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jessecrall

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Posts posted by jessecrall

  1. 12 minutes ago, Stradling said:

    It has nothing to do with being threatened, I am already carrying more of the burden than is fair or just.  It’s Facking robbery.  I recently got a $7000 bonus, take home on it was $4000.  Why?  How is that right?  What does that do to make my life better?  It’s crap.  

    It's right because of some combination of driving on roads, using public schools, supporting military interventions, flying on airlines that you absolutely did not want self-regulated, calling the police, having firefighters contain an inferno moving toward your neighborhood etc etc etc. If you want to complain about HOW your tax dollars are being spent, by all means do. But I feel ZERO sympathy that you only got 57% of your precious bonus. Most rich people got lucky. They didn't earn jack. I say this as someone who's made good money and been flat broke. It had nothing to do with me, my skills, my intellect or lack thereof. Mygyn Kylly made more money than everyone on this board put together for being terrible at her job so she can blow it on a luxe penthouse and pass more money onto her spoiled kids who will start life 6 steps ahead of the average person because Mommy insisted that Santa was black once and became a media rock star. If my sentiments sound like class warfare, that's only because they are.

  2. 16 minutes ago, Lhalo said:

    LOL at racist campaign.

    If you don't believe Donald Trump is a racist who ran a racist campaign, you may want to take a deep look at yourself. I know, I know "I'm not racist, calling someone a racist is the worst thing you can say about someone, the PC left thinks everyone's a racist, it's ILLEGAL immigration we don't like etc etc,"

  3. 1 hour ago, AngelsLakersFan said:

    Moderate Republicans and Independents are just begging for an excuse to vote for a Democrat right now. It's nuts to put out a candidate, yet again, that these people won't stomach. 

    That's what the Very Smart Media People said in 2016. People voted for a guy who said "Grab them by the pussy," had 19 sexual misconduct allegations and ran a racist campaign devoid of any legitimate platform beyond getting Mexico to pay for a wall and increasing tariffs. Those people will vote for him again. Let Trump have 63 million votes. A lefty with integrity and a mediocre-but-not-bad campaign will get 68 and win. 

  4. 1 minute ago, Thomas said:

    Your position is that all candidates are equally vulnerable to this attack? I think a candidate that isn't tied at the hip to corporate interests like HRC may well be the best strategy against Trump. However to simply say that all aspects don't matter seems haphazard at best.

    Oh, well I certainly agree with you there. My argument is more "The right will attack any Democrat. Worry about what VOTERS would find unappealing." Corporate ties? Absolutely. Progressive politics? No, at least not to the constituency the left needs to win the general.

  5. 2 minutes ago, Make Angels Great Again said:

    Maybe. If he did it would be because people don't hate him like Hillary.

    Then again, people hated Trump. People hated Obama...I'm just trying to get people to turn away from "on-paper" qualifications based on Beltway Wisdom from 1972 or something. Trump and Obama were, on-paper, incredibly dubious candidates. They beat candidates who were, on-paper, far more appealing. Reality proved different. To say someone can't win because they're black, a socialist, a woman, too progressive, underqualified, racist, unmarried, from a coastal state, stupid, Jewish etc etc doesn't apply. Supposedly racist Trump supporters would absolutely vote for Nikki Haley over, say, Joe Biden. Midwestern voters in supposedly non-coastal, not lefty states keep electing Tammy Baldwin and Sherrod Brown. The world is complicated. Simplifying it into words of conventional wisdom doesn't lead to understanding.

  6. 1 hour ago, Thomas said:

    A moderate/pseudo-Republican in HRC who the right wing machine effectively portrayed as a socialist to their base. While a candidate more left of center will certainly energize the Democratic base and perhaps do the best, let's not discount what the RWM could against someone who actually IS sympathetic to socialism.

