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OhtaniSan

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  1. Facepalm
    OhtaniSan got a reaction from Tank in The Official 2024 All Things Shohei Thread   
    Shohei is dead to me. And i cant figure out how to change my username. 
    This sucks. 
  2. Like
    OhtaniSan reacted to Erstad Grit in Angels sign Robert Stephenson (3 years, $33 million), DFA Rivas   
    Yes. I read he's already slated to begin the year on the IL. I mean he's our big FA acquisition right? 
  3. Like
    OhtaniSan reacted to totdprods in The Official Los Angeles Angels 2023-2024 Hot Stove Offseason Thread   
    I'm growing increasingly cool going with what we have, to be honest. Excited to see guys like Sandoval, Detmers, and Canning get a chance to prove themselves in a normal rotation, seeing if Silseth can stick as a starter, Adell getting playing time (diminished if we sign another infielder or DH), and even if non-roster guys like Sano, Dozier, Pomeranz re-discovering themselves.
    No one signee is going to really change the direction of the team this year. We have next winter to shop, and if for some reason we're in it this year, having a freed up payroll will make it easier to take on some help midseason without eating into the farm as much.
    It's been refreshing not having expectations going into a season for once, just enjoying watching a really unproven lot of guys and seeing what comes of it. I think it's equally good for the players to not having those expectations or Troutani Window pressures. Ron's building a new foundation here.
  4. Like
    OhtaniSan reacted to Ochocinco! in The Official 2024 Los Angeles Angels Spring Training News & Notes thread   
    I’d really like not to stretch out Soriano, he was really solid last year in the pen I’d like another season from him pitching in the 7th-8th innings
  5. Like
    OhtaniSan got a reaction from Angel Oracle in The Official 2024 Minor League Stats, Scouting, Updates, and Reports Thread   
    I have seen both of them on top 100 lists, generally ranked in the top 90-100 range.
    But none of them have gotten unanimous recognition from all the different sources yet.
    Maybe this year they'll break out into the top 50 range, seeing as their reputations are at least somewhat increasing.
    Kinda like how Quero used to be fringe top 100, had another great year, and became a top 50 guy for a bit.
  6. Like
    OhtaniSan got a reaction from Torridd in The Official 2024 All Things Shohei Thread   
    Shohei is dead to me. And i cant figure out how to change my username. 
    This sucks. 
  7. Like
    OhtaniSan reacted to Angelsjunky in 2024 Angels Best- and Worst-case Scenarios 2: Starting Pitchers   
    As with the hitters, the Angels pitching staff has a good amount of variability, although perhaps a bit less, with almost every starter having a floor of a #4-5 and either #3 or, in one or two cases, #2 upside. I'll look at the bullpen in a third installment.
    A note on "worst-case scenarios:" For pitchers, even durable ones, there's always the lingering phantom of a blowout and/or Tommy John surgery. Rather than repeat myself for every pitcher, I'll only mention that if there is a significant injury concern beyond the norm. In other words, worst-case scenarios don't include the "absolute worst" of TJS, but are rather more focused on performance only.
    SP REID DETMERS
    Best:  We finally come to a place in which Reid Detmers is not simply the "staff ace" by default (that is, there's no one else), but he's actually a legit #2ish starter. In this scenario, he irons out the kinks of the last few years and puts together a full season like one of his hot-streaks: a sub 3.50 ERA, 180+ IP, and ~4 WAR. 
    Worst: More uneven performance like the last two years, which is still pretty good, but more Heaney-esque than Finley-esque.
    My Prediction: If there's any player that I feel relatively confident flat-out predicting that they hit their best-case scenario--or close to it--in 2024, it is Detmers. I don't think he'll reach his peak level yet, but I do think that he'll be more consistent and have more good starts than bad, so an ERA around 3.50, and more innings (170ish). Meaning, if he doesn't reach his best-case scenario, he'll be close.
    SP PATRICK SANDOVAL
    Best: He defies the warning signs and bounces back to 2022 level, with an ERA around 3.00 and even manages to reduce his pitch count and bit and surpasses 150 IP.
    Worst: The warning signs explode into a total poop-show. Sandoval struggles to throw strikes and his ERA creeps up to the mid-4.00 range.
