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Everything posted by redoctober2002
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Trout's risp average broken down by year.
redoctober2002 replied to johndw52's topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily
So it's not quite the same splits, but I went to Fangraphs and created a splits leaderboard with the following conditions: Dates: 3-1-2016 to present Inning: 8, 9, or Extras Leverage Index: High, so LI of 2 or greater. Chart for reference of Leverage Indexes Minimum of 50 plate appearances This left a total of 360 qualifying players. Trout ended up ranking 43rd in wRC+ with a value of 144 (44 percent better than average). The top player was Justin Smoak with a wRC+ of 215 followed by Kyle Tucker at 200. Some interesting names and their rankings: Name wRC+ Rank Bryce Harper 183 6 Aaron Judge 166 11 Juan Soto 163 13 Shohei Ohtani 137 55 Mookie Betts 130 72 Kyle Schwarber 17 351 Link for reference. -
Weird RBI stats re: Trout/Ward
redoctober2002 replied to Angel Oracle's topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily
I question if that's still relevant in the modern game. From what I remember, the data set used to prove this was from 1952-2004. Since then, there has been a much greater emphasis on putting guys who can get on base in those first two spots rather than, fast guy hits leadoff and guy who can bunt bats second. The only team I can think of that batted their best hitter second consistently in recent years were the Yankees and even now they have Judge batting 3rd this year. -
I figured if the Angels were going to get shafted by the Stephenson signing it would be due to regression from him not being on the Rays anymore. He had an elbow injury to start the season last year so it wouldn't surprise me if this ends up being kinda nasty.
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Canning is just sucking right now and Sandoval has had issues for at least the past two seasons. Before Sandoval it was Andrew Heaney that would be a mental case on the mound and he's from Oklahoma. So no I don't think it's an OC native issue.
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Luckily, I had other things going on so had to miss this one. Only real positives out of this one is that Ward continues to mash and Rendon is still hitting (finally got the BA above the Mendoza line). Also, why is O'Hoppe still batting 8th? Is this some old school lineup thing where you just slot your catcher in at 8 or what?
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This is where it starts. The best kids are playing travel ball year round and so by the time they get to that level they already have a ton of hard innings on their arm. Add in once you get to a high level pitching labs and coaches are instructing how to push your body to the limit at max effort every pitch and it's no wonder they break down. These things were being brought up years ago, but since so many are bought into the status quo nothing was done about it. Last time this was a discussion it was over the recent ban of sticky stuff. Now it's the pitch clock. In a year or two when this happens again they'll probably blame something else.
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It's 3/39 but still, this was a pretty good deal considering the pitching market that year. I think the intention was to provide some stability in the middle, or worst case, back end of a 6 man rotation while providing some veteran leadership in an otherwise young rotation. That next tier of guys above him were going for $20M+ AAV, and the top tier guys going for over $30M AAV so $13M is quite a bargain. I would say if Anderson has an ERA around 4-4.5 and pitches 150+ innings the next two seasons I would feel that contract was a good deal with all said and done.
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Interesting tidbit about Trout & solo HR
redoctober2002 replied to jsnpritchett's topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily
In his career, Trout has a 173wRC+ with runners in scoring position. So pretty dang good. -
Truth be told, I don't think anyone is buying the pitch clock argument. Everything I've seen is it's usually a combination of max effort every pitch and year round travel ball while growing up. This trend has been going on for what, 7 years now (when did The Arm get published)? Seems like every year there's a stretch where a bunch of top tier pitchers get hurt and we have this same discussion then nothing changes.
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If Schanuel is still struggling in the middle of May I'd be more entertained with the idea of sending him down. Until then though I'm willing to let him try to figure it out. I do agree with some other posters that Rengifo should figure into the lineup more. Maybe a platoon with Drury or just leaving Sano as a bench bat rather than the main DH.
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Personally, I like Rengifo at leadoff with Schanuel batting 2nd. Historically, Regnifo has hit well at leadoff (134 wRC+) and I like the lefty in the two spot if Washington is going to commit to guys stealing often. If Schanuel starts to hit again, that gives more opportunities for Trout to bat with guys on base than if they slot him in the two hole.