https://blogs.fangraphs.com/anthony-rendon-is-an-angel-on-the-infield/
Cool Fangraphs article on Rendon and the Angels, worth noting, the one negative part is about his future decline. Some useful context on the projections (from the creator of ZiPS) : "The ZiPS projections for Rendon feel a little light; that’s the case for a few reasons. The first issue is that people tend to overrate just how healthy a player will be in his 30s, so a lot of the missing WAR is ZiPS hedging its injury bets. In this case, it’s purely based on age and position; Rendon’s early-career injuries are too far back for the computer to care about. ZiPS also uses a mix of defensive stats rather than just UZR in its WAR. I’d still take the over on the projections, but they’re not as crazy-bearish as first glance might suggest"
Notable quotes from the article:
"Since his injury-shortened 2015, he’s accumulated the fourth-most WAR among position players. In the last three years, he’s accumulated the fourth-most as well. In fact, he’s one of the best 10 position players in baseball over every stretch you can count back, starting with his rookie year"
"Four years ago, Rendon was patient with enough power to keep pitchers honest. In 2019, he posted the fifth-highest slugging percentage in baseball while striking out less frequently than he had in any previous year."
"Our very early projections for 2020 already had the Angels as an 83.5 win team against neutral competition. This would leave them on the outside of the playoffs looking in, but Rendon vaults them into the Wild Card race immediately, even without any further pitching additions or depth hitters."
"Putting Mike Trout in front of him in the lineup (I’d bat Rendon fourth and Trout second, but the configuration won’t matter much) is a way to increase the leverage of those at-bats, to maximize the number of runners Rendon can drive home. Offense stacks, and combining great hitters is an excellent way to maximize a free agent signing."
This last point was really interesting - Trout plus Rendon is not just Trout's production and Rendon's production. Even if you don't believe in player protection, as far as run production goes, each of them makes the other's hits more likely to score more runs. There's a multiplier here. And that's before any production from Ohtani, Upton, or Adell - any one of which has the talent to put together a monster season. I still want pitching so we can actually maybe challenge the Astros...but, I'm starting to feel good about this signing.
By Robert Cunningham, Angelswin.com Senior Writer
As the Angels enter the 2019-2020 off-season, Billy Eppler is faced with the daunting task of taking Moreno's proposed increase in team payroll and creating a contending club out of the available resource pool. Currently, the Angels 40-man roster stands at 40 players as of November 28th, 2019.
In order to begin the discussion about available finances, the author has examined the Angels 40-man roster and assuming the Angels retain the current set of 40 players and use MLBTradeRumors.com's estimated arbitration salaries, 2020 Club Payroll will be approximately $162M and Actual Club Payroll (Average Annual Value (AAV) payroll) will be approximately $151M as seen below:
A couple of notes regarding the table above:
Injured List $$ indicates a nominal number for MLB players that spend time on the Injured List and is an educated guess based on information provided by the Orange County Register's Jeff Fletcher.
Payouts refers to any and all money expended on players no longer on the 40-man roster. In this case the $1M number was Kole Calhoun's option year buyout.
Subtract Non-Roster is simply the 14 players not on the 26-man roster making League-minimum salaries that do not count toward the total payroll numbers. In this case 14 x $600K = $8.4M
Benefits refers to Player Benefit Costs and is an educated guess (also based on information provided by Jeff Fletcher) on how much every team pays toward that fund. Below is the relevant excerpt of the Collective Bargaining Agreement that shows how it is applied to the payroll calculation:
To be clear this estimate is exactly that, an educated guess. The only difference between '2020 Club Payroll' and 'Actual Club Payroll' is that in the latter you are accounting for the multi-year guaranteed contracts (average annual value of them) and how close that places the team to the Competitive Balance Tax (CBT) threshold for that season (in this case $208M for 2020).
So Eppler starts the season with approximately $147M in 2020 Club Payroll and $136M in Actual Club Payroll (AAV) and when you adjust for Player Benefits, non-roster players, Injury List (IL) payout estimates and Calhoun's $1M option buyout, the Angels start the season at $162M (2020 Club Payroll) and $151M (Actual Club Payroll).
