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DCAngelsFan

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Everything posted by DCAngelsFan

  1. Fixed it. (except, it's not fixable. I've heard sacrificing Dipoto's nuts over a hot fire (whilst still attached to the owner) could fix it. I'm skeptical, but willing to give it a chance.)
  2. This is where I kinda wish MLB allowed trading of draft picks - I mean, if you could trade a #9 pick for two last-first-round picks, or what have you, that would certainly make things more interesting. Of course, the baseball draft is worlds different from the NBA or NFL draft and it's very difficult to understand how that would be valued in reality. Here's an older chart from Hardball Times that's kind of useful - so, to my eye, that #6-10 pick is "worth" roughly 2x picks in the 21-30's. My stats are pretty weak, but I think the chances of turning two 21-30 draft picks into 2x 10+WAR players is about 2%, but getting one of them is, I think 21% - as compared to 25% for the 6-10 slot you traded out of. Of course, teams don't *have* two 1st round picks to trade, except. We've had two diametric experiences with a cluster of early picks - 1st two rounds: 2009 - Grichuk, Trout, Skaggs, Richard, Kehrer, Corbin in the 1st two rounds, netting >100 WAR and counting 2010- Cowart, Bedrosian, Clark, Lindsey, Bolden, TIllman - netting 0.1 WAR and counting 2010 should have been a generational draft - and I won't even delve into what might have been by naming the players we *could* have drafted that year - it's too depressing.
  3. And, also, that they can always gets worse "Balance"
  4. Gotta take Madden if he's there. Hoglund might last 'til the end of the 1st round or into the comp round, same with Jaden Hill - this would be a year to have a comp pick - seems like no chance they'll be around for our 2nd pick (#45) I see one mock draft has us taking Jackson Jobe - a high schooler - he could be one of those guys that 5 years from now you look back and say "dammit - we could've drafted that guy ..."
  5. Yeeesh - like that's not an ominous date - only if that were also Friday the 13th could that be a less-auspicious date to start anything - surprised you haven't all gotten fat and/or bald and/or old ... On that note - that's also my birthday, and on my 21st, I celebrated the 10th anniversary of drinking my first beer ...
  6. That's kind of interesting - do GM's often scout in-person? I mean, it's not like his work in the front office is "done" ... Bachman, Madden, or in some alternate universe, Rocker - any would be awesome - I kind of hope Davis gets picked so we don't have to regret passing on him. (Where do we think Hill might wind up now? If Hoglund is gone by our 2nd pick - wonder if Hill might be worth a risk?) How the eff does Tampa Bay get a competitive balance pick - we need it more than they do ....
  7. I tried to check in on that game on my phone, only to discover my phone had uninstalled the MLB app out of sheer disgust ... I'd wondered why it made a sound like a cat horking up a hairball ...
  8. I wonder what you mean about that "change their spending habits?" Do you mean in the way the team spends on FA pitchers? Or do you mean to spend on scouting/development staff? I'd definitely like to know how this team spends its money on these operations relative to other teams. Well, I mean, I'm fairly certain we'd not like the answer - but at least we'd know who to yell at.
  9. I used a 3+ year major league career #'s to avoid the "cup of coffee" guys who don't stick - they could be replacement level or they could be Trout. Of course, the funny thing is, looking at draft retrospectives, the chances of any individual picks going on to be a significant 3+ WAR player is terribly small.
