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Eovaldi signs with Red Sox


Dtwncbad

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8 minutes ago, Inside Pitch said:

A two time TJ surgery recipient, thrice traded, once released, pitcher is pretty much the epitome of a retread.  This one will cost 17 mil a year for the next four years.  

Right?  He could qualify even as a Three-tread...

Maybe he figured it out but we'd have to outbid the Red Sox to see if he wasn't anything other than his career 96 ERA+ says he is...

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5 minutes ago, mulwin444 said:

Right?  He could qualify even as a Three-tread...

Maybe he figured it out but we'd have to outbid the Red Sox to see if he wasn't anything other than his career 96 ERA+ says he is...

Legal warning:

You are not allowed to say "three-tread" with the expressed written consent of (and subsequent compensation for the use thereof to) Pat Riley.

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9 minutes ago, Lou said:

I had 4/68.5, so no. 

 

 

Angelsjunky

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  On 11/1/2018 at 3:09 PM, Angelsfan1984 said:

Eovaldi 3 years 30 million

 

  On 11/1/2018 at 3:48 PM, Torridd said:

Eovaldi 3 years - 27 mil.

 

  On 11/1/2018 at 4:09 PM, m0nkey said:

Angels sign Eovaldi 3 years $45 million

 

  On 11/1/2018 at 4:10 PM, Hubs said:

Angels sign Nate Eovaldi, 4/52 M.

 

  On 11/1/2018 at 9:39 PM, Second Base said:

Angels sign Nate Eovaldi 4 years 52 million - Eppler liked him in 2012, 2015 and will now get him in 2018, but it'll cost more than you think. 

 

  On 11/1/2018 at 9:54 PM, Tank said:

sign eovaldi for 3/45.

 

  On 11/2/2018 at 12:05 AM, SlappyUtilityMIF said:

1. Sp - Eovaldi 4/65

 

  On 11/2/2018 at 7:39 AM, Cdaniel said:

- Sign Nathan Eovaldi 4yrs/$60 M

 

A few things to note. One, notice how many people are predicting the Angels land Eovaldi. I'm guessing this is happening on fan sites across the interwebs. Secondly, the predictions are way too low, or at least they start that way. They gradually increase and the last two are probably closer to probably truth, but also still low. Slappy's might be about right.

Eovaldi is going to be overpaid due to his WS performance. There's always a recency and WS bias. Furthermore, due to the lack of great free agent starters and the fact that teams are going to be bargain hunting beyond Corbin/Keuchel, Eovaldi--and other mid-range starters--are going to go up in price. Hopefully Eppler remembers that this is a guy who was relatively mediocre for years before missing over a year, and then coming back better than before but he's still only started 21 games, and at a #3 level. Maybe he improves a bit more, but I wouldn't play more than 4/$60MM--and that seems like an overpay--and I think he'll get more from someone due to the factors I mention above.

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Teams are not paying for what you did in the past. How many times when a player has a good year but the peripherals suggest that he will regress, like a high BABIP, people say the good year doesn't matter and he's not worth the money. But fans never look at the inverse of that statement, which is where the future #'s are better than the past #'s. Therefore player X deserves money based on the future value regardless of what he did in the past.

The fact of the matter is, what Eovaldi did in the past is pretty much irrelevant to GMs. They are paying for essentially player's Steamer/Pecota/etc. projection numbers. Not what the back of the baseball card stat lines say. Teams are paying for what the analytics are predicting you will do in the future. Eovaldi has #5 starter career stats, who cares? The GM's don't. 

If we nitpick and say we don't want to spend money, we'll be left with the same stable of arms we had last year, which will obviously not be good. 

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6 hours ago, eligrba said:

The Red Sux are paying 4 starting pitchers a total of 83 million for 2019......and will still owe Panda 23 million, and Many Ramirez 2 million, and a guy named Rusney Castillo 11 million dollars.

 

I don't think they care.

Oh yeah, they have four championships rings and 10 playoff appearances since we won in 2002. 

It Facking sucks!!!

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1 hour ago, IheartLA said:

Teams are not paying for what you did in the past. How many times when a player has a good year but the peripherals suggest that he will regress, like a high BABIP, people say the good year doesn't matter and he's not worth the money. But fans never look at the inverse of that statement, which is where the future #'s are better than the past #'s. Therefore player X deserves money based on the future value regardless of what he did in the past.

The fact of the matter is, what Eovaldi did in the past is pretty much irrelevant to GMs. They are paying for essentially player's Steamer/Pecota/etc. projection numbers. Not what the back of the baseball card stat lines say. Teams are paying for what the analytics are predicting you will do in the future. Eovaldi has #5 starter career stats, who cares? The GM's don't. 

If we nitpick and say we don't want to spend money, we'll be left with the same stable of arms we had last year, which will obviously not be good. 

Or you could spend $17 million a year for a number 5 starter. 

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