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Hamilton Noji

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Posts posted by Hamilton Noji

  1. i don't see why we can't be in contention. baseball is too random. but all in all, we are better than last year, and we have at least the talent on paper to compete.

     

    weaver/wilson + garza/santiago/richards/skaggs is a heck of a lot better than hanson/vargas/blanton/williams although vargas was OK for us. 

    hamilton/pujols should be better than last year

    freese is better than alberto.

    aybar/kendrick should be around the same

    ianetta should be around the same

    trout/conger/calhoun should be better

    if ibanez gives us 750OPS that should minimize trumbo's loss

     

    green/shuck/romine are decent off the bench.

     

    frieri/smith/dlr/burnett is decent.

     

    the only really huge question marks i think are

     

    1. backend of bullpen (moran, morin, rapuda, jepsen, salas). could be lights out, could be blanton.

    2. can santiago+skaggs+richards perform? very good chance at least 2/3 will be quality arms and give you 4/5 level pitching.

  2. HITTERS

     

    Pujols, Kendrick, Aybar, Conger, Ianetta, Hamilton, Trout, Shuck, Romine will likely be repeats on the 2014 opening day roster like they were in 2013.  Of those I expect moderate to significant improvement from Pujols, Conger and Hamilton.  Trout, Shuck and Romine should get a little better just on experience alone.  I expect Kendrick, Aybar and Ianetta to equal their performance.

     

    Besides that we've swapped out Callaspo for Freese, Boujos for Calhoun, Trumbo for Ibanez and Harris for Green.  Freese is an obvious upgrade, I think Calhoun is an obvious upgrade (if anything because he is more durable), and Green is an obvious upgrade over Harris.  In fact, the only thing that's downgraded is Ibanez from Trumbo, but I don't even think this is that big of a downgrade.

     

    I think we've upgraded quite a bit on the offensive side.

     

    STARTING PITCHING

     

    Weaver and Wilson are the only returning starters from 2013.  I expect both of them to have similar years again.  Richards, Skaggs, Santiago are MAJOR upgrades over Vargas, Hanson and Blanton.  This move might move us +10 wins alone.  Although Vargas was solid, he was out for over half the year, Blanton and Hanson were pretty much as bad as advertised.

     

    BULLPEN

     

    Frieri and Burnett appear to be the only returning relievers from 2013.  I expect Frieri to be a little better and Burnett (obviously) to be a lot better.  Joe Smith has replaced Scott Downs and DLR has replaced Mark Lowe.  So far, so good - all in all big upgrades.

     

    The last three spots on the bullpen from 2013 are Jepsen, Richards and Williams.  Blanton appears to be replacing Williams (downgrade), and a duo among Salas, Kohn, Moran, Morin, Rapada will likely replace Jepsen and Richards.  Basically whoever replaces Jepsen will likely be an upgrade but whoever replaces Richards may not be (Salas, Kohn, Moran, Morin, Rapada).

     

    Bullpen has been upgraded, but Blanton is a downgrade, the Jepsen replacement is an upgrade and the Richards upgrade is unknown.

     

    So other than replacing Ibanez with Trumbo, replacing Blanton with Williams and the Richards replacement, I think Jerry's done a terrific job.  If we get Tanaka it's superb.

     

  3. the hitters look set.

     

    if we sign another starter, then i guess it's going to be 4 pitchers among the following: santiago (s/rp), skaggs (s), salas (rp), kohn (rp), moran (rp), jepsen (rp), rapada (rp), morin (rp).

     

    my guess skaggs starts of at AAA and is our 6th starter, santiago starts and choose moran + rapada.

  4. so it appears Frieri, Smith, Burnett, DLR and unfortunately Blanton (hopefully just doing mop-up work in a blowout) are all part of the pen.

     

    so which of the three do you like the best and why? i'm assuming we go 7 arms in the bullpen and that these 3 are the most likely to be part of the final 25 roster.

  5. i like it. 

     

    pujols/kendrick/aybar/freese/green/romine

    trout/hamilton/calhoun/shuck

    ianetta/conger

    ibanez

     

    weaver/wilson/richards/santiago/skaggs

    frieri/smith/burnett/DLR/blanton/kohn/salas or jepsen

     

    there's 25. sign another starter and send skaggs to AAA. get another relief pitcher and select 1 of kohn/salas/jepsen and we are solid.

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