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Gavin

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Posts posted by Gavin

  1. Long term forecast is showing another AR (atmospheric river) event towards the end of next week for Central California. Could also affect SoCal.

    While these systems may seem great long term for our water issues, some have been so warm that they are actually melting the snowpack. That leads to the water running back into the ocean. 

    I guess beggars can't be choosers. For a weather nerd like myself, I'm fascinated with how these systems develop.  

  2. I sold out of most of my stocks and mutual funds yesterday. The underlying factors don't seem to indicate that this upturn has any legs. We are due for a recession based on market history.

    I'm the first person to say that you can't time the market, but something smells fishy. With that said, when there's blood in the streets, buy property (equities in this case). I'll be back in the market soon. 

  3. 6 hours ago, HaloCory22 said:

    Why in the world could BM give him a 2 year extension with a NMC. All I'm saying is not to bank on it happening. Of course I'd love for it to work out that way. I'm just playing devil's advocate here.

    I understand but if you're building a team, who would you pick: Casual Kev or Manson? A previous stupid move doesn't mean another stupid move will follow. 

  4. 19 hours ago, gotbeer said:

     

    http://cdn.agilitycms.com/nhlpacom/PDF/NHL_NHLPA_2013_CBA.pdf

    This is the NHL CBA.

    Now while not specific.  This is what I found under ARTICLE 13 13.1-13.4.

    Now it does not specify if Age 18-19 is considered a professional.  But a professional game per the CBA is NHL games, all minor league games, and Euopean league on loan. 

    Now the question is, is 18-19 not considered pro games even if they play in it?

    Then Ritchie and Theodore would be exempt.  Since Ritchie is 20.  And theodore is 21, so 20 and 21 would be 2 years of pro experience.  But Montour, who is 22, would has played year 20, 21, and 22 and would most definitely be eligible, regardless of the interpretation. 

    Now the site MrWicked posted says that Montour is exempt.  So that's a contradiction.

    The other concern.  Per the site Gavin posted.

    The Ducks currently have only one goaltender under contract for 2017-18.  So currently, by the minimum requirements, does that mean he has to be exposed?

    I was trying to wrap my head around why Montour is exempt, and I just remembered what happened. He signed a PTO for the games he played in his "first" season that he played with the Admirals. So his ELC didn't actually kick in until last year, which means he's ineligible for the draft. 

  5. 3 minutes ago, mrwicked said:

    this is all just financial chess to get lindholm in. he'll be back soon once things settle. he is the future.

    has anyone read the article why lindholm's salaries are so wacky. crazy complicated.

    Unfortunately. The NHL and/or the Players union can opt out of the CBA in 2020-2021. The $3.75M for that season is to hedge against a possible lockout.

  6. 1 hour ago, Scioscia4MVP said:

    How much Cap do they save if Stoner well um tripped over a chair in the locker room & they put him on LTIR ?

    LTIR is only effective for the amount of time the player is hurt. The team does get full cap relief, which would be $3.25M in Stoner's case, but once healthy, the Ducks would have to activate him.

    The LTIR is a short term bandaid; the Ducks will have to address it once Thompson has recovered from Achilles surgery and if, hopefully it's when, Despres recovers.

  7. 1 hour ago, HaloCory22 said:

    How are you so sure Bieksa will waive his NMC? He has to agree to get moved. Why would he agree? Especially if its to a crappy non contender. The guy wants to win too. I think you're putting too much faith in BM and/or KB's cooperation.

    Why in the world would LV want Bieksa? Do you think Vegas is going to want a player who's 35 year old defenseman who plays bottom pairing minutes and makes $4M a year? Or would they prefer a defenseman who is a decade younger and makes $825K? 

  8. Just now, Scioscia4MVP said:

    So after they sign Lindholm, what will they do after the season when they got Lindholm, Vatanen, Fowler while Bieksa uses up a protection spot ?  Fowler's had hot streaks before the eventual coming back down to earth.
    Other teams will have even more leverage knowing Anaheim has to buyout Bieksa or move Fowler or they lose Fowler to Vegas.

     

    First off, they can ask Bieksa to waive hit NMC, which would allow the Ducks to use the spot on someone else. Bieksa won't be picked up when the Ducks have other players that LV would want.

