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Everything posted by Lazorko Saves
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Only if they hire Ausmus. In which case, I love it, as the Astros fans see their starter pulled before the 4th inning in about half their games. I think an Ausmus-led Astros team finishes below the Angels in the standings. Which is why I'd love it.
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It's not stupid, it's perfectly reasonable opinion. What is stupid is thinking that ticket is still only worth $25 today, and that's all he has on the line. He has at least $1085 on the line right now. With at Rangers -130 to win the Series as of today, that ticket has an actual hedge value of $1085, and a hold-to-end expected value of $1250 (i.e., someone betting on Arizona today would need to put down $1250 to cash $2500 for a win).
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We really should be sub-contracting all the That's RACIST tagging required on this board to this guy.
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This board really should allow us to "That's RACIST" tag our own posts so that we don't have to wait for Taylor to do it.
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Since I was looking up odds on the other thread, I saw this from BetUS. Erstad at +5000 is surprisingly long. And Dino Ebel not offered. If they had Dino at +5000 I'd drop a note on that one for sure.
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I can't find anyone offering win totals on the '24 Angels already, but I see +5000 on '24 Angels to win World Series. Which probably translates to something like an over/under of 73 wins...again. Ugh.
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If I got this right, you partial ($500) hedge math looks like this. AZ win: cash 2500 minus 500 hedge minus 25 original ticket = $1975 TX win: cash $785 minus 500 hedge minus 25 original ticket = $285 $285 guaranteed by $525 reduction in max payout.
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Hmm, Rangers are -175? At -175, you'd have to bet $1600 on the Rangers to completely hedge off either result. (You get to cash a $2500 ticket with either result.) So one way to look at it, is the sportsbook is offering you $900 for your Diamondbacks ticket today. Would you take that? No? Then hold it. Yes? Then hedge it off with a $1600 bet on the Rangers.
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You know, very quietly Islamabad is having a nice offseason here. Rumor is they are in hard on Trevor Bauer also.
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I don't care if they bring in Joe Biden to manage and Donald Trump to be bench coach along side him, as long as we finally get a good pitching coach (like we haven't had since Bud Black left). (Here they are arguing about whether or not to put Velazquez in as a defensive replacement with a 1 run lead in the 6th inning.)
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Phil Nevin out as Angels manager, Minasian to remain GM
Lazorko Saves replied to mmc's topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily
Where does one find replacement-level GMs? Is there a waiver wire for GMs? Actually, this gives me another idea. We should have a Rule 5 Draft for GMs and Managers. GMs and Managers need to win a playoff series within 5 years or else they become Rule 5 Draft eligible. And that's how we get Bud Black back! -
Man, Ron Washington has really let himself go.