    My Prediction: I'm worried - not hugely so (yet), but something just seems off. The good news is that while his velocity was down early last year, it trended up all season and his last start was not only the highest of the year, but one of the highest of his career. But in order to even take a step back to his 2022 level (3.7 WAR in 148 IP), he has to curb the walks. last year he walked 4.6 batters per 9 IP - up a full walk from the last two seasons - and his K-rate went down more than a full strikeout. So my prediction is...I don't know. Let's see how he looks after five starts.
    SP TYLER ANDERSON
    Best: Even in the best of possible worlds--or at least those that have a real chance of happening--it is hard to imagine Anderson re-capturing his 2022 performance (2.57 ERA, 4.0 WAR). But if you look at his FIP that year (3.30) and split the difference with his career rare (4.29), then you get around 3.80...which is about the performance level for ERA that I think a best-case Anderson is capable of. 
    Worst: A continuation of last year. 
    My Prediction: Not a lot of variance with Anderson. Split the difference between 2022 and 2023 and you have a decent #4 pitcher with an ERA in the low 4.00s and a solid number of innings. Anderson may even end up under-appreciated for much of the season, but eventually we'll learn to enjoy the fact that he's consistently putting up solid innings. Not sexy, but steady.
    SP GRIFFIN CANNING
    Best: Canning finally makes good on his potential and becomes a good (and consistent) #3 starter, even fringy #2, and embodies the leadership role that Ron Washington envisions for him. 
    Worst: Aside from a revisit to the injuries of the last couple years, the worst-case scenario for Canning is that he doesn't progress further. Last year he produced a 4.32 ERA and 1.8 WAR in 127 IP, which means he's already a 2-3 WAR starter - which is either a good #4 or fringe #3. The FIP was almost exactly the same as his ERA (4.29), so it is possible that this is who he is. In other words, while much has been made of his comeback last year, it was really only to the solid level of 2019-20, which is as a solid #4. So the worst-case scenario is that is who Canning is, which isn't so bad but not what we hoped for.
    My Prediction: I think we'll see a consolidation of 2023's performance, but with slight overall improvement and more innings: an ERA in the 3.70-4.20 range, 150+ IP, 3+ WAR. In other words, he'll establish himself as a bonafide #3.
    SP CHASE SILSETH
    Best: We'll call this the "Angels fan scenario," because it is an outlook that only Angels fans seem to see for young Mr. Silseth. In this scenario, he makes good on the flashes of promise we've seen over the last couple years and becomes a true #2 starter - right there with Detmers (and perhaps a resurgent Sandoval and/or best-case scenario Canning) for best pitcher on the staff. 
    Worst: More erratic performance, and is eventually relegated to a relief role. Or another alternative, it just takes a few years for him to find his best form - but it it won't be 2024.
    My Prediction: Silseth has the widest variance, at least over the pitchers above him. As I implied in the "Best" section, there seems to be a wide gap between Angels fans and analysts as to his upside; I can't think of an outlet that sees the potential that some of us see in him. Whether that is because of fan bias or knowledge is hard to say; probably some of both. Regardless, I think Silseth will become a good starter, but not the ace some envision - but a #2-3 pitcher who has some flashes of brilliance, but isn't consistent enough to be a true ace. In 2024, I think the inconsistency will still be a major factor, but the trajectory will be positive.
    SP ZACH PLESAC
    Best: Plesac picks up where he left off in 2019-20, four years ago, and becomes a solid mid-rotation starter.
    Worst: 2021-23 proves to be his true level; in other words, a back-end starter. There's also the lingering attitude concerns, so he's probably either going to do well or be released.
    My Prediction: Who knows? We probably need to see a few starts, but if he does well enough, I'm guessing he ends up as AAA depth but ends up with 10+ major league starts and/or in the bullpen.
    SP/RP JOSE SUAREZ
    Best: The time off brings things together for Suarez, and we see far more of the better version than the worse. He becomes a solid #3-4 starter or a very good middle reliever.
    Worst: Prone to bad spells, Suarez is relegated to the bullpen and becomes an innings-eating long reliever utilized in low-leverage situations.