    Second, I think the Ducks have to trade Fowler before the expansion draft. They won't be able to afford him after his current deal expires following next year. That allows the Ducks to protect three defensemen (Lindholm, Vats, and Manson) and seven forwards. 

  9. Quote

    Basically, the Hampus Lindholm situation comes down to this: Anaheim wants him under Rasmus Ristolainen’s $5.4M salary.

    At the beginning of last week, word around the NHL indicated the two sides were $700,000 apart per season (Lindholm at $5.8M, the Ducks at $5.1M). I think that’s closed, but the critical sticking point remains that if it’s a six-year term (as it is with the Buffalo defender), that buys up two years of unrestricted free agency for Lindholm as opposed to one for Ristolainen. Anaheim has flirted with a five-year offer, but Lindholm’s camp doesn’t seem interested.

    http://www.sportsnet.ca/hockey/nhl/30-thought-ducks-lindholm-oilers-leafs-100-flames-gaudreau/

    This is really starting to bother me. I've always thought the Bargain Bob moniker is lame, but he's really living up to it with these negotiations. In what world is Hampus less valuable than Risto, Rielly, and Jones? Just, FUCK!

    There is more discussion about the situation for anyone who is interested.

  10. Perron wanted to go back to STL. I agree with you on the Raymond and Bill signings, and I don't understand why they didn't try to keep Pirri. With that said, there is something strange with Pirri. The Ducks only gave up a late pick (6th rounder? If I remember correctly) for a 20 goal scorer. Then he signs late in the offseason for cheap, so there's something strange there. 

    BM has definitely made some mistakes (Stoner and Bieksa in particular), but the positives outweigh the negatives in my mind. 

  11. 11 minutes ago, HaloCory22 said:

    GMBM is getting fired after this season. What an awful, awful offseason.

    As upset I am with the offseason, BM has done pretty damn well with the constraints he has to deal with. My friend put the Ducks' budget in a perspective that I think is really interesting: the last few years they have been playing sans one, additional star player on their roster. THAT is bull shit, and part of the responsibility falls on Ducks fans. It's embarrassing to see how empty games are from time to time. 

    Back to the point, the Ducks are still a playoff team while having a fairly deep prospect pool. I think firing BM would be a huge mistake. 

  12. 4 minutes ago, gotbeer said:

    Just thinking out loud here.

    But going off of past rumors.  The NJ GM is the one that drafted Depres.  They also just claimed PA Parenteau off waivers. 

    So would you do a straight up trade, Depres for Parenteau?  Devils have $11.2 million in cap space, so taking on Depres contract shouldn't be a problem.  Parenteau is a UFA next season and is only owed $1.25 million.  That would save us about $2.5 million this season, and $3.75 million in the following 4 seasons.

    They signed Lovejoy in the offseason: Despres for Lovejoy. And the world goes round and round.

     

     

    No, I'm not serious.

  13. 1 hour ago, gotbeer said:

    Takaways from the Gulls/Reign game. 

    First, it was surprising that I didn't recognize a lot of the names on the team.  Welinski was among them that I didn't recognize, and he's only 23.  Kevin Roy was another that I didn't recognize, and well, he's a small guy.  A really small guy.  Hockeydb has him at 5'10".  He's more like a 5'5".  The standout of the game was the goalie though, Dustin Tokarski.  He was just positioned right through the game, controlled the rebounds.  Although it did get hectic at times when he wasn't able to control the rebounds.  But he did make some nice saves.  If you look at his career stats, he's not that bad.  If he continues to be solid at the Gulls, I can see the Ducks trading Bernier late in the season, and going with him as backup in the pipes. 

    Overall, fun game and atmosphere.  Lots of both Ducks and Kings fans.  Although food and drinks were expensive. 

    Roy and Welinski were Ducks draft picks from a few years back who have been playing college hockey. The major reason why Roy isn't in the league is because of his size. You could see last night how skilled he is. What's funny is there were some Ducks fans who were worried that those two would pull a Shultz on us. 

    As for Tokarski, he was great last night. I was pleasantly surprised as the word on him is that he's a mediocre goalie, even for AHL standards. 

    I think the Gulls will be fun to watch this year. Looks like a lot of skill has been added compared to last year.

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