This means that, based on Moreno's own words about raising 2020 Club Payroll, the team probably has at least $25M+ to spend in free agency and trade and likely that number is closer $30M-$40, if not more. Fortunately, because of this, the Halos have more options this off-season in terms of money and resources (both MLB-ready players, farm prospects, and International Signing money) to address their needs and create better depth across the roster.
If the Angels really are courting Gerrit Cole (and they should be), he will likely get the Angels close to their spending limit all by himself on a back loaded contract. In order to make other moves, Eppler will have to get creative in the trade market as well as executing savvy low-level free agent signings to fill in the rest of the roster. This may require Moreno to get awfully close to, or even exceed, the Luxury Tax threshold of $208M, although the team will likely stay under that number, barring a truly unexpected all-in over the next two seasons (a precise window they can escape by the way once Pujols contract expires after 2021).
Expectations are high for Eppler to create a winner in his current, last year as General Manager so Angelswin.com members and fans should expect at least one large free agent signing with perhaps 1-3 lower-level pickups. In addition to that it will not be surprising to see 1-3 trades executed to bring in additional pitching and positional needs.
All of this will be covered further as we dive deeper into the 2020 Angelswin.com Primer Series!
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By Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA - Mike Trout
By Jonathan Northrop, AngelsWin.com Columnist
Watching Anthony Rendon in the World Series got me thinking about how he ranks among baseball’s superstars, and who the very best players in baseball are. Clearly the best is obvious, but what about everyone else? How would they rank? And how to rank them? What started as a fun little time-wasting personal project quickly spiralled out of hand and consumed some hours of the last few days, and resulted in an actual article. So as the offseason begins, enjoy...
A Note on Process
If you're not interested in the process and formula and just want to see the list, go ahead and skip ahead. The formula is simple, but some might find it tedious or headache-inducing. But I've enclosed it in spoilers, so as not to confuse.
The List
I wrote this in installments for the forum, but will share it here as one piece. It will still be presented as a countdown, from #21 to #1, and then with some odds and ends at the end.
By now you know I’m cheating: I’m offering a top 21, because while I’m OK excluding #22 Ketel Marte (for now), I cannot bear to keep José Altuve off the list.
Finally, a note of clarification: This list is meant to answer the question about who the best players are in the game right now based upon the above weighted WAR formula; in other words, this is right now; it is not meant as a list of future value, or who I personally would take in a fantasy or real draft. The list and ordering will change (and perhaps we'll revisit it next year).
Without further ado...
THE TWENTY-ONE BEST POSITION PLAYERS IN BASEBALL (Going into 2020)
Note: Each player entry will include their Three-Year Weighted fWAR, team, position, and 2020 age, with a line for 2019 statistics.
By Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA - Jose Altuve
#21: JOSÉ ALTUVE 4.7 (Astros, 2B, 30)
2019 Stats: .298/.353/.550, 138 wRC+, 3.5 WAR, 31 HR.
You might be surprised to find the Great Little One so far down this list, but Altuve has actually been on a trajectory of decline over the last couple years: from a career-best 7.6 fWAR in 2017, to 4.9 in 2018 and 3.5 this year. We've also seen his batting average plummet from .346 to .316 to .298 during that span, although with career-best power numbers in 2019 (31 HR, .252 ISO). Given his career-low .303 BABIP in 2019, chances are he bounces back at least somewhat in 2020. Altuve is interesting in that a few years ago he was pretty much this era's Tony Gwynn, with three batting titles in four years (2014, 2016-17); now he's hitting far more HR than Gwynn ever did. He's early into a mega-contract, with $29 million due each year through 2024, so it will be interesting to see how he ages. 2020 should determine if he's now "only" a very good player, or if he can maintain his place among the best in the game.
#20: PETER ALONSO 4.8 (Mets, 1B, 25)
2019 Stats: .260/.358/.583, 143 wRC+, 4.8 WAR, 53 HR.
Talk about a rookie year. Considering the fact that he only has one year to his name, Alonso’s ranking is based entirely on his 2019 performance, so is a bit more tenuous than other players. But given his incredible season, including a rookie record 53 HR, I think he deserves inclusion. He's a classic Killebrew-esque power hitting first baseman: low average, immense power, an above average amount of walks (72) and tons of strikeouts (183). My guess is that there's more of all of the above to come. If he adds 30 points to his BA, he'll be one of the very best hitters in baseball.
