27 for Number 27: 27 Amazing Trout Stats

[Troll Daddy]

 

[Angelsjunky]

I look forward to the 2039 draft.

[JustATroutFan]

Just hope that Trout doesn't finish his career with a batting average under .300.  Better start hitting in the high .320s-.330s for the next 4-5 seasons before the inevitable decline comes.

[Angelsjunky]

9 minutes ago, JustATroutFan said:

Just hope that Trout doesn't finish his career with a batting average under .300.  Better start hitting in the high .320s-.330s for the next 4-5 seasons before the inevitable decline comes.

I doubt he stays in the .300s. He'll probably finish somewhere in the .290s.

 

[JustATroutFan]

17 minutes ago, Angelsjunky said:

I doubt he stays in the .300s. He'll probably finish somewhere in the .290s.

 

If he doesn't finish with at least a career .300 average, I would like to see him at .298 once it is all said and done. Scary coincidence if that happens since the two guys who he is compared to the most, Bonds and Mantle, both ended their careers at .298. 

[Angelsjunky]

I'll do some math. He's got 11 years left on his contract. He might play a year two after that, so let's say he plays 12 more seasons--that's through 2031 age 39. Let's say he averages 120 games for those 12 years, which accounts for injury and maybe reduced playing time in his later years. In his 1199 games played he's average 3.6 at bats per game. 1400 x 3.6 = 5040 at bats to go. 5040 + 4340 (his current total) = a career final 9380 at bats. It might be more, it might be less - but  that sounds about right.

To hit .300 (or .2995) in 9380 at bats, he needs 2810 hits. Assuming 5040 remaining at bats, in order to hit different career batting averages he'd need to hit the following for the rest of his career:

CAREER BA: Rest of year BA needed

.310: .314

.300: .295

.298: .291

.295: .286

.290: .276

.285: .267

.280: .258

For a shorter career, those numbers would need to go up a bit, for a longer career, down. My guess is that he hits about  .290  for the rest of his career, maybe a bit lower as I suspect his BA will start going down in a few years, so ends his career in the mid to upper .290s. Just a guess, obviously.

[JustATroutFan]

51 minutes ago, Angelsjunky said:

I'll do some math. He's got 11 years left on his contract. He might play a year two after that, so let's say he plays 12 more seasons--that's through 2031 age 39. Let's say he averages 120 games for those 12 years, which accounts for injury and maybe reduced playing time in his later years. In his 1199 games played he's average 3.6 at bats per game. 1400 x 3.6 = 5040 at bats to go. 5040 + 4340 (his current total) = a career final 9380 at bats. It might be more, it might be less - but  that sounds about right.

To hit .300 (or .2995) in 9380 at bats, he needs 2810 hits. Assuming 5040 remaining at bats, in order to hit different career batting averages he'd need to hit the following for the rest of his career:

CAREER BA: Rest of year BA needed

.310: .314

.300: .295

.298: .291

.295: .286

.290: .276

.285: .267

.280: .258

For a shorter career, those numbers would need to go up a bit, for a longer career, down. My guess is that he hits about  .290  for the rest of his career, maybe a bit lower as I suspect his BA will start going down in a few years, so ends his career in the mid to upper .290s. Just a guess, obviously.

 

 

He'll probably end his career with a batting average in the high .290's. Which is still impressive, especially considering he's already had five elite seasons with the bat in years where it was considered a good season to pitch in. 2012, 2013, 2014 (most notably), 2015, and 2018. I would imagine his career batting average would be inflated by a decent amount if all of those five seasons weren't so tough for hitters to put up big numbers in. 

[Angelsjunky]

10 minutes ago, JustATroutFan said:

He'll probably end his career with a batting average in the high .290's. Which is still impressive, especially considering he's already had five elite seasons with the bat in years where it was considered a good season to pitch in. 2012, 2013, 2014 (most notably), 2015, and 2018. I would imagine his career batting average would be inflated by a decent amount if all of those five seasons weren't so tough for hitters to put up big numbers in. 

More impressively, he'll have a career OBP well over .400, and a SLG in the high .500s.

If Trout had played in the inflated offense era of 93-09, he'd probably have a career BA around .320.