    My Prediction:  I personally like the idea of taking the idea of the "worst"--that of a long reliever/swingman--but with the hopes that he pitches well in that capacity, and can be relied upon in a variety of situations. He could be a very useful pitcher if used correctly, but I'm not sure that is as a regular starter. As things stand, he's probably third on the list of potential #5 starters, behind Silseth and Plesac. I imagine he'll pitch in a variety of situations, from spot starts to long relief. By season's end, we could be looking back at him as one of the quiet stalwarts on the pitching staff.
    OTHERS
    Davis Daniel making good on his potential probably means a solid #4 starter, which is more valuable than it sounds, but the not-so-young prospect (27 in June) has had a slow road: a delayed professional debut due to injury, a lost 2020 due to covid, solid development in 2021-22, then most of 2023 lost to injury. At this point, I'm only hoping for a serviceable relief pitcher and/or AAA depth. Kenny Rosenberg is the quintessential minor league "depth starter" - not the worst guy to start in a pinch, but a dime-a-dozen in AAA. Victor Mederos probably has the most upside of likely AAA starters, but needs more seasoning and is less likely to receive a major league gig than some of the others. Brett Kerry and Mason Erla (and several others) look like minor league depth for the foreseeable future. A brief note on Caden Dana. While I think it very unlikely that he factors into the major league rotation this year, he's on the cusp of being a legitimately good pitching prospect and perhaps on the fast-track for the major leagues. His minor league debut was very impressive, but I'd like to see more before getting too excited. 
  8. Like
    OhtaniSan reacted to Docwaukee in The Official Los Angeles Angels 2023-2024 Hot Stove Offseason Thread   
    Can't really agree with this.  To me, it's just a waste of current and future dollars to add a 5 year contract of 25-30m per to a team that is probably a .500 club just in case the young guys show something for next year.  I'd rather wait to make sure.  
    And that doesn't mean you shouldn't spend.  They absolutely should.  And I agree it shouldn't be on guys where you're trying to catch lightning.  Especially when you need to catch it 3 times in one season.  
    Try to get one premium player on a 1yr deal.  Someone who's got a good chance of actually having value at the deadline or at least a comp pick in the future. 
    The problem with Snell is that if the young guys don't perform or take longer than expected, you're into his age 33 season before he could actually make a difference.  In the meantime, you could have turned over two other players for prospects. 
    Being unrealistic about their chances is how you end up holding your junk like with Rendon.  Or even someone like Simmons.  Great trade.  Awesome value.  And it ended up getting wasted because your complimentary pieces were Johnny G, Rafael Ortega, Daniel Nava, Jhoulys Chacin, Ricky Nolasco, Alex Meyer,  Danny Espinosa, Ben Revere, Cam Maybin, JC Ramirez, Parker Bridwell, and a slew of other waiver pickups and premature callups.  
    If I could go back and do one thing it would be to change the way they danced between the type of players they added in the offseason and how they parlayed that into future value.  
    All those opportunities over the years.  Two of the times they did it right are guys now slated to be a big part of this years team (Rengifo and Sandoval).  What if they had done a better job in this area two more times over the last decade?  Add two more solid or even very good players to this team that are club controlled.  Take Anderson's and Rendon's money and put it to better use for a second.  
    I know I'll probably get called out for hindsight, but I've been preaching this approach for years.  
  9. Like
    OhtaniSan reacted to Tank in The Official Los Angeles Angels 2023-2024 Hot Stove Offseason Thread   
    if you sign snell this year, then next year you can go to burnes and show him you're committed to winning, and by having both him and snell at the top of the rotation, they'll be a formidable 1-2 punch. 
    at least that's how i'd do it.
    if it costs me one draft pick but i get both of those pitchers, i'm all in.
  10. Like
    OhtaniSan reacted to Angelsjunky in 2024 Angels Best and Worst-case Scenarios: Hitters Edition   
    Perhaps what defines the 2024 Angels, to me at least, is the wide range of variance between best and worst-case scenarios, that is such scenarios that exist within the realm of possibility. Meaning, nearly every player--with only a couple exceptions (e.g. Brandon Drury) has a huge range of reasonably possible outcomes.
    In what follows, I will look at the hitters and suggest what I see as their ceilings and floors, and where I think they'll end up in 2024 and beyond. Please note, this isn't an actual series of projections - it is more a ramble, with a bit of prediction thrown in for each player as to where I think they'll end up. I did a set of stat predictions a couple months ago which I deliberating didn't look back on, but these are more general.