#19: RONALD ACUÑA Jr. 4.8 (Braves, CF, 22)
2019 Stats: .280/.365/.518, 126 wRC+, 5.6 WAR, 41 HR, 37 SB.
Such discussion is never had on this web-site, of course, but when people talk about who might eventually surpass Mike Trout as the best player in baseball, Acuña's name is frequently mentioned. While he's far from Trout, consider that he just finished his age 21 season with 9.3 career fWAR, good for 22nd best all time through that age (Trout had already accrued more than twice that with 20.9, but this isn’t about him). Acuña is the full package, with a career line of .285/.365/.532 in his first 1202 PA: not bad for a 21-year old. If you want something to complain about, despite more HR and WAR (mostly due to more games played), his 2019 actually saw a slight drop in wRC+ from 143 to 126. But he did almost join the exclusive 40-40 club and the sky is the limit for this kid.
#18: TREVOR STORY 4.8 (Rockies, SS, 27)
2019 Stats: .294/.363/.554, 121 wRC+, 5.8 WAR, 35 HR, 23 SB.
I was surprised to see Story end up so high. While he’s been around for four years now, he’s not a star I pay a lot of attention to, although that might be because the Rockies are a team not many outside of Colorado pays attention to. But Story is very, very good, if enjoying the usual Coors-inflated numbers. After a sophomore slump in 2017, which saw his excellent rookie fWAR of 3.1 drop to 1.4, he has established himself as a bonafide star, with a 5.1 and 5.8 fWAR the last two years, with very similar stats. A nice complementary star to Colorado’s franchise player, who we’ll encounter a little later on.
#17: YASMANI GRANDAL 4.9 (Brewers, C, 31)
2019 Stats: .246/.380/.468, 121 wRC+, 5.2 WAR, 28 HR.
For those wondering why a few Angels fans keep lingering over the name “Yasmani Grandal” for possible free agent signings, this is exactly why: he’s one of the twenty best position players in the game. Grandal has quietly been consistently very good for half a decade, averaging exactly 5.0 fWAR over the last five years – incredible numbers for a catcher. And you’ve got to love that .380 OBP, based on a career-high 109 walks. According to this formula, he’s the second best catcher in baseball.
#16: MAX MUNCY 5.0 (Dodgers, 2B/1B/3B/OF, 30)
2019 Stats: .251/.374/.515, 134 wRC+, 4.8 WAR, 35 HR.
Muncy’s an unusual player, both because he plays a bunch of positions adequately, but also because he emerged relatively late in his career; after not catching on with the Athletics, he broke out at age 27 in 2018 for the Dodgers. His ranking might be a bit generous as I only included his two full seasons in the formula, but his 10 WAR over the last two years makes him one of the twenty best in the game.
#15: GEORGE SPRINGER 5.0 (Astros, OF, 30)
2019 Stats: .292/.383/.591, 156 wRC+, 6.5 WAR, 39 HR.
While Springer has been a borderline star for a few years now, he finally had the breakout year people had been expecting, with career highs in almost every category – despite only playing in 122 games. If he has a similar year next year, he could threaten the top 10.
#14: J.T. REALMUTO 5.2 (Phillies, C, 29)
2019 Stats: .275/.328/.493, 108 wRC+, 5.7 WAR, 25 HR.
According to this metric, Realmuto is the best catcher in baseball, but it is close, and Grandal has been good for longer. Add in the fact that a huge amount of Realmuto’s WAR value in 2019 came from Fangraphs’ new catcher framing stats, giving him 27.8 Defensive Runs—about half of his 5.7 WAR—and that his hitting was down from 2018, and I think you could argue that Grandal should get the edge, at least for past performance; but Realmuto is likely to be better going forward. Either way, Realmuto is one of two really good catchers in the major leagues, with everyone else far behind. Consider that over the last three years, Realmuto leads all catchers with 15.0 WAR; Grandal is a close second at 14.0, but then it drops all the way to the once-great Buster Posey at 8.9 and the erratic Gary Sanchez at 8.3.
