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reteegz

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Posts posted by reteegz

  1. Clutch means nothing. A homer in the first inning counts just the same as a homer in the 9th.

    Yea but we we have gotten a lot of meaningless home runs this season. Down 5-0 and we get a solo shot in the bottom of the ninth. We haven't been able to clutch up with RISP. We've gotten more meaningful home runs it seems recently by Trumbo and Trout. I don't care if a guy hits 60 solo shots in a season. I'd rather a guy hit 25 2 or 3 run shots. Just my opinion though.

    A home run that improves the chances of winning the game from 50% to 100% (walk off) is a lot more valuable than a home run that improves the chances to win the game 5%. There is a quantifiable difference. That's the whole point of WPA.

     

    Not only that but pitchers do in fact approach batters differently in a blowout than they would in 9th inning of a tie game.

    Werd.

  2. Clutch means nothing. A homer in the first inning counts just the same as a homer in the 9th.

    Yea but we we have gotten a lot of meaningless home runs this season. Down 5-0 and we get a solo shot in the bottom of the ninth. We haven't been able to clutch up with RISP. We've gotten more meaningful home runs it seems recently by Trumbo and Trout. I don't care if a guy hits 60 solo shots in a season. I'd rather a guy hit 25 2 or 3 run shots. Just my opinion though.

  3. I'm not really into the sabermetrics but this seems interesting. From what I read it sounds more rational than WAR. WAR counts a leadoff homer in the first inning the same as a game winning homer. WPA takes a player in every clutch situation into account. Anyway, Josh Hamilton has the worst WPA in baseball, Trout is 5th worst and Kendrick is 10th worst. The Angels have 3 of the least clutch hitters in baseball. No other team has more than 1. School me on this stat Angelswin.

     

    (This article was in the OC register but I can't link it because i'm not a paid subscriber, I read it in the newspaper.)

  4. Circumstances has a lot to do with it.  First, of those 9 opportunities, how many times was second base occupied.  I remember one time PB was on second so unless your calling a double steal (and success would be more dependent on PB getting to third) your not going to try for a steal.  A second factor might be the score of the game.  If the Angels are down 3 or 4 runs and it is late in the game, than the risk of a steal is not worth it.  You need base runners not players stealing second.  A third factor is that you don't want an open base for Pujols to be walked. Final factor was already mentioned, twice Trout took off and Aybar put it into play thus taking the opportunity away from Trout to steal.  

     

    That alone reduces Trouts opportunity to steal down to 6.

    My original post was from the 11th. it is the 15th now

  5. I get what you guys are saying about it being too early in the season and I know he will have a ton of steals by the end of the season but my point is, isn't being aggresive and stealing bases the Angel's type of ball? I get it's only been 8 games but why should the team start playing their type of ball 2 or 3 weeks into the season and not start off that way?

  6. I had to go to Roger Dunn golf shop before work today to exchange a belt. I was in line waiting to do my return and he walks in with his daughter. I took a double take to confirm and sure enough it was him. His daughter was nice enough to take a picture of us with my phone. Made my day! Go Halos!

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