is the one true A's icon.

Cheers to Brandon and Lou, may they Rest In Peace!

28 minutes ago, AngelStew43 said:

So, we must have, at some point, released Pomeranz.  Figures he'd sign with the Dodgers. 

The Dodgers Drew the short straw.

It's just the 1st game, we'll get 'em next year!

3 hours ago, jsnpritchett said:

Uh, ok... nice image. Lol. 

 

 

A little creepy looking, but if the glove fits you must acquit.

3 hours ago, Angel Oracle said:

I think the Ohtani controversy is going to dog them all season.

It also doesn't help that Ohtani was purchased with money when he came into MLB as an international free agent, so that makes him a draft dodger, too.

1 minute ago, T.G. said:

@ettin is here. Somebody hold 'em so he doesn't get away

It's not my fault, they are the one's that offered me a chip and a chair.

9 minutes ago, T.G. said:

I'll roll the dice and say he's busy with a full house.

You'd be correct because the house always wins.