    C LOGAN O'HOPPE
    Best: Becomes a bonafide first tier star catcher - not Adley Rutschman and maybe not Will Smith, but not far behind. In this best-case scenario, an off year is 3 WAR and only due to missing time; a typical year is more like 4-5 WAR, and he has one or two seasons above the 5 WAR mark. He easily becomes the all-time Angels WAR catcher leader, and before reaching free agency.
    Worst: Aside from the injury-bug, the worry would be that he doesn't really iron out his defensive kinks and struggles to make contact. Still, worst-case is the strong side of a platoon, but more of a 2 WAR in 100 games type than a 4 WAR in 120 games type.
    My prediction: The variance for Logan isn't huge, but there's still a range of outcomes, but none of them bad - more "solid to very good." I see more of a second tier catcher being the most likely scenario - a quality regular to borderline star type (3-4 WAR) who is a good captain of the team, sort of like Jason Varitek. Meaning, he won't be confused for Rutschman (let alone Gary Carter), but he'll have some years in the top five WAR for catchers, but mostly more in the #5-10 range.
    1B NOLAN SCHANUEL
    Best: If he makes enough good contact to regularly hit .300, with his plate discipline he could put up gaudy OBPs. And if he develops even average power, he's a "3-4-5" threat and a star hitter. Sort of like Nick Johnson, if he had been able to stay healthy.
    Worst: With that downward swing, there's a chance he never develops any power at all and becomes a Doug Mientkiewicz type - a nice guy to have on your roster, but more of a platoon guy or fringe starter.
    My Prediction: I think he'll probably be more of a .280ish hitter than .300ish, but still have seasons above the .400 OBP mark. I'm more dubious about the power - his downward swing leads to a lot of ground balls, no matter how strong he gets. Still, he's too big and strong not to hit a few out of the park, but I see a peak season being something like .290/.420/.450, which is plenty good enough for me. 
    2B BRANDON DRURY
    Best: More of the same.
    Worst: More of the same, but getting older, and the defense gets shakier. 
    My Prediction: Drury is probably the guy with the least variance of any hitter likely to see substantial playing time: What you see (or what we've seen) is what you get. I think the only questions are how much playing time he gets and where he plays, which depends largely on Rengifo and Rendon. So my prediction is "more of the same," but not sure how much of it. He's a useful guy to have around, but he'd be really useful if he could back-up Rendon (he played 67 games at 3B in 2022).
    SS ZACH NETO
    Best: I like the Dustin Pedroia comp, with a significantly lower batting average but playing Gold Glove defense - so similar overall value. This is pretty optimistic, though, but I could see it happen. 
    Worst: Has trouble getting away from the injury bug, and becomes known as an undisciplined hitter, but still a solid starting shortstop. But rather than the 5 WAR stud of the best-case scenario, he's more of a 2-3 WAR guy.
    My prediction: Zach Neto is a ballplayer - I just love the energy he brings to the team, sort of the anti-Rendon. I do think he'll be prone to occasional injuries and never be quite the hitter Pedroia was, but he'll have some really good seasons, with a good probability of reaching his best-case scenario, at least in his peak. But it might take a few ups and downs to get there. I think 2024 will be a continuation and gradual improvement from 2023, so something like .250/.330/.420. 
    3B ANTHONY RENDON
    Best: He makes baseball a top priority, avoids the injury bug and has a bit of a career renaissance, playing about 350 games over the last three years of his contract and putting up 10+ WAR. Yeah, right.
    Worst: More of the last three years. Arte releases him sometime in 2025.
    My Prediction: I can't imagine how it can possibly continue to be as bad as it has been the last few years, but I would be surprised if Rendon ever plays 130 games again, and maybe not even 120. Part of the problem is that he's a momentum hitter and is never healthy enough to get into a groove. If he manages to play 110-120 games, he'll put up better numbers (maybe .270/.380/.450), but he's never going to be a star again. And that is a pretty big "if." I honestly don't know what to predict, as I could see a continuation of the last few years, or a scenario where the youthful energy of some of the guys above him on this list rubs off and he has a nice next couple years as the Roger Dorn of the Angels. 
    LF TAYLOR WARD
    Best: He's not only back, but he finds the star hitter form that we've seen for parts of the last two years, and is an elite hitter for the next few years, maybe something like .290/.370/.550 with 30 HR. 
