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ShotimeDynasty

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Everything posted by ShotimeDynasty

  1. Was listening to a pitcherlist podcast with Nick Pollack yesterday and Detmers was the topic. Despite Reid using his slider effectively to pile up 7 Ks in his last start, Nick is out because the Angels “fired all their good coaches” and of course I found that sentiment to be hilarious. Barry Enright and Steve Karsay are going to be opening some eyes this season. For the record Nick is a really smart guy and diligently studies the science of pitching. But like Enright says, pitching is an art. Some of these analysts are just too smart for their own good sometimes
  2. Saw someone on Twitter propose signing Snell then trading Sandoval to NYY for some prospect(s) which would help to makeup for the draft pick loss and I have to say I like that idea Gonna also mention here that the report that Giants were in on Cease trade talks means they’ve almost have to be having discussions with Snell, which could explain the holdup
  3. Did I correctly hear Wayne say Schanuel is hitting BP bombs near Shohei territory???
  4. The rate is fine but idk who’s going to agree to that term. 5/$95M seems more reasonable considering the market
  5. My guess: Arte/Perry waiting for either Snell to accept a lower AAV than he’s looking for or less years for Monty. May need one domino to fall with SF to make the other happen here.
  6. After 1 game played for each of these guys it’s close but advantage Jo Adell (no I will not keep doing this unless Jo keeps his OPS above 2.000)
  7. In 4 of his last 7 seasons he’s posted better than 0.5 fWAR with best career year coming in 2022 (1.6!!). $4M for this profile seems pretty fair and feels like a solid gamble.
  8. I’ve not seen anywhere where he’s stated he would sign for league minimum without incentives. Would imagine him coming off of his desire for incentives could be a game changer. We’ll see I guess
  9. He was known to be an annoying troll but was still signed to a 3/$102M deal regardless of that (well earned) reputation. Wasn’t until he was targeted and went thru this ordeal that he became untouchable. This revisionist history is some wild stuff
  10. Should we just agree as a group not to refer to a player’s ceiling? Cuz that’s what got this back and forth started. Somebody else threw out what I perceived to be an incredibly conservative ceiling and I simply came back with my own thoughts as to what O’Hoppe’s best case scenario could look like.
  11. Please understand a ceiling is not an expectation. O’Hoppe up to shoulder injury on April 20th: 3/30-4/20 (22 calendar days) .283 AVG 4 HR 13% Barrel 44% Hard Hit Returned 8/18 and struggled initially. BUT: 9/8 to EOY (24 calendar days) .270 AVG 8 HR 22% Barrel 47% Hard Hit Over 66 days O’Hoppe hit 12 home runs. That’s a 33 HR pace over a full season and just one of those games came as DH. If he’s in the lineup everyday with regular DH appearances 40 home runs is not an unreasonable outcome for him. Unless you’re certain he showed us his ceiling in his first MLB action?
  12. Blame me if you must but I’m literally just looking at numerous projections and pointing out that 25 HR with a .260/.345 is just a smidge above those. Not my fault he showed excellent plate discipline in AA followed by terrific output in his first MLB season. Projections see that and have acted accordingly edit: my stated ceiling for O’Hoppe assumes he could get 150 GP with frequent DH days and is meant to be like a 95th percentile outcome
  13. Your ceiling for O’Hoppe here is like a 65th percentile outcome on his current projections. You’re being way too conservative. .280/.400 45 Home Run is a better ceiling for O’Hoppe imo
  14. I recall seeing a good amount of his AAA home runs going out to right centerfield. With Washington’s guidance he could excel using all fields. He’s so strong that any barrel is going out of the park regardless of whether it’s pulled or not.
  15. He has loads of talent but skills development has lagged. However he’s clearly a hard worker and we’ve seen the defense improve considerably while that K-BB ratio at AAA was a big improvement. A Morel-like season at the plate would be huge, since Adell should outperform him both on the basepaths and defensively. If he’s able to somehow secure 500 PAs I could see him producing 3 WAR.
  16. This is the heart of the matter. The upset fans are at a base level mad that Rendon is being honest, won’t fake it, and really doesn’t care that they’re not gonna like how he shares his truth.
  17. Did you miss the improved K-BB ratio in his most recent AAA stint? That’s a skills improvement
  18. He’s said he would sign for league minimum plus performance based incentives. If there are any interested teams, the incentives would certainly be a point of negotiation and I imagine he’s asking for the chance to make $30M+ if he pitches like an Ace over 32 starts.
  19. Despite the reputation Jo has as being a bust among many Halos fans, I remain optimistic that he can be a late bloomer and become the star so many envisioned when he was counted as one of the top 3 prospects in baseball. Positive strides have been made defensively and with his plate approach (12.1%/26.4% K-BB in AAA ly) and should give us hope he’s ready to produce now as a big leaguer. The comp I’m going with today is Christopher Morel: Adell ‘23 AAA 24yo 330 PA 12.1% BB 26.4% K .313 ISO ‘19 AA 20yo 182 PA 10.4% BB 22.5% K .245 ISO ‘23 Statcast 117.2 Max EV 29.0 Sprint Morel ‘23 AAA 24yo 134 PA 12.7% BB 30.6% K .400 ISO ‘22 AA 23yo 122 PA 8.2% BB 24.6% K .259 ISO ‘23 Statcast 113.6 Max EV 28.6 Sprint
  20. Captivating stuff as per usual with this team. Arte really seems to be embracing the villain role
  21. I could see a trade for Kim coming after Montgomery or Snell signs up. Silseth + Moniak for Kim might be something that could work. The 5 outfielder mix just doesn’t feel right, I think there’s a high likelihood one of em gets moved.
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