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2020 Lineup Stat Predictions


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I'm sick of bemoaning the rotation, so I thought I'd take a stab at predicting the lineup's production for 2020, a far more optimistic endeavor. These predictions are just eyeballing it, veering a bit on the optimistic side, but all based upon age-related trajectories. Meaning, this is how things very well could look with a bit of luck.

 

UT David FLETCHER: 155 games, .302/.371/.404, 7 HR, 10 SB,  4.1 WAR. As I said in another thread, replace 20 outs with 10  hits and 10  walks and you get .310/.380/.400...I'll be a bit more moderate, but still see continued improvement and his first of several .300 BA seasons.

CF MIKE TROUT: 151 games, .304/.448/.652, 50 HR, 15 SB, 10.1 WAR. Despite the fact that in December the very astute Tony Blengino wrote an article predicting that Trout's best days are behind him, I'm  going to have faith that the wunderkind will continue  to adjust and, at worst, continue his offensive plateau of the last few years. Plus, there's that career worst .298 BABIP last year. But my biggest concern is his penchant for injury. I'm obviously veering on the side of optimism by predicting his first season of 150+ games since 2016.

3B ANTHONY RENDON: 144 games, .314/.408/.577, 30 HR, 6.6 WAR. No decline here. We're about to see some of the best non-Trout Angels seasons in franchise history.

LF JUSTIN UPTON: 138 games, .258/.340/.472, 31 HR, 3.0 WAR. A solid bounceback campaign.

DH SHOHEI OHTANI: 111 games, .291/.352/.574, 28 HR, 3.1 WAR. The power will be back and then some. 

SS ANDRELTON SIMMONS: 141 games, .281/.333/.402, 12 HR, 4.5 WAR. He'll bounce back, but not quite to 2019 level.

RF JO ADELL: 102 games, .252/.314/.458, 20 HR, 2.1 WAR. A solid rookie season for Adell. He'll have his struggles and be streaky, but will flash the potential that will see him become a star in 2021.

1B ALBERT PUJOLS: 99 games, .237/.290/.418, 15 HR, -0.5 WAR.  "The bell tolls for thee, Albert..." We're going to see a reduction in starts and more pinch-hitting opportunities. 

C JASON CASTRO: 108 games, .233/.328/.417, 12 HR, 2.2 WAR. More of the same.

Others:

IF TOMMY LaSTELLA: 119 games, .282/.344/.467, 19 HR, 2.7 WAR. One of the hardest to predict, both in terms of playing time, performance, and as a possible trade candidate at the deadline if the Angels struggle and/or Rengifo breaks through. My prediction is if he plays the whole year as an Angel, but I see a high chance of trade.

OF BRIAN GOODWIN: 102 games, .256/.317/.442, 14 HR, 1.2 WAR. Not bad, but he'll lose time to Adell and maybe Marsh, and probably be traded. Like LaStella, this projection is based upon a full season with the Angels.

1B/DH MATT THAISS: 92 games, .258/.333/.447, 16 HR, 1.3 WAR. He's going to quietly sneak up and steal time from Pujols, and fill in at DH as necessary. 

IF LUIS RENGIFO: 91 games, .251/.337/.387, 7 HR, 1.4 WAR. Impossible to predict. I suspect he's going to surprise many, but maybe not in 2020 due to limited opportunities.

OF BRANDON MARSH: 58 games, .271/.346/.428, 7 HR, 1.4 WAR. He'll have a less steep learning curve than Adell and will be firmly ensconced as the 4th outfielder by August.

Edited by Angelsjunky
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Fletcher: .287/.343/.376, 6 HR, 9 SB, 2.8 fWAR

Trout: 650 PA's, .294/.448/.638, 43 HR, 18 SB, 9.7 WAR.

Rendon: 630 PA's, .305/.401/.545. 28 HR,  4SB, 6.1 WAR.

Upton: 560 PA's, .263/.352/.448, 30 HR, 6 SB, 2.3 WAR.

Ohtani: .400 PA's, .283/.359/.538, 23 HR, 14 SB, 2.4 WAR.

Simmons: 550 PA's, .261/.322/.401, 10 HR, 12 SB, 4.1 WAR.

Adell: .300 PA's, 255/.330/.430, 12 HR, 7 SB's, 1.6 WAR.

Pujols:  400 PA's, 245/.310/.415, 20 HR, 1 SB, -0.3 WAR.

Castro: 375 PA's, .234/.312/.410, 12 HR, 2 SB, 1.8 WAR.

La Stella: 385 PA's, .278/.342/.452, 14 HR, 4 SB, 1.7 WAR.

Goodwin:

Thaiss: 325 PA's, .246/.326/.418, 14 HR, 2 SB, 0.8 WAR.

Rengifo: 325 PA's, .252/.328/.402, 10 HR, 7 SB, 1.6 WAR.

Marsh: 70 PA's, .258/.320/.405, 1 HR, 3 SB, 0.3 WAR.

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17 hours ago, Angelsjunky said:

I'm sick of bemoaning the rotation, so I thought I'd take a stab at predicting the lineup's production for 2020, a far more optimistic endeavor. These predictions are just eyeballing it, veering a bit on the optimistic side, but all based upon age-related trajectories. Meaning, this is how things very well could look with a bit of luck.

 

UT David FLETCHER: 155 games, .302/.371/.404, 7 HR, 10 SB,  4.1 WAR. As I said in another thread, replace 20 outs with 10  hits and 10  walks and you get .310/.380/.400...I'll be a bit more moderate, but still see continued improvement and his first of several .300 BA seasons.

CF MIKE TROUT: 151 games, .304/.448/.652, 50 HR, 15 SB, 10.1 WAR. Despite the fact that in December the very astute Tony Blengino wrote an article predicting that Trout's best days are behind him, I'm  going to have faith that the wunderkind will continue  to adjust and, at worst, continue his offensive plateau of the last few years. Plus, there's that career worst .298 BABIP last year. But my biggest concern is his penchant for injury. I'm obviously veering on the side of optimism by predicting his first season of 150+ games since 2016.

3B ANTHONY RENDON: 144 games, .314/.408/.577, 30 HR, 6.6 WAR. No decline here. We're about to see some of the best non-Trout Angels seasons in franchise history.

LF JUSTIN UPTON: 138 games, .258/.340/.472, 31 HR, 3.0 WAR. A solid bounceback campaign.

DH SHOHEI OHTANI: 111 games, .291/.352/.574, 28 HR, 3.1 WAR. The power will be back and then some. 

SS ANDRELTON SIMMONS: 141 games, .281/.333/.402, 12 HR, 4.5 WAR. He'll bounce back, but not quite to 2019 level.

RF JO ADELL: 102 games, .252/.314/.458, 20 HR, 2.1 WAR. A solid rookie season for Adell. He'll have his struggles and be streaky, but will flash the potential that will see him become a star in 2021.

1B ALBERT PUJOLS: 99 games, .237/.290/.418, 15 HR, -0.5 WAR.  "The bell tolls for thee, Albert..." We're going to see a reduction in starts and more pinch-hitting opportunities. 

C JASON CASTRO: 108 games, .233/.328/.417, 12 HR, 2.2 WAR. More of the same.

Others:

IF TOMMY LaSTELLA: 119 games, .282/.344/.467, 19 HR, 2.7 WAR. One of the hardest to predict, both in terms of playing time, performance, and as a possible trade candidate at the deadline if the Angels struggle and/or Rengifo breaks through. My prediction is if he plays the whole year as an Angel, but I see a high chance of trade.

OF BRIAN GOODWIN: 102 games, .256/.317/.442, 14 HR, 1.2 WAR. Not bad, but he'll lose time to Adell and maybe Marsh, and probably be traded. Like LaStella, this projection is based upon a full season with the Angels.

1B/DH MATT THAISS: 92 games, .258/.333/.447, 16 HR, 1.3 WAR. He's going to quietly sneak up and steal time from Pujols, and fill in at DH as necessary. 

IF LUIS RENGIFO: 91 games, .251/.337/.387, 7 HR, 1.4 WAR. Impossible to predict. I suspect he's going to surprise many, but maybe not in 2020 due to limited opportunities.

OF BRANDON MARSH: 58 games, .271/.346/.428, 7 HR, 1.4 WAR. He'll have a less steep learning curve than Adell and will be firmly ensconced as the 4th outfielder by August.

 

 

I like these predictions.  Great job!

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