    Worst: He's never the same - either neurological, psychological, or just an inability to stay healthy. Ends up as a 4OF/DH type.
    My Prediction: Ward has one of the widest range of possibilities on a team with a lot of players with a wide range of possibilities. For whatever reason, I remain bullish on Ward: I think he's going to have several really good years in the 140 wRC+, 4-5 WAR range, and be the team's second best hitter, at least in 2024. But I've been over-optimistic before. 
    CF MIKE TROUT
    Best: Let's play a game of imagination and time travel to the end of Trout's contract in 2030 and do a career retrospective. It turns out that Trout just had some terribly bad luck for a few years in 2021-23 (they were all different injuries, right?!), but then righted the ship in 2024 and had a career renaissance. Maybe not quite vintage Trout, but he had several years around 7 WAR, with one truly special one in the 8-9 WAR range, winning his 4th MVP award. He started trending down in 2027 or so at age 35, but it was gradual and he finished his career with 127 WAR, just edging Stan Musial out of the top 10. You might say that I'm a dreamer...but I'm not the only one...
    Worst: Ken Griffey III. He'll still hit, but the injury-prone label is real, and the hitting--while flashing towards Ye Olde Days at times--is inconsistent and not what it was. It will be hard to watch for the next seven seasons, as Trout just squeaks above the 100 WAR mark for his career, which would be under 30 WAR in his last eleven seasons after 70 WAR in his first eight.
    My Prediction: I'm going to be bullish again, as I think Trout could do something similar to 2022 (it was just a year ago, afterall); with a bit of better health (130ish games), he could reach the 7 WAR mark. The next few years will be a bit of a comeback for him, just not the Trout of 2012-19. He'll probably miss chunks of time over the rest of his career, but have good spells and just pass Mickey Mantle (112.3) on the fWAR chart.
    OF MICKEY MONIAK
    Best: He learns to take a pitch and builds on 2023, but with more walks. Not a star, but a good overall player who is known for dangerous spells when he's hitting everything.
    Worst: No plate discipline and 2023's good parts turn out to be a fluke. Minor league depth or an erratic 4th outfielder.
    My Prediction: Remember Jeff Francoeur? That's the type of career I think Moniak might have, with minor cosmetic differences. He probably has no place starting for a contender, but will find gigs on various teams over the next decade. I do think he loses a starting job to the next guy on this list, sometime before the ASB and, if Trout, Ward, and Adell are healthy, could be shipped off in July.
    OF JO ADELL
    Best: Basically what we thought his upside would be a couple years ago. Adell kind of reminds me of Dave Winfield, but with more power and significantly less contact ability. Maybe it is the tall, athletic build. But the best-case scenario might be Winfield in 1982 (.280/.331/.560 with 37 HR), but maybe even more HR and a bit lower average. 
    Worst: More of the same and the Angels swap him for a rondon in July to some team thinking they can do better (which, knowing the Angels, they probably will).
    My Prediction: Is it foolish to think that this could finally be the year? He probably won't be the star we hoped for, but he could make enough contact and develop enough discipline to leverage that power. In other words, as much as my mental faculties say that Adell is a bust, my gut still sees a good ball player. I still think he'll hit 40 HR at some point in his career; probably not this year because he's unlikely to get enough plate appearances--and I think needs several years of building success to get there--but I could see something like 110-120 games, .250/.330/.500 with 25+ HR, with even better numbers in 2025.
    IF LUIS RENGIFO
    Best: Take Rengifo's second half numbers last year (.318/.374/.587 in 47 games) and extend them over a full season, but reduce them a bit for likelihood that he's just a slow starter and he's simply unlikely to be that good for a full season. But it foretells the future. In this scenario, everything comes together and Rengifo hits .290/.350/.500 with solid 2B defense. Can we dream?
    Worst:  Basically more of the same - which isn't so bad, but the problem is the defense - which is ok, I guess. But he never quite gets out of the fringe starter/UT role.
    My Prediction: I'm a fan and think he'll find another level in 2024. Maybe not my best-case scenario, but if you imagine that he'll continue his arc of improvement from 2022 to 2023 to 2024, he could hit .270/.340/.450 or better. Now if he could only polish up that defense a bit...
    Pitchers to come...
