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Anyone who has closely followed baseball, especially since the second WC was established, knows that it isn't the # of games back that is the important #, but the number of TEAMS ahead of you.

Right now there are 2 teams ahead of the Angels for the 2nd WC, with Cleveland only 1/2 game behind, and Seattle (yes Seattle) and TB just behind them.

 

After last nights loss, Baseball Prospectus gives the Angels a whopping 5.9% chance at the 2nd WC.

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Anyone who has closely followed baseball, especially since the second WC was established, knows that it isn't the # of games back that is the important #, but the number of TEAMS ahead of you.

Right now there are 2 teams ahead of the Angels for the 2nd WC, with Cleveland only 1/2 game behind, and Seattle (yes Seattle) and TB just behind them.

 

After last nights loss, Baseball Prospectus gives the Angels a whopping 5.9% chance at the 2nd WC.

 

Thanks for that info.  I knew since multiple teams are involved that our chances weren't good.  Didn't know it was 6%.

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http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/standings/probability.jsp?ymd=20150917


Postseason probabilities are courtesy of Baseball Prospectus and indicate each team's probability of winning the division or wild card, or any postseason berth. Probabilities are based on thousands of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season schedule incorporating each team's year-to-date run differential, current roster composition, playing time projections and remaining schedule.

Edited by Homebrewer
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