NoEverything is relevant, OZ. This is not a video game simulation, these are real games and not a statistical model so you cannot say any given formula of collated data over all teams create an outcome that is a certainty for any individual situation for one particular team.
The Angels fielded a wide variety of replacement level players like Nava, Gentry, Giavotella, Choi, Pennington, the list is long. Sometimes it is necessity to squeeze something out of those offense holes, even if it means taking a big lasso of run expectancy data and ignoring it because their is little expectations that those players have a better outcome.
But we are both talking around the facts rather than doing the legwork and pinning them down, situation by situation . I don't have the energy to pursue it so I will handshake with you that run expectancy is a real consideration but it would be much simpler to follow if Eppler can put the players on the field.