     
  11. Like
    OhtaniSan reacted to BTH in The Official Los Angeles Angels 2023-2024 Hot Stove Offseason Thread   
    One can fake it at SS and one can’t.
    Also, I’d rather have Urshela AND Stefanic than Stefanic and ???
  12. Like
    OhtaniSan reacted to tdawg87 in The Official Los Angeles Angels 2023-2024 Hot Stove Offseason Thread   
    Yes.
    But we could have had both. 
  13. Like
    OhtaniSan reacted to BTH in The Official Los Angeles Angels 2023-2024 Hot Stove Offseason Thread   
    Sticking with guys who are even worse than below league average doesn’t move the depth chart forward.
  14. Like
  15. Like
    OhtaniSan reacted to Mateofranco in Thoughts on the reworked bullpen   
    I think the back end of the bullpen will be solid. I would though to see them intentionally develop long relievers and have at least 2 of them in the pen.  The one inning reliever system for the middle innings doesn't work so well. If one of the three relievers stinks that game, the game quickly gets out of hand. Having a few good, long relievers who can pitch 2-3 innings, 2x a week would be a better way to go.  
    At the beginning of the year when starters don't usually go even five innings this is a good way to go. It's also a way to get young would-be starters major league innings in lower pressure innings.  Someone like Davis Daniel comes to mind. Jose Suarez and Kenny Rosenberg also. They can keep a team in the game when the starter gives up 4 or 5 runs and gets pulled by the 4th or 5th inning.  You aren't then doing the one inning parade.  Having more than one long reliever will likely make it actually work. 
    I also think they should figure out who in the pen is great at stranding inherited runners.  Last year they had Chris Devenski, who started out the year mostly doing that. Then Nevin overused him. 
     
  16. Like
    OhtaniSan reacted to Chuck in BTH Twitter   
    @BTH since more than half of our members here are not on X or social media for that matter, feel free to drop your X posts in related threads here on the forum for discussion for our members. 
  17. Like
  18. Like
    OhtaniSan reacted to Chuck in Jo Adell   
    If there was ever a season where the Angels would have 2-3 breakouts from their young guys, it would be this season. 
    Hoping it happens for Adell and a couple others. If it does, theres a damn good chance the Angels are playing meaningful baseball in Sept/Oct. 
  19. Like
    OhtaniSan reacted to CartiHalos in AngelsWin Today: My 2024 Predictions   
    For sure, there's a lot of unrealized talent on this roster so with a couple big jumps we could be right in the thick of things.
  20. Like
    OhtaniSan reacted to Chuck in AngelsWin Today: My 2024 Predictions   
    Good stuff, @CartiHalos. 
    I've been around baseball long enough to know that anything can happen in this great game. I'm pretty sure the Orioles and D-Backs going into last season were projected to win around 75-82 games, and alas, but of them were playoff teams. 
  21. Like
    OhtaniSan reacted to AngelsWin.com in AngelsWin Today: My 2024 Predictions   
    By @CartiHalos, AngelsWin.com Columnist
    With pitchers and catchers having reported, I like to think of the 2024 season as officially underway. While the angels won't play a game for another 9 days, the wheels of baseball are finally churning and as such, I'd like to give my predictions for the Angels and their players. While I'm not the most optimistic person in the world for this specific season, I think it's another season of Angels baseball and I'll never be too mad at getting to watch my Halos.
    Starting with team predictions...
    Record: 75-87, 4th in AL West
    As much as I wanted to put us as a sneaky 80-85 win team, it's not realistic for a team that only won 73 games last year and lost the MVP.  While there's plenty of reason's to assume we'll be better than last year - primarily the ridiculously bad injury luck in 2023, the return of Trout/Rendon, and the further development of the young core of O'Hoppe/Schanuel/Neto/Moniak. Add on top of all of that Ron Washington taking the helm and I could see us propelled into the 80 win area. However, I think that an already faltering rotation that lost it's ace and an offense that would have to make a big jump to be elite makes it hard to project us in that range.
    Miguel Sano Cracks the Opening Day Roster: For a while I thought we'd pick up Urshela or another infielder that could cover first if Schanuel has some growing pains. While still possible, I think we end up rolling with what we have and the slugger has an impressive spring, leading to a Opening Day Roster spot and *maybe* even an opening day start at DH. 