    Worrying over what the right will do to attack Democratic candidates is pointless. Right wingers will portray every single Democratic candidate as a god-awful nightmare. It's the left's job to ignore it. Hillary ran a campaign almost entirely devoid of substance. Literally. No one in the television era has ever spoken less about policy in campaign ads than she did. The whole campaign was "Children are watching!" It didn't work. Run on progressive policy that appeals to poor voters and young voters, trust that the base will be motivated by their (legit) Trump hatred and work on expanding your own vote totals as opposed to converting Trump voters. If he gets 63 million votes again, he will lose as long as Dems make SLIGHT gains in purple states. It's not hard. We're down by one with no outs in the 9th, the bases are loaded and Trout is up. There's no need to sac bunt.

  7. 53 minutes ago, mtangelsfan said:

    I expect moderates and independents to either vote trump or stay home.  I would also expect his base to be even more fired up.

    A moderate dem wins 2020 IMO.

    Trump's approval rating is 15 points underwater and a moderate lost to him in 2016. I don't understand why media figures and even Democrats underestimate how popular progressive policies are when they're presented effectively.

  8. 49 minutes ago, Adam said:

    Meh that’s likely to get the 50 million sane people in this country who acknowledge there is no discernible difference between Dems and Reps to vote Trump

    So you're saying that if a progressive Democrat gets the nomination, you expect Trump to get 113 million votes?

  9. I keep seeing people on here and elsewhere talking up Democrats who can appeal to "moderates," or conservatives who don't like Trump, ignoring the fact that the Dems spent 2016 chasing moderates, failed to land them and alienated parts of their base. What do Wisconsin, Ohio, Michigan & Pennsylvania have a lot of? Union workers and college students. Who can appeal to them? Lefties. If Sherrod Brown can win Ohio and Tammy Baldwin, a progressive, pro-single-payer lesbian can win Wisconsin by DOUBLE DIGITS, it's crazy for Democrats to think they need some big tent, half-assed, watered-down candidate who yammers about the need for bipartisanship and common ground and then watches all the moderates they courted fall in line with Trump because they like tax cuts and dislike immigration. Court disillusioned voters, young voters, poor voters...people who are on your side but not necessarily inclined to make the effort to vote. Trump landed JUST enough in the right spots to win. Democrats can easily do the same if they run FOR progressive issues as opposed to AGAINST Trump.

  10. 1 hour ago, RBM said:

    Did Ohtani hit lefties better at the end of the season? His splits for the year were not good at all.

    LHP .222 / .300 / .354 / .654 / 2 HR

    RHP .313 / .387 / .656 / 1.043 / 20 HR

    Justin Bour is also not good against LHP's and Pujols is equally good/bad against both. It could present a lineup flaw against LHP's so I think they could use a solid right handed hitting 4th outfielder who could spell Ohtani/Bour/Calhoun against LHP’s. 

    I can't find specific data quickly enough to make it worth my while but he definitely improved statistically against lefties as the season went on. Coming into September, he had a .509 OPS against them so if he ended at .654, he obviously made serious progress over the last month. He also LOOKED much more comfortable against them in the 2nd half. He didn't have the "bailing out on pitches that hit the inside corner" or "flailing at breaking balls low and away" at bats that we saw early on. 

  11. 1 hour ago, ScruffytheJanitor said:

    IF Eppler actually believes that Trout won't sign an extension, I would take the following steps:

    1) Talk to Arte and the accountants and put together your final, huge offer (which they should be doing anyway).

    2) Meet with Trout and get final verification that Trout is wishy washy.

    3) Make my final offer and give him a deadline  to accept (March 1?)

    Nah. It's entirely reasonable for Trout to want to see the Angels develop for one more season. Also, they're currently a fringe contender that could obviously use a 9 WAR megastar on their roster. If he's wishy washy in January 2020, then sure, you look into trading him for a smaller but not-insignificant return. But why tick him off now by putting him on the block?

  12. Calhoun's value is rock-bottom and Upton has a no trade clause. I think it makes a lot more sense to play out 2019 with the expectation (and hope) that Adell can take over in right, Marsh will push Upton to 1st if he's ready in a couple of years and if he isn't, Knowles or Adams should be by the time Upton's deal is done. And if you extend Trout at some point in the next 11 months, you can then fill in blanks with, say, Arenado or Cole depending on how the farm develops. 

