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Anthony Rendon


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As I said in another thread, the worst-case scenario for Rendon is not Pujols. I think a more likely scenario is that he struggles with recurrent injuries, and becomes more of a .270/.800 hitter rather than the .300/.900 hitter he's been for his prime. Meaning, his "decline floor" is higher than Pujols.

Also, don't forget that there's an age difference, even if we don't add 2-3 years to Pujols.

Rendon contract (2020-26, age 30-36) compared to Pujols by age:

Unadjusted: 2010-16.

Adjusted (+2 years): 2008-14.

Adjusted (+3 years): 2007-13.

That said, it may end up being a poor contract. At the time, 7/$245M seemed like a bit of an overpay, and if Rendon doesn't start hitting there will be room for concern. But I'm not too worried. Yet.

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Rendon will be fine. He struggled out of the gate last season, then ended up posting typical Rendon numbers.  He struggled out of the gate this season, then got injured, then came back and struggled a bit before getting hot ... just before getting injured again. He seems to be a slow starter.

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On 5/23/2021 at 10:31 PM, Angel Oracle said:

Are the problems stemming from not playing consistently due to the injuries?

Yes. 

Not to make excuses, but with the time he's missed, Im sure his mechanics are off.

Before his last injury, he was starting to come around. He'll get there

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9 hours ago, ten ocho recon scout said:

Yes. 

Not to make excuses, but with the time he's missed, Im sure his mechanics are off.

Before his last injury, he was starting to come around. He'll get there

it'd be really nice if he could get it going while Trout is on the IL though.  

Need him to have a big series vs. the A's.  

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For the first part of the season, I was of the “give him time” opinion, and still think he’s been a little unlucky.

But, at the same time, I now feel like his prime has passed. He tore it up at Angel stadium last year with an XBH every 7-8 PA.  On the road though? An XBH only in every 32 PA w/ an OPS under .750. This year his road struggles have continued w/ an OPS under .750, but now he sucks in Anaheim, too (OPS .566). His XBH are coming every 22 PAs. 
 

I know that’s a bit one dimensional to look at, but to me it suggests he probably should not be batting 3rd anymore (or 4th when Trout returns).

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