    We Enter 2025 MUCH more confident: While this isn't exactly a hot take, this prediction is mostly that we have multiple major breakouts (you'll see who I think does in the next section), and the moves we made this offseason are supplemented well by moves next offseason that make our roster far more complete and make the Angels a competitive team next year. 
    Now onto individual player predictions, with a few stipulations  
    - I'm gonna be *mostly* optimistic, it's more fun that way.
    - I'm predicting for the 26 players on the Opening Day Roster, projected by me.
    - There's a good chance that a team that performed to my predictions would win more than 75 games, but I'm trying to predict each player, optimistically, in a vacuum. 
    - No Injuries. Don't want to speak anything into existence.
     
    Catchers:
    C Logan O'Hoppe - .245 AVG, 31 HR, 74 RBI, 122 wRC+, 2.4 fWar
    O'Hoppe puts his name out there in a big way with a 30 homer season and improves defensively, but his plate discipline and framing are still areas for improvement.
    C Matt Thaiss - .220 AVG, 7 HR, 24 RBI, 93 wRC+, 0.1 fWAR
    Thaiss gets less time to shine than hid did last year, but performs about the same in limited opportunity.
     
    Infielders:
    1B Nolan Schanuel - .278 AVG, 16 HR, 55 RBI, 130 wRC+, 2.1 fWAR
    Schanuel's elite eye shines and his power comes through as he proves why he got called up so quickly.
    1B Miguel Sano - .208 AVG, 5 HR, 13 RBI, 101 wRC+, 0.0 fWAR
    Sano shows off his pop in limited time, but is ultimately a non factor. 
    1B/2B/3B Brandon Drury - .258 AVG, 25 HR, 89 RBI, 110 wRC+, 2.4 fWAR
    Drury builds on his impressive 2022 and 2023 and maybe even gets moved to a contender at the deadline.
    SS Zach Neto - .250 AVG, 20 HR, 58 RBI, 105 wRC+ 2.7 fWAR
    Neto makes a big jump from last year, and poises himself for a monster age-24 breakout 2025.
    3B Anthony Rendon - .252 AVG, 17 HR, 74 RBI, 115 wRC+, 2.9 fWAR
    This may come as a shock, but truthfully the last time Rendon was healthy and not absolutely outstanding was 2015. Assuming he isn't missing time, he could still very well put in some work for us.
    2B/SS/3B Luis Rengifo - .243 AVG, 16 HR, 55 RBI, 98 wRC+, 1.4 fWAR
    Rengifo's struggles against righties catches up to him, but he still provides value defensively through his versatility.
     
    Outfielders:
    LF Taylor Ward - .271 AVG, 19 HR, 68 RBI, 120 wRC+, 3.0 fWAR
    I'm predicting a huge return to form for Ward, after an outstanding 2022 and a 2023 that was solid before being cut short by an Alek Manoah fastball, I think he bounces back big in an offense that needs him to badly.
    CF Mike Trout - .268 AVG, 38 HR, 103 RBI, 157 wRC+, 5.5 fWAR
    Mike Trout reminds everyone who he is and why he's the superstar in Anaheim with a monster season, aided partially by the DH position being opened up for him to rest and avoid injury.
    RF Mickey Moniak - .262 AVG, 18 HR, 59 RBI, 106 wRC+ 1.3 fWAR
    Mickey comes down to earth compared to his electric 2023 first half, but superb defense and good hard hit stats make for another solid season.
    OF Aaron Hicks - .270 AVG, 6 HR, 30 RBI, 103 wRC+, 0.3 fWAR
    Hicks offensive stats are boosted because he'll get a lot of chances against lefties, but he still doesn't get enough opportunity to make a major impact. 
    OF Jo Adell - .225 AVG, 12 HR, 34 RBI, 94 wRC+, 0.2 fWAR
    Adell gets some big hits, but his plate discipline struggles and inconsistency still bleed through.
     
    Starting Pitchers:
    LHP Reid Detmers - 167 IP, 116 ERA+, 181 K, 3.78 FIP, 3.5 fWAR
    Detmers shines in a 5 man rotation, cuts back on mistake pitches en route to a career year.
    RHP Griffin Canning - 145.2 IP, 103 ERA+, 166 K, 4.24 FIP, 2.0 fWAR
    Canning nearly replicates his 2023 but at a higher volume.