#13: JOSÉ RAMÍREZ 5.4 (Indians, 3B, 27)
2019 Stats: .255/.327/.479, 104 wRC+, 3.3 WAR, 23 HR, 24 SB.
If we were doing this list a year ago, Ramirez would rank in the top 5 with a three-year weighted WAR of 7.0. But he started slumping in late 2018 and was absolutely terrible through half of 2019, before finding his swing in late June. Who knows what to expect next year, but from June 21 on he hit .325/.371/.703 in 229 PA, so I think it is safe to say that he’s back and will rise again up this list. Of all 21 players on this list, he had the worst 2019 season, but consider that if it was a typical year for him, he’d still be among the best 40 or so players in the game.
#12: AARON JUDGE 5.4 (Yankees, RF, 28)
2019 Stats: .272/.381/.540, 141 wRC+, 4.6 WAR, 27 HR in 102 games.
If not for injury, Judge would rank higher. After an incredible rookie year that saw him hit .284/.422/.627 with 52 HR and a major league leading 8.3 fWAR--not unlike Peter Alonso's rookie season, but with more contact and walks--earning him the Rookie of the Year Award and second place MVP, Judge played 112 and 102 games in 2018 and 2019, respectively. His rate stats dropped a bit, but if healthy he’s still one of the better hitters in the game and a top 10 player.
By Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA - Aaron Judge
#11: MARCUS SEMIEN 5.4 (Athletics, SS, 29)
2019 Stats: .285/.369/.522, 137 wRC+, 7.6 WAR, 33 HR in 162 games.
Probably the most surprising name on this list—not only because he’s on this list, but how high he’s ranked. Semien has been a good player for a few years, but he became a great one in 2019. Whether or not it is sustainable is a big question, although I expect his ranking to drop a bit. Anyhow, of all the players on this list Semien's ranking makes me question the formula the most. On the other hand, it also illustrates just how good he was in 2019.
#10: XANDER BOGAERTS 5.6 (Red Sox, SS, 27)
2019 Stats: .309/.384/.555, 141 wRC+, 6.8 WAR, 33 HR in 155 games.
After being a consistently very good player for four years, Bogaerts finally broke through to superstardom. Given Mookie Betts' questionable future on the Red Sox, Bogaerts could be the face of the only franchise with four World Series championships in the 21st century for the next seven years, as he is signed through 2026. I personally think this is him maxed out and he probably won't go much higher, but will still be fixture on this list for years to come.
#9: FRANCISCO LINDOR 5.7 (Indians, SS, 26)
2019 Stats: .284/.335/.518, 114 wRC+, 4.4 WAR, 32 HR, 22 SB in 143 games.
Lindor probably had the worst season of his five-year career in 2019 (his 4.0 WAR in 2015, his rookie year, was in 99 games), but may have been hampered by a nagging calf injury that saw hm miss the first few weeks. He was still very good, but it was a slightly disappointing season compared to 2018. If he bounces back, he’ll rise a bit. He's won the crown of best shortstop in the game.
#8: MATT CHAPMAN 5.7 (Athletics, 3B, 27)
2019 Stats: .249/.342/.506, 125 wRC+, 6.1 WAR, 36 HR in 156 games.
Chapman is a very good hitter, but a great defender, likely to win his second Gold Glove in a row. He should be a fixture on this list for years to come, especially if he improves his contact rate.
#7: NOLAN ARENADO 5.8 (Rockies, 3B, 29)
2019 Stats: .315/.379/.583, 128 wRC+, 5.9 WAR, 41 HR in 155 games.
Is there any more consistent player in baseball? Arenado’s hit between 37 and 42 HR and at least 110 RBI in each of the last five years, although a comparatively more modest--but still very good--121 to 132 wRC+ during that span. Consider his 2017-19 fWARs: 5.7, 5.7, 5.9. At 29, there’s no reason to expect a down-turn in the next couple years; the Rockies certainly hope not, as he’ll be one of the highest paid players in baseball through 2025, his age 34 season.