  13. It's entirely reasonable for Trout to wait another year to see how the Angels look moving forward. The Angels will be competitive financially and they have a strong fan base/market. If the Angels look like a strong team with a young core by the end of 2019, I'd be surprised if he didn't sign. 

  14. 1 minute ago, UndertheHalo said:

    Can someone clarify exactly why Manny Machado is apparently scary ? By my count he got into it with the Boston douches.  It takes two to tango by the way.  In the last playoffs he slid hard into 2B.  He stepped on a guys foot.  And he said he wasn’t Johnny Hustle.  Also, apparently the unforgivable sin of not legging it out fast enough to 1B on an out. 

    I honestly don’t give a shit about any of that stuff.  And it’s absolutely nothing remotely near the issues that Josh Hamilton had and the Angels looked past. 

    Did he beef with his Orioles team mates ? Dis he not get a long with his Dodgers team mates ? As far as I know those things were not problems.  Am I mistaken ? 

     

    Well, Jeff flat-out said on here that he wouldn't want Machado anywhere near his clubhouse and since he isn't prone to hyperbole, that's a pretty bold statement. Do you want a full decade of headaches? Do you want a bad clubhouse guy hanging around when his skills start to erode? And from a stats perspective, would you expect a non-hustler with clear attitude problems to age well? Machado MIGHT age well, he has a broad enough skill set that it's possible. But he also may very well be the kind of player who looks at his bank account and job security and decides he really doesn't need to put in 100% effort on the field, off the field, in practice, in training...That's not a huge deal if you're 24 and under team control. But if you're expecting that guy to make ~$300 mil and hang around into his mid-30's, it's an issue.

  15. 38 minutes ago, Torridd said:

    If you wouldn't invest 10 years in someone like Machado, is there someone you would for 10 years? 

    Trout. Mookie. Extensions for Acuna & Soto. Bregman. Lindor. Obviously, the AAV matters but the odds of them either remaining productive for the next 10 years or being big enough stars for the 1st half that you can live with the ensuing decline are pretty good.

  16. 19 minutes ago, Dochalo said:

    I hope you are right.  I personally don't think the above 31 data applies to Simmons as if he were mortal.  His defense is beyond comparable to even outliers.  He's a legit 4-5 win player but I guess it boils down to whether you think defensive metrics are accurate in terms of establishing his worth.  I would be thrilled to get him for less than 20m per season on an extension.  

    Ozzie played at an All Star-level through the age of 37 and Omar held his defensive value into his 40s...they're anomalies and it would be incredibly naive to EXPECT Simmons to repeat that paradigm...but it is possible. 

  17. 30 minutes ago, TroutTrumbo said:

    Wil Meyers is not a good fit. If you trade Calhoun and replace him with Meyers you create an all right handed hitting team. If the Angels are going to make a trade it should be for lefthanded reliever, a 3B or catcher. If Brandon Marsh is ready in 2020 or 2021 he would be a good candidate to move to 1B. 

    Marsh is probably the best defensive outfielder in their system. I imagine Upton would move to 1B if Marsh is good enough to start (assuming Trout's extended & Adell's a regular by 2021).

  18. 3 minutes ago, Sean-Regan said:

    My concerns with him are twofold: Biggest by far are his reported attitude issues. A guy like that is going to be the last person you want in your clubhouse during a slump. Second, his performance out of the AL East. His average dropped over 40 points (to .273) going to the Dodgers (a better comp for how he'd do in Anaheim than Baltimore would be) in just over 1/3 of a season, while his OBP dropped nearly 50 points to .338 - that's still solid enough, but is it worth 30mil a year? I'd still be fine with it if his reported clubhouse issues weren't there, but I'm not dying to sign him either.

    It should be noted that Machado's defense did a complete 180 with the Dodgers and so even with the drop in offense, he was more valuable on a per-game basis with the Dogs than he was with the Orioles in 2018. Not that I'm advocating signing him, nor do I think the Angels will...

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