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Troutstanding

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Posts posted by Troutstanding

  1. Situation:

    Runner on third, one out.

    Infield in, hard ground ball to short stop. 

    Short throws home, catcher tags out the runner.

    Now here's where every goes crazy saying the contact play is the stupidest thing in the world.

    However,

    Had the runner not gone on contact:

    Short throws to first base, batter-runner out at first. 

    Runner on third, two outs. 

    Questions:

    How much worse is it really to have a runner on third vs first with already two outs?

    With the infield in, how many more ground balls split the gaps, thus scoring the runner AND allowing the batter-runner to reach base? 

    How often does the runner at third base go on contact, realize he will likely be tagged out, get caught in a rundown, and allow the batter-runner to get to second or third, anyway?

    How often does the play go to home, only for the runner from third to be safe, allowing also the batter-runner to be safe, too?

    Is there some sort of intangible value in putting pressure on the infield defenders to make the play, perhaps on rare occasion causing them to make a mistake?

    The numbers show that the contact play works well for the Angels. It seems to me we are more likely to remember the contact play backfiring than when it works. This Jeff Fletcher article from 3/27/16 sums it better:

    http://www.ocregister.com/articles/play-709926-contact-angels.html

  2. I have bet the over every time Weaver and Shoemaker have pitched this year.  It doesn't take a

    Rocket Scientist to make these bets.  Yesterday's game was a perfect example why I consider Scioscia the dumbest manager in baseball. In the first inning Scioscia plays for one run. With Weaver on the mound, one run is not going to win the game. Then the Angels are down two to one he plays the infield in to cut off a run. This leads to a big inning. DFScioscia has Weaver walk Braun with two outs. Stupid again. Weaver is getting lit-up DFScioscia leaves Weaver in to give up three more runs in the 6th inning. Then he pinch hit's Choi in the ninth with a .077 batting average. Yes, DFScioscia has been the dumbest manager in baseball for over a decade.

    It's not that I agree with all of Scioscia's decisions (such as having Ortega bunt in the first inning) but it's another thing entirely to be an arm chair manager when the game is over. Hindsight sure does make one a brilliant strategist.

    Just curious, who would you have had pinch hit in the ninth? Carlos Perez would have been the only other option. Thing is, Carlos Perez is here to stay. Choi has to show if he can do it or not. MLB is a long season, fact is it takes time to determine who should stick around and who shouldn't. Choi had an opportunity to show he belongs. Gathering information is part of the job.

  3. I think an ideal lineup at this point would be

    1. Escobar

    2. Trout

    3. Calhoun

    4. Pujols

    5. Cron

    6. Simmons

    7. Perez

    8. Gia/Pennington

    9. Ortega/Gentry

    But it wont happen because MS refuses to separate Trout and Pujols

    So how about just switch Calhoun and Pujols then?
  4. I voted Erstad/Salmon. Erstad played the harder than most players. Trout just makes it look easy because of his talent. As good of a player Vlad was his over powered arm would sometimes cloud his judgment on throws. Salmon was steady, not awesome. FWIW I didn't take offense into account, just the play in the field

    I'd say it's worth quite a bit :)

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