Thoroughbred Racing

[gotbeer]

@Lou  @Tank  Overhead view of the last turn.  Pretty good view of everything that happened.

 

[Tank]

that was a brilliant view, and it really showed things you can't always see from the side view.

 

i was at disneyland with my 8th graders the last three days. because of my knees i had to rent a scooter. i felt like i was in the middle of the kentucky derby trying to avoid all of the idiots that were in my way. i kept picturing this race specifically.

[Barf]

Planning a trip to Colonial Downs in July. First time I will see racing in person. Can't wait!

Edited May 12, 2022 by Barf

[WicketMaiden]

1 hour ago, Barf said:

Planning a trip to Colonial Downs in July. First time I will see racing in person. Can't wait!

A day at the races is brilliant fun, it's one of my favourite past-times. Horse racing is pretty big over here. I always end up in a nice little routine of first getting a beer, then checking out the horses I've short-listed the night before in the parade ring, then I lay my bet, then watch the race, then collect winnings or tear up betting slip, then it's time for another beer and a look at the horses for the next race and the routine starts over. Pretty tipsy by the final race.

Best advice I can offer is to decide how much per race you want to bet, then keep all of that money in a particular pocket. If you get any wins, they go into the wallet, not the betting pocket. It stops you from getting carried away and wasting a load of $$$ on bad bets late in the day, once you're a bit drunk on either alcohol, winning, or the sheer high of the crowd on a racing day. Hope you have a great time, chap.

 

[Lou]

Rich Strike skipping the Preakness.

[gotbeer]

5 hours ago, Lou said:

Rich Strike skipping the Preakness.

Kentucky Derby winner Rich Strike not running in Preakness

I kind of agree.  No sense in putting your horse in harm if you don't have to.  Especially with a horse that has far exceeded expectations.  If it was a million dollar horse, chasing the huge breeding rights, then I see it.  But as a claimer, he's going to be like California Chrome.  No matter how much he wins, the "breeding" pedigree won't be there.

[Tank]

10 hours ago, Lou said:

Rich Strike skipping the Preakness.

That’s unfortunate.

I hope he never runs at Santa Anita. 

[WicketMaiden]

Check out today's Epsom Derby if you can find video, Desert Crown comes from 5th / 6th at the 3 furlong out marker and just absolutely destroys the field. It was like watching a Ferrari in a Porsche race. Incredible performance in a race of that calibre.

[Lou]

 

[WicketMaiden]

1 hour ago, Lou said:

 

Thanks!

[Tank]

did they run the preakness yet? if so, i can't remember less coverage of a triple crown race in my life. and what about the belmont?

[Lou]

1 minute ago, Tank said:

did they run the preakness yet? if so, i can't remember less coverage of a triple crown race in my life. and what about the belmont?

Preakness - yes

Belmont - Saturday

[katie]

The SD fair begins tomorrow. That means Del Mar racing starts in about a month and a week

[desiderata]

I actually went to Belmont yesterday, was decent enough time.  Won some, lost some, but wife got excited during Belmont Stakