Brandon

Just downloaded this tonight for free. It was on the PS Store list. Kind of neat as it's for PS5, free, and I know a couple of you dudes like Radiohead. Seems to be kind of a puzzle game with music integration.

MVPat x2

Growing up a Chiefs fan we never had a great QB or one in his prime. Try not to take it for granted like how we have Trout.

I'm not into the NBA like I used to be, but Bamba seems like a solid get....especially with AD always injured.

10 hours ago, m0nkey said:

They placed Hardman on IR and activated CEH.  Don't know how involved they'll get him though

Yeah, I expect Pacheco to get a bulk of the carries with McKinnon getting his fair share, too. This combo has been really solid, so I don't think they will deviate. But I can also see CEH getting snaps and maybe making something of it to where he kind of forces Reid to play him more. CEH can run north and south like Pacheco and hit holes hard, but also has the blocking/pass protection and catching out of the backfield like McKinnon. But he's been injured quite a bit so his production numbers aren't there......but we get some fresh legs.

Hardman hurts, but if Toney is good to go we will be ok for his WR spot. I think JuJu is also good to go.

Gb, are you able to do stuff like this or know people that do? I watch these all the time at night to chill or before bed. Videos where dudes just go out into the woods or parts of Siberia and build these custom camps. From small setups to net ones like this dude. I dig this stuff.

5 hours ago, Tank said:

thanks. that makes a lot of sense and i appreciate you walking me through it.

Happy to help. It can get complicated and until it was explained to me properly I didn't get it at first. There is even more to it, but that is the basics. I, too, was curious what -2.5 meant and the how and the why. If you were ever to walk into a sports book in Vegas there are literally walls of various numbers for all types of sports, teams, players, etc. It's all overwhelming at first.

I just heard some casinos are taking bets that Eagles RB, Gainwell, I think, will be the SB MVP at +100.

Bet $100 and win $10,000. I'd take a flyer on that.

Oh, and to answer why you'll hear them say something on TV like "Eagles favored by 2.5", they are just going by the average by most casinos right before kickoff, but your bet stands with whatever casino you bet at personally. 

14 hours ago, Tank said:

question about the odds . . .

it's my understanding (which may be wrong) that each of the sports books sets the odds based on a variety of factors. what if, in this example, caesars sports book sets the odds at philly being favored by 2.5 while the mirage sports book sets it at philly by 3 and the wynn sports book sets it at philly by 1.5.

which one is the official one? or is that no such thing? during the game i'll hear tv people say "the eagles are favored by 2.5" just who are they citing for those odds?

forgive me if i'm not asking any of this correctly but i hope it makes enough sense to get a legit answer. TIA.

The easiest way to example this is that there is a general consensus line. It's not official, just think of it as a baseline everyone kind of agrees would be fair. Then from there, as you mentioned, each casino has it's own people that will then base their individual line based on their own individual analytics and data team......think Moneyball and the Jonah Hill character, but a bunch of them. That individual casino will then put out their own odds with the goal in mind to be close, but also make the line enticing because ultimately the casino just simply wants your bet because they make what's called a vig....think of this as a simple casino entry fee that they get to keep regardless of the outcome.

So let's say as soon as that Niners/Eagles game last week ended and they knew it was KC v. PHI, they all came out with the consensus, then each casino/betting app/betting site then started making their own lines for people to bet individually at each casino, etc.

Now is the tricky but fun part and I might lose you. Think of the betting line like the stock market. It's constantly changing or adjusting based on variables that happen all the way until kickoff. This where you hear about the line shifting or maybe it take a wild swing one way. For instance, when they knew it was Chiefs/Philly, the line opened pretty big for PHI because no one knew if Mahomes ankle was ok and everyone knows an unhealthy Mahomes should make Philly the favorites. When Mahomes had a full first practice and was walking fine everyone knew he was healthy and knew the Chiefs had a better shot so the line moved to consider that factor/variable.

One last thing, when these casinos make their lines, they only care about making that vig/fee I mentioned above because they are going to have to payout to either Chiefs bets or Eagles bet......half win, half lose. So, while they want to make their betting lines attractive so you place your bet with them, they also don't want make it too attractive that they set themselves up for a potential really bad loss at the casino....again, they half to pay the winning half. Their internal goal at each casino (remember all of those Jonah Hill's and the data?) is to crunch the numbers and get an internal line as close to zero as possible. Their goal is to make it attractive so that I bet $100 on KC thinking they will win by that number and you bet $100 on Philly thinking the same thing, because the bets would cancel out because they would use your $100 to pay me if KC wins, or vice versa. But because of that vig, let's say for us each to place that $100 bet we both had to pay the casino a big of $10 each. So then the casino made $20 because they paid me your $100 for me winning.