#6: CODY BELLINGER 5.8 (Dodgers, 1B/OF, 24)
2019 Stats: .305/.406/.629, 162 wRC+, 7.8 WAR, 47 HR in 156 games.
Doesn’t it seem like the Dodgers—despite being one of the better teams of the last 15 years or so—haven’t quite been able to find that franchise player? Adrian Beltre had that ridiculously good breakout year in 2004, but then signed with the Mariners; Andre Ethier and Matt Kemp looked very promising, but after Kemp’s second-place MVP finish in 2011, he struggled with injury, and Ethier never became more than very good. And remember when Yasiel Puig was, for maybe a month, talked about as the Dodgers’ answer to Mike Trout? Corey Seager looked promising and while quite good, has been a bit disappointing. Anyhow, they may finally have their guy in Bellinger, although it is worth noting that he was two very different players in the first and second half of the year: In the first half he hit .336 with 30 HR; in the second, .261 with 17. Even splitting the difference, well, look at that stat line: Bellinger’s great, and only 24.
#5: ANTHONY RENDON 6.7 (Nationals, 3B, 30)
2019 Stats: .319/.412/.598, 154 wRC+, 7.0 WAR, 34 HR in 146 games.
Rendon has been a star for years now—with the fourth highest fWAR in baseball over the last four seasons, at 24.2—but has generally been under the radar. 2019 was his best year yet, but he’ll still likely fall to third in MVP voting. Rendon pretty much does everything except for steal bases, but he’s not slow. He’s about to become a very, very wealthy man.
#4: CHRISTIAN YELICH 7.2 (Brewers, RF, 28)
2019 Stats: .329/.429/.671, 174 wRC+, 7.8 WAR, 44 HR in 130 games.
Do you remember when the Marlins were selling off their young stars and Yelich was the guy everyone wanted? He was a good player in 2017 but not yet a great one, and the Brewers got him for an absolute steal of a package, centered on the very disappointing Lewis Brinson. Yelich became a superstar in 2018 and since then has been the second best hitter in baseball, his two-year wRC+ of 170 behind only Trout’s 185. A year from now he's a good bet to be #2 on this list.
#3: ALEX BREGMAN 7.4 (Astros, 3B, 26)
2019 Stats: .296/.423/.592, 168 wRC+, 8.5 WAR, 41 HR in 156 games.
We truly are in a golden age of third basemen—half of the top eight on this list, plus a few others in the top 30—and Bregman is the best of the lot and just keeps getting better. Oh yeah, Bregman is one of three Astros on this list, and that doesn’t include Carlos Correa or Yordan Alvarez. Anyhow, after a very good first full year in 2017, Bregman jumped to superstardom in 2018 and was even better in 2019, a bonafide MVP candidate.
#2: MOOKIE BETTS 7.7 (Red Sox, RF, 27)
2019 Stats: .295/.391/.524, 135 wRC+, 6.6 WAR, 29 HR in 150 games.
Angels fans like to bag on Mookie as being “not Trout,” but boy is this little guy a good player. Looking only at his last few odd-number seasons you’d think he was really good, but it is his last two even number years that have made people question whether he’s as good as Trout. In fact, his 2018 was—according to fWAR at 10.4—better than any Trout year, and the best year by any player since Barry Bonds. And while Trout was amazing in 2018 with a 9.8 fWAR in 140 games, Betts actually played in four fewer games. But Betts isn’t quite as consistent as Trout: since his first full season in 2015, his fWARs have been 4.8, 8.3, 5.3, 10.4, and 6.6. And it is important to note that his 185 wRC+ in 2018 was fueled by a .368 BABIP, well above his career average of .314. Chances are 2018 was a career year and that he might slip a bit in these rankings, at least below Bregman and Yelich, but Betts is a truly great player and should—at the least—remain one of the ten or so best players in the game for years to come.
By Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA - Mookie Betts
#1: MIKE TROUT 8.7 (Angels, CF, 28)
2019 Stats: .291/.438/.645, 180 wRC+, 8.6 WAR, 45 HR in 134 games.
Did you expect anyone else? Trout is #1 by a solid 1.0 WAR margin. He's actually reached a new level of performance in 2017-19, with a 180, 190, and 180 wRC+, averaging 10.5 fWAR per 162 games played. The lone concern is that he's missed at least 22 games in each of the last three years. Injury kept him from 50 HR and 10 WAR in 2019 (as well as 2018), but he still managed career highs in HR, ISO, and SLG, and led the majors in WAR, if only just barely. If healthy, he should reach the 10 fWAR mark and could even have an 11 fWAR season in him over the next few years. Sit back and enjoy.
