BTH

Seeing that replay of Trout’s last leadoff HR reminds me that Texas’ old stadium was way, way better than their current stadium. Too bad they couldn’t just put a roof over the old stadium.

Yet your explanation for the decision in question was the run expectancy charts.

My bad. Typo. The 17.5% is with 1st and 3rd 0 outs, not 1st and 2nd. https://gregstoll.com/~gregstoll/baseball/stats.html#H.-2.9.0.6.0.0

Had to fix the link

They needed to score two runs and not just one. Probability of the home team scoring two runs in the bottom of the 9th, down two runs, with runners at 1B and 3B, and 0 outs: 17.5% Probability of the hone team scoring two runs in the bottom of the 9th, down two runs, with runners at 2B and 3B, and 1 out: 23.13% https://gregstoll.com/~gregstoll/baseball/stats.html#H.-2.9.1.7.0.0

If Wash’s decisions were based on run expectancy, then why did he want Adrianza to bunt so it’d be 2B and 3B with 1 out (1.38) vs. 1st and 2nd with 0 outs (1.44)?

Phil Nevin is back in NY… as a fan, to watch his son play. @Swordsman78

False. No one has explained why Adell taking 3B resulted in the bunt call being taken off.

If someone wants to provide a legitimate explanation that makes sense, I’m happy to admit I’m wrong. But no one has done that, which lends credence to the notion that the manager made a bad move.

No one has given me an explanation to indicate that I’m wrong. I don’t think I’m smarter than anyone else, because other people had the same question. I probably am more aggressive in asking the question than others, which is what happened in your example, but I’m not on some island asking a ridiculous question. I’m asking a fair question.

No one has an answer to my fundamental question and is instead skirting around it because that specific question wasn’t asked and everyone with decent baseball IQ knows the decision made no sense. Instead of admitting it, there a number of people on here who are acting like we should just believe whatever they say, like dumb idiots.

You, personally, conform to whatever the Angels do and refuse to have an original thought. You think that whatever the Angels do must be right, and it shouldn’t be questioned.

Especially if that specific question is never asked to the guy who made the decision.

I generally agree, but I’d at least like to try and understand his thinking and not blindly believe everything he does is right.

And scoring one run is meaningless if you don’t score the second run.

Sure. Or if Schanuel did. Or if Rengifo hit an XBH. But I’m still curious about the thinking there, as a similar situation could come up again, and I don’t get what they were thinking.

I hope that’s not the answer. And if it was, that’d be easily preventable by telling him to stay at third or having Hicks run for him.

This is the only real gripe I have, because I don’t understand it. I can understand the reasoning behind other decisions, but this one made no sense.

I’m not focusing on that because what’s there to focus on? He’s who you’d want up in that spot, and he didn’t get the job done. Not much more to discuss there. There’s nothing anyone but Trout could’ve done up there. How is Adrianza’s plate appearance not a critical moment? When you’re down to 3 outs left and the tying run is at 1B with the winning run at the plate, that is a critical moment. But there was a strategic decision involved with Adrianza’s plate appearance, which is why I’m focused on it. First, he was left in the game despite hitters with better career numbers on the bench. Then, the bunt was taken off despite the tying run still being at 1B.

Look, I acknowledge that it doesn’t happen much, but just because it doesn‘t happen doesn’t mean that it should be the case. Just because something is always done a certain way doesn’t make it right. And still, despite everyone arguing with me, no one has addressed my main (and the biggest question): why does Adell stealing 3B change the equation on bunting? The tying run was still at 1B, and the goal of bunting would be to get the tying run into scoring position.

But why does Adell stealing change the equation? Wouldn’t the point of bunting be to get the tying runner (at 1B) to second? After Adell’s SB, the tying run still wasn’t in scoring position. And why not lift Adrianza for Drury if the equation changed? It was only one pitch into the AB.

? The numbers tell you it was a bad decision. It’s not that complicated for most people.

Just because I didn’t type my thoughts at the time doesn’t mean I wasn’t thinking it at the time. It made no sense to go with Adrianza over Drury or Thaiss, yet you’re too stupid or stubborn to admit it.

That doesn’t explain why they left in the worst hitter to bat.

I’d rather deal with that and have the game still going than just lose.