As an example, after the conference championship there is two weeks until the Super Bowl. So that is two weeks of me, you, and everyone else to place bets and two weeks of variables.....players get injured in practice, a star player is arrested, benched, etc. so the line will move. Because if Mahomes was injured everyone would bet on Philly knowing they will win, so those Jonah Hill guys in the back want to give KC enough points to entice people to bet on KC and get their internal line to zero.

Hope this answers your question and makes sense. I can give examples if need be.

Shouldn't be on his phone while driving

The last two Madden predictions were losses (Bengals and Chiefs), but ironically the last time it was right was the Chiefs vs. SF three years ago.

I think the line might stay somewhere around where it's at now (1.5) with maybe some late swings for the big bets. I think KC will be fine injury wise, but still some players listed as questionable (Sneed and Toney) while it's probably all but certain Hardman doesn't play.

5 hours ago, Lou said:

Mavs 

Saw some rumors they were throwing around after the trade and sounded like they had the worst package to offer. Tried to get a third team involved and were working on options when the Mavs came in with a pretty good one for Kyrie and his contract expiring at the end of the season....although, if things work with Luka I can see him resigning.

Lakers are crushed with minimal talent and three massive contracts.

Thought it would be this

1 hour ago, mrwicked said:

 

I was gonna post this in the music thread. One of my favorite bass lines to play

Get ready for Kyrie

Good ol' rape

8 minutes ago, Taylor said:

I do my kegel exercises daily so it's definitely not that.

Gotta keep them strong, you'll never know when you need to use them.

6 minutes ago, PattyD22 said:

Yep.  I know that.  He often wears a Kansas Jayhawk jersey in concert.

Apparently he also likes to dish out ass kickings in the Kansas airport, according to TMZ

Yeah, it broke my heart a little see he was a Jayhawk.

On 1/31/2023 at 12:50 PM, Don said:

May I humbly submit KC's own Independence Ave Bridge. The people here love it and are very protective of it. It's like our Lil Sebastian. 

 

Is this on 24 Hwy/Truman?

I take this exit from MCI as my family lives in Independence. There is some weird ass boarded up porn shop, and as you drive inland off the highway there is this bridge that not only makes zero sense but they have the street lights in a position no one can see. I think this is it.

Let's get back to dykes......the female version of my background and Russian kykes

3 minutes ago, Vegas Halo Fan said:

As much as they have pansified the Pro Bowl, you would really have to work at it to get injured. I decided long ago that I am not paying money to watch flag football. The skills competition included - and I'm not making this up - dodgeball. I suppose that next year there will be an epic AFC-NFC battle in Red Rover.

I don't think it's happening, just that someone looked into the contract....granted, the contract was made before they changed this whole Pro Bowl format.

Sounds like a pulled lhabia 

2 hours ago, PattyD22 said:

Great story.  I ran into Danny Carey at a Lakers game.  The dude is a giant guy.  

Fun fact, he's actually from Lawrence, KS and has played at some of the KU basketball games. I had heard a lot of his influence was from the Kansas City jazz scene.

2 minutes ago, PattyD22 said:

Danny Carey truly is one of the best drummers of all time @Brandon, and I'm not just saying that because he plays drums for my favorite band, Tool.  He can often be seen at The Baked Potato club in North Hollywood, just sitting in with random jazz musicians on drums and playing for a couple hours.  The guy is an amazingly talented drummer.

Yeah, that wasn't hyperbole and I like that I'm not super into Tool but recognize Danny Carey and Justin Chancellor on bass was one of my inspirations. Danny makes me want to play drums but also makes me feel so small. His technique, kit awareness, timing are just insane. He's literally the best. I like so much and various music, but he is the standard.

Fun story. I worked at a corporate mortgage gig from 2015-2017 and they were huge and had two of the high rises in Irvine. At the bottom of one was a bar I'd jump down to or hang out for happy hour and got to know the bartender really good, who was a drummer. Him and I became good friends. Because he knew I played he invited me to his show in LA. I'm kind of over playing and some of the low level gigs I used to play. But he was like, "Hey, I already ordered a bus that will take us all up to LA from Huntington and we are opening for Volta which is Danny Carey's super band."......I was in. It ended up being a fun night. My buddy crushed it, but seeing Danny Carey live at the Whiskey, which is kind of intimate (and also a place I played at) was a treat. Volta wasn't big or known, so it was almost just a small intimate setting. 

Yeah, he shreds dude. Playing drums and seeing his wrist control is next level. And like you mentioned, I'm big into jazz and know he is the same.....and you see the influence. He's literally the best.

38 minutes ago, Blarg said:

Just got the Speedometer back from the shop all tuned and ready to install. Meet up at Throne Hollywood tomorrow at 9pm? 

Let's shoot for the Rainbow Room. Always celebs and ratchets there. We can shoot from there. Always dumb broads ready to Homie Hop.