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Reveille1984

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Posts posted by Reveille1984

  1. The team that trades away the better player usually loses.

    That trade they did for Dansby Swanson in 2016 hoping he'd be their Simmons replacement hasn't really lived up to the hype either (though that trade was still obscenely lopsided for the Braves).

  2. It probably also stems from traditional SPs on the market getting exorbitant salaries when they're one of the most fickle assets in baseball.  There's a reason these out of the box strats seem to come from small market teams.

    Why give a decent to good starter a $100M+ contract when I can just get a bunch of flamethrowers to pitch a handful of innings every once in a while and keep the opposing lineup out of rhythm as they'll never see the same pitcher more than once a game?

  3. 7 hours ago, jordan said:

    I think with Canning coming on board and with Sandoval’s quick rise, Angels don’t need to make a trade such as this. And I really think (hope) Eppler goes after Cole in the off-season. Cole, Ohtani, Canning, Skaggs, and Heaney, Angels would be set. 

    I really wonder if Ohtani is just going to end up becoming a position player (RF/1B?) in the long term to preserve his health.  The allure of the "double threat" is cool and all, but by the time he works his way back onto a major league mound he'll be almost 26.  Another major injury/arm setback would pretty much derail his career during his prime.

    The outcomes for players that come back from TJ surgery, even guys that get the surgery in their early 20's, is not optimistic.  Of pitchers that got TJ surgery from 2000-2010, the median for innings pitched is around 100.  That's not for one season, that's total innings for the rest of their career.  Only 30% of pitchers hit the 200 total IP mark.  1/5 of pitchers that get TJ surgery don't ever return to pitching.  And these are obviously guys who aren't stressing their body by hitting on off days as well.

     

  4.  

    Canning has never really been a guy that pitches deep into games.  Even in 2018 when he was hovering around 85-89 pitches per game he'd usually sit around 4-5 IP.  

    Once he learns how to attack guys a little better (which he's been doing more of in 2019) and gets comfortable around 95-100+ pitches it won't be an issue.  You can definitely see that his stuff is legit and deceptive.  The more time he has to hone his secondary stuff, I feel like he'll settle in as a nice #2-#3 guy (or for the Angels walking dead pitching staff,  our clear cut #1).

  5. Personally, I'd never trade a top 5 position player prospect like Adell for pretty much any deal centered around a pitcher (whether proven or not), even if they had 4+ years of control left.  Pitchers are just too volatile and injury prone while an upper tier OF like Adell can give you value for a decade or more.  

    It would probably have to be a package of 3-4 guys that are farther away from the bigs, with maybe two being upper tier SP prospects and two being upper tier position players.  As others have iterated, teams like SD/ATL have a wealth of talent available.  These trades rarely happen just because when you hit on these top guys, they usually end up as franchise cornerstones (Mookie Betts, Ronald Acuna, Juan Soto, etc.) and it's hard to get fair value back for that sort of potential.  It's why the old saying is the team giving up the best player usually loses the trade.

     

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