ADDENDUM: ODDS AND ENDS
Honorable Mentions (aka the Next Dozen)
Ketel Marte 4.5, Freddie Freeman 4.5, Javier Baez 4.4, Juan Soto 4.4, Kris Bryant 4.3, Bryce Harper 4.2, Eugenio Suarez 4.2, J.D. Martinez 4.2, Paul Goldschmidt 4.1, Manny Machado 4.0, Tommy Pham 4.0, Justin Turner 4.0.
That is a nice place to cut it off, as everyone else has a 3.9 Weighted fWAR or lower.
Surprise Absenses
Who is not mentioned in the expanded 33 Best Players (the 21 listed but 12 honorable mentions)? Well, the first name that comes to my mind is Carlos Correa, who after two 5 fWAR seasons in 2016-17, was a contender for at least the top 10. I remember people debating whether Correa or Lindor was going to be the best shortstop of the future; that seems to have been decided, at least for now. Correa’s struggles are mainly injury-related as he’s played only 185 games over the last two seasons with a total of 4.8 fWAR. If he can remain healthy, he has a chance to become the fourth Astro in the top 20.
Giancarlo Stanton also comes to mind. After a career high 59 HR and 7.3 WAR in 2017 for the Marlins, he became a merely garden-variety slugger for the Yankees the following year (38 HR, 4.3 WAR), and then missed all but 18 games in 2019. He’ll be 30 next year, so we’ll see if he can re-find his 2017 form.
A couple others I’d like to mention: Josh Donaldson had a comeback 4.9 WAR season, but is still not quite as good as his 2013-17 peak when his 34.4 fWAR was second only to You Know Who. He’ll need another two more similar seasons to sneak back on this list; at 34 that will be difficult, but possible, I suppose.
Finally, a note on Buster Posey. Despite winning an MVP and three World Series, he may be a bit under-appreciated, at least outside of the Bay Area. As with Donaldson, he can claim to be the second best player in baseball over a chunk of years, with a 42.9 fWAR over a six-year span of 2012-17. Like many catchers, he’s been underrated, and like most catchers, he’s declined early, with a rather steap decline over the last three years, from 6.7 fWAR in 2014 to 4.7, 2.3, and 1.8 last year.
Threats for 2021:Up-and-Comers
The youth revolution continues in baseball, with a bunch of young players establishing themselves as stars. Juan Soto, Yoan Moncada, Ozzie Albies, Jeff McNeil, Rafael Devers, Max Kepler, Yordan Alvarez, Vladimir Guerrero Jr, Bo Bichette, Keston Hiura, and Fernando Tatis Jr are among the candidates for this list a year or two from now, depending upon how they develop. Some of these guys may already be as good as players listed above, but just need the playing time to prove it.
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By Jason Sinner, AngelsWin.com Columnist (aka @Dochalo)
Here's who unlikely will spend on players outside of some 1 and maybe 2-yr deals. We won't really go into much detail here for the following teams.
BAL, DET, KC, TB, TOR, ARZ, MIA, COL, PIT, SF.
Here's who might spend some money but likely on deals in the 1-3yr range. Not on any big names.
BOS - likely to shed some payroll. can't see them being big FA players OAK - don't have much money but might surprise with a key player or two on shorter deals. Nothing big. Could make a couple trades. CLE - Payroll is manageable now. If they trade Lindor, they could make a small deal or two. SEA - don't see them going big on any particular player. a couple of small deals and of course some trades CHC - payroll already at 183m. Don't see them doing much other than some complementary pieces. Cap number is already above 200m. HOU - I debated on where to put them but I really think they'll stay fairly conservative this year. They'll add some pieces but they're already at 220m for 2020. NYM - At 180m in salary and 203m in AAV. don't see them going big.
Teams that could spend just because of who they are:
LAD - always a threat to go at a big time player. They've avoided long term contracts in the recent past and already have a good team with a great farm. At 175m for 2020. They're gonna do some stuff. I definitely see them as a player for the SP market. Maybe Cole but more likely in that next tier down.
