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Everything posted by Buttercup
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OC Register: Angels narrowly avoided the luxury tax
Buttercup replied to AngelsWin.com's topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily
It’s not necessarily what was saved but the fact the penalties won’t escalate in year two to three of the deal making the tax hits much harder to swallow. If Ohtani were re-signed the team will surely be going over the limit of it tries to do enough to contend. And it would be hard to go under the tax while Rendon’s contract is still around. Even one year less really helps with the tax escalations. Now, if they stay under the tax this offseason it’s a moot point other than draft considerations. But, if minassian is looking at a three to five year plan this greatly affects that. -
Feinsand: Angels are “very interested” in Blake Snell
Buttercup replied to mmc's topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily
I get the feeling Arte is going to go all in this winter. Didn’t work out well the first time but this could be like the Albert Pujols and CJ Wilson winter meetings. -
Official 2022-23 Offseason Hot Stove Thread
Buttercup replied to mmc's topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily
I feel that Weaver would have had a similar baffling look to his chart. That deception makes everything play up. When you're talking fractions of a second in reaction time a slightly delayed response due to deception is huge. -
Official 2022-23 Offseason Hot Stove Thread
Buttercup replied to mmc's topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily
I’m in agreement that 11 years is absurd (and the teams know it) but I think the landscape has changed and you can no longer look at the years as much as you can total commitment. By tacking on more years teams are significantly reducing the luxury tax they pay on the total contract and therefore narrowing the gap between the cost of a shorter commitment. I’d say it’s reasonable to think star players will give your team decent production/value for 5-6 years. If you offered Xander Boegarts 8 years and 250MM you are putting forth a competitive bid and the cost of getting him is expecting you will pay for 2 bad but hopefully not worthless seasons at the end. But, now your luxury tax number is 6.25MM a year higher and you can tack on another few million to his cost for the tax you’ll pay as a team with a payroll above the limit. It’s also going to make future contracts more difficult if you ever try to get back under the threshold. By giving him three extra years you’ve gained the right to him in those declining years as a gamble where he may at least give you some value. It might cost 10MM plus per WAR in the near future and if he’s even a 1 WAR player for those last years it’s not a total loss. But, even if you have to release him you can view those extra 30 - 40MM you spent on him with more years tacked on as a deferred and interest free signing bonus. A bonus which has saved you anywhere from 3-15MM over the course of the 11 years (dependent on how long and which level you run you payroll above the limit) on luxury tax payments. We can all agree on the ridiculous lengths to these contracts but obviously the reasons behind them have been well thought out by the Management and Owners. The gamble is they turn out like Pujols and they decline sharply in years 1 or 2. And if you think baseball contracts are absurd have you seen Ronaldo’s new soccer contract of around $200MM PER YEAR! -
Angels sign Carlos Estevez (2 years, $13.5 million)
Buttercup replied to mmc's topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily
Ken Rosenthals article today about the crazy spending so far makes this deal look great. Edwin Diaz $102MM vs this deal at $13.5MM. Obviously a different class of reliever but you can use the difference in a lot of helpful ways. That has to be Perry he mentions in this quote. “The offseason began with Edwin Díazbecoming the highest-paid reliever in history, agreeing to a five-year, $102 million contract with the Mets. Two other relievers, Robert Suárez (five years, $46 million) and Rafael Montero (three years, $34.5 million) followed with inflated deals. One general manager looking for bullpen help was scrambling to meetings with agents on Sunday night, trying to strike a reasonable two-year deal with a quality reliever, and looking rather harried.” -
I remember watching Charlie Hough warming up for a game against the Angels when I was a young. I was convinced they were going to tee off on him. It looked so easy from the stands. 8 innings later with the angels being held hitless I became fascinated with the knuckleball. If I was a Dad I’d be teaching my kid the knuckleball. How many knuckleballers have had Tommy John surgery? The other memory I had from that game was how Charlie Hough was smoking during his whole warmup and would break after a few pitches to take a couple puffs, throw the cigarette on the ground, throw a few more and then continue puffing away. It’s a different game these days.
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Pardon me if this has been answered elsewhere. Is it possible to DH your catcher and let your pitcher hit? Say in an important regular season or postseason game you have Ohtani as starting pitcher and hitting but have Pujols or whoever DH for Stassi. Is there a rule that says the DH is only allowed for the pitcher?
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The Official 2020-2021 Hot Stove Offseason Thread
Buttercup replied to rafibomb's topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily
From Rachel Luba’s (Trevor Bauer’s agent) Instagram story... using Social Media to draw up interest and speculation no doubt -
Angels sign Jose Quintana (1 year, $8 million)
Buttercup replied to mmc's topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily
I like this move for the simple reason the Angels are better today than yesterday. I’ll keep hope they’re better tomorrow than today... -
Pederson/Stripling deal is DEAD. MOVE ON.
Buttercup replied to failos's topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily
Also worth considering is the possible qualifying offer Joc could receive at the end of the season. There’s at least some value in that draft pick -
Sign Alex Wood or Trade Prospects for a Starting Pitcher?
Buttercup replied to Chuck's topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily
Since a trade hasn’t happened yet I feel the asking prices are sky high. It might be best to sign Wood now and seek a trade during the season. Marsh and other prospects might have gained value at that time as well. More starters are likely to be available once some teams have lost their playoff hopes. -
This law affected my work. I freelance write for several publications and have had to cut back how many articles I write for them. I would write a weekly column but now that puts me over the limit of full time employment status. These are small family publications that barely squeak by and could never afford the extra costs of having multiple full-time employees.
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Angels sign Anthony Rendon (7 years, $245 million)
Buttercup replied to mmc's topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily
Great read for those wanting to see how FanGraphs projects Rendon to produce $270m of value over the life of this contract. Caution, It compares him to similar players and may cause arousal. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/anthony-rendon-deserves-the-equivalent-of-the-bryce-harper-deal/ -
Kluber pitched all of 35.2 innings last year to a 5.80 ERA. Don’t we have enough of those
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Who will be our opening day starting pitcher?
Buttercup replied to Glen's topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily
Ohtani -
Josh Lindblom signs with the Brewers (3 years, $9.125M)
Buttercup replied to mmc's topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily
I feel like Lindblom could have been a 160 inning 4-4.5 era guy. Or in other words a Bundy type guy. But it’s hard to evaluate Korean guys over the internet. -
Interesting article on the cause of the home run spike. If this is true and seams are lower wouldn’t spin rate by pitchers have been affected? https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/28273986/uptick-home-runs-attributed-seam-heights-batting-techniques-not-juiced-balls
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Interesting note on Ohtani from Joe Maddon
Buttercup replied to Chuck's topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily
How about we DH for Stassi when Ohtani pitches? -
Eppler said they are still working on acquiring a front line starter. But out of all the names mentioned as available in trade or free agency I wouldn’t call any of them “front line”. So who the heck are they talking about? The most disappointing part about losing Cole is I think it means losing Marsh (our best trade chip). And are they going to use him to acquire a number 3 because that’s all that’s being made available? I would ask Eppler but he hasn’t been taking my calls
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Gerrit Cole signs with the Yankees (9 years, $324 million)
Buttercup replied to mmc's topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily
I feel things are about to get real interesting for the Angels. If they grabbed Cole they’d need a catcher and may not have had a lot of resources left for more moves. Now Eppler will have to get more creative. One things certain. They won’t be sitting still.