  10. No, not forgetting - the whole "best player available" strategy relies on that - even if the player is in an area of organizational excess, the thought is you can trade them for something you *do* need. But of course, once drafted, those high school prospects need some time in development leagues to prove their value - most players drafted reach their peak "worth" on draft day - that star prep prospect who struggles in Rookie league doesn't have much trade value. I guess I should've noted, though - I thought I did - the predicate for *maybe* abandoning "best player available" for "need" are two things: - we are desperately short of pitching, organizationally. (and for all those 'best player available' types we drafted, we haven't demonstrated any ability to flip prospects into starting pitching - more the reverse), and - Any high school player drafted this draft is probably a post-prime-Trout player - they probably won't reach the majors in any meaningful way for 6 years or so (again, any single player won't be likely to make it) - So, I'd give some weight to not abandoning BPA, but weighting BPA towards college pitchers who are lower-risk, and most likely to be at least a mid-rotation starting pitcher, and able to help the team sooner rather than later (or never - again, high school pitchers are extremely high-risk) If the drop-off is too large between "best college pitcher" and "best player" in front of you, you can't be dumb - if you have a choice of a college pitcher, and Mike Trout junior sitting in front of you, the choice is obvious.
  11. The hit rates on high school players in the aggregate, especially pitchers, is poor. Just did a quick search, and found an article that showed just 7% of high school pitchers drafted in the 1st/supplemental rounds went on to play 3+ years in the majors. As you go down the rounds, college pitchers succeed at twice the rate of high school pitchers, while the gap between high school and college position players is less, though college players still succeed at a greater rate Given where this team is, the first two picks should be "college pitchers", and only then consider high school pitchers - and then only players who might've slipped from the 1st round.
  12. He's got an fWAR of precisely 0.0; and his defense is poor and is costing runs (and games.) He's the very definition of replacement level - the clock is ticking on his career - just depends on when one of our prospects are ready to make the jump (or we obtain someone who can at least play some defense.)
  13. Right? A good idea at the wrong time isn't a "good idea" anymore. I expect a team to compete until the last out - nothing pisses me off more than a team that quits. I have yet to hear an explanation at what they found so offensive about it. What, that they're trying to compete? To get baserunners? To score runs? They disrespect the game when they think a team should roll-over for them.
  14. It's tempting to think he's a flash in the pan - and certainly a "book" will be developed on him that may change things. But I agree - he looks very polished and balanced, and like you say, so far, he's not just a mistake hitter - he's turned pitcher's pitches into hits. Which is the one yellow flag - his plate discipline - his swing rate at pitches outside the strike zone is a bit higher than I'd like, but he makes contact with them at elevated rates, too - so, a little like Vladdy in that sense.
  15. As they should - pitchers - and hitters - develop bad habits there. I live SLC - but I wish our AAA affiliate were somewhere else.
  16. Yup. Since there's no mercy rule, there should be a surrender rule - I mean, I can't imagine any of those guys wanting to be on the field right now. And while the team may not be able to quite, I can - it's Netflix time
  17. He's probably in the clubhouse, beating lockers with a bat, and will break his arm in the process. You know, if MLB is still thinking about contracting the league, I may have a team in mind ...
  18. Or Tampa was just embarrassed to be seen beating on a defenseless team ...
  19. Well, it runs the gamut from "take an ibuprofen and rest for a couple days" to "Hope you've saved something for retirement" Shoulder injuries scare me more than elbow - I'm guessing an MRI is coming - and if we hear the word "tear", then, ditto what you said
  20. Oh, no - I don't even care if he hits - just looking to improve that LF defense. I'm exaggerating a bit, I suppose - Upton's defense is far from the only problem - but for a team that was supposed to be built for "run prevention", I'm just looking for something to blame. I think the walk rate is exacerbated by poor defense, at least in terms of yielding runs. More pitches, more baserunners, the opposition is simply more likely to score (after all, the ERA rate is terrible before even considering errors and unearned runs.) I can't really characterize the pitching - I've seen sequences that remind me of CJ - get ahead 0-2, and then nibble, nibble, nibble, oh, he walked him. Or grooving a meatball in the middle of the plate on that same 0-2 count. I do get the feeling that sometimes the pitchers are trying to be too fine - either not trusting their stuff, or trusting their team to execute behind them, or to score any runs. Everyone's trying for the strikeout, and doesn't seem like they're pitching to contact. And I'm probably imagining it, but all those pitches, all those long innings, the energy just seems to go out of this team like a leaky balloon. Or maybe that's just "me" and my energy and interest level?
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