NYY - same as the Dodgers. 2020 payroll at 204m. AAV at 215. again, they could always spend but I think they end up being a little more conservative.
Teams that could spend and go after a longer term contract on a couple key players but won't go huge:
ARZ - they were a pretty good team in 2019. payroll at 109m. Made some substantial trades at the deadline and could move Ray for more cheap talent. Wouldn't surprise me if they went after a slightly more expensive player or two.
ATL - I don't think they'll go big but their current payroll sits at about 90m so they definitely could. Lots of prospect capital here as well. I think they'll definitely be in on SP in the tier after Cole. Could surprise and even make a run at Cole but I doubt it.
CIN - smaller market team who could also be in the secondary market and spend some but likely not huge. At 122m already for 2020.
MIL - similar to CIN. They're likely still trying to hold on to their window. At about 97m right now so they've definitely got some room.
STL - at 163m in payroll and 176m in AAV. They won't be afraid to add the right players but I don't see them in the top of the market.
The big spenders:
TEX - I could see them shelling out some dough this winter on both SP and Rendon. Personally I think that would be a mistake as they got some non sustainable performances to make them seem better than they really can be long term. Pence, Choo, Lynn, Minor, Santana. There are rumors of them going after Rendon which I could see happening but I think there's a fair amount of fools gold with this team.
MIN - they are losing 4 of their SP from their rotation and had a 100 win season. Payroll is at 80m. Plus they they a very good farm. I think they'll be very active this winter. I don't see them going after Cole, but anyone in the tier below is someone they'll target. Plus, I could see them in on big trade or two.
CWS - a good lineup and better than most people think with some key additions. Payroll is at about 60m. They'll definitely be in on Cole and probably Rendon as well. They may very well whiff on everyone they go after, but they'll be looking to make some big splashes (plural). Plus, they still have a good farm system.
WSH - just won the series. They have spent in the past and payroll of 120m gives them plenty of room to work.
PHI - disappointing year and payroll at 171m with AAV at 191m. They were all in last year and need pitching. They'll spend but this could be a team that's in a bad way by the end of 2020.
LAA - money to spend. Need starting pitching. No brainer!
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My name is Kelly Curran, and I used to be super active 18 years ago on a baseball forum run by SI and later CBS. Can't even remember the name of the forum! My handle then was the same, so maybe some of you remember me and can help me remember those old forums. After those old forums died out, I moved to Twitter where I frequently enjoy watching and tweeting live Angels games with people who follow the hashtag #angelsfamily and sometimes #halonation
I was raised in a town of Dodger Fans in the central valley of California. My sister dated and married an A's fan from the Bay Area, so technically they were the first team I followed on TV. Then I began dating the man who would end up being my husband - our second date was an Angels Game in July of 1993 where we sat in his Dad's season seats, 15 rows up from home/first base side. Needless to say, I was incredibly impressed with the Angels (and my later to become husband) and became a life-loyal fan. I had a huge crush on JT Snow and was devastated when he was traded to the Giants. Hence my handle, Missing JT Snow. That trade was better for him I suppose, and my crush ended when he hit a home run in the World Series against the Angels. My husband gave me an engraved brick outside the stadium for a wedding present.
We've raised our children properly and brainwashed them to be Angels/Lakers/UCLA fans. My son has thrown out a first pitch at an Angels Game, been guest announcer, guest bat boy and in a photo shoot for the cover of Little League magazine with Mike Trout. My husband and I volunteer for Little League Baseball and run a program called Challenger Baseball for children with special needs. A field in Santa Ana is named for our family. I was pregnant and on bed rest with our daughter during the 2002 playoffs and World Series - she was born during the World Series while the Angels played in San Francisco. Our daughter suffers from epilepsy and has special needs. In 2008/2009 I beat cancer - Leukemia (AML/APL).
I can't believe I haven't joined this forum sooner as I follow Chuck, Ellen and others on Twitter, Instagram and the like. After the passing of Tyler Skaggs yesterday, I really wanted to connect again with my Angels family.
Nice to meet and maybe re-connect with many of you. Go Halos!
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