    LHP Patrick Sandoval - 135 IP, 108 ERA+, 141 K, 3.92 FIP, 2.7 fWAR
    Sandy struggles a bit with his emotions on the mound, but a nice return to the solid #2/3 form we've seen in years past.
    LHP Tyler Anderson - 111 IP, 96 ERA+, 124 K, 4.60 FIP, 1.3 fWAR
    Anderson's struggles continue, but he still comes close to a league average season.
    RHP Chase Silseth - 155 IP, 127 ERA+, 166 K, 3.75 FIP, 4.4 fWAR
    Silseth is my top Angels breakout this year, proving he has real ability to not only be a starter, but a great one at that. 
     
    Bullpen:
    Carlos Estevez - 4.20 ERA, 3.90 FIP, 26 Saves.
    Robert Stephenson - 2.13 ERA, 1.93 FIP, 10 Saves.
    Matt Moore - 2.99 ERA, 2.88 FIP, 2 Saves
    Jose Soriano - 3.23 ERA, 3.46 FIP
    Luis Garcia - 4.66 ERA, 4.74 FIP
    Adam Cimber - 3.63 ERA, 3.80 FIP
    Jose Cisnero - 4.44 ERA, 4.23 FIP
    Jose Suarez - 3.79 ERA, 4.21 FIP
    The bullpen gets a review as a whole, should be the most improved position group, with the new additions pulling their weight and the returners (for the most part) improving. Could see Estevez, Moore, Garcia, Cimber, and Suarez all getting looks from contenders at the deadline.
    To be completely honest, while this is probably the least optimistic I've been at the start of a season in a while, I like this teams core and I can't wait to watch the new additions get to work. Can't wait for another season of Angels baseball! Go Halos!
  22. Like
    OhtaniSan reacted to jsnpritchett in The Official 2024 Los Angeles Angels Spring Training News & Notes thread   
    "He’d even walk to the gym — no driving was allowed, of course — where he’d do full-body workouts, including leg drills."
    and
     
    “I feel like my legs have gotten bigger from it,” Schanuel said. “Doing leg workouts, I feel stronger. I feel more enduring. I can do more throughout the day. I feel so much better on my feet than I was last season.
    “If you stand throughout the day, it can’t be a bad thing.”
  23. Like
    OhtaniSan reacted to T.G. in The Official 2024 Los Angeles Angels Spring Training News & Notes thread   
    He's not going to take things sitting down.
  24. Like
    OhtaniSan reacted to T.G. in The Official 2024 Los Angeles Angels Spring Training News & Notes thread   
    Nolan seems like a stand up guy.
     
  25. Like
    OhtaniSan reacted to jsnpritchett in The Official 2024 Los Angeles Angels Spring Training News & Notes thread   
    Great article.  Read the full thing if you can, but here are a couple of excerpts:
    "TEMPE, Ariz. — It was only 1 p.m., less than halfway into Nolan Schanuel’s day-long, self-inflicted punishment. And he was already in excruciating pain.
    The exercise regimen that the Los Angeles Angels rookie first baseman conducted over the offseason was not recommended to him by a fitness professional. It’s not grounded in any conventional wisdom. And to pretty much everyone in his orbit, it seemed downright ridiculous.
    Schanuel spent two days a week this offseason standing. For the entire day. From the moment he woke up until the moment he went to bed. His only reprieve was for meals.
    It was a routine that sounds far easier in theory than it is in actual practice. And one that required a great deal of mental and physical willpower to complete.
    “The first time, I was losing my mind,” Schanuel said. “The first day it was 1 p.m. and I had lost my mind.”
    “I made it,” he noted. “I don’t let myself fail. I can’t."
    ...
    "And those confused by his regimen aren’t limited to those closest to him.
    “It is (crazy),” said teammate Ben Joyce. “It’s interesting. I’ve honestly never heard of it. But if it works for him.”
    “There’s a lot of methods,” said head Angels strength and conditioning coach Dylan Cintula, when asked about Schanuel’s exercise. “As long as he gets the results we need.”
    The comment was more tongue-in-cheek. Cintula seemingly wanted to give a diplomatic answer to a question about an exercise foreign even to his expertise. Nonetheless, Cintula was unambiguous that Schanuel had reported to camp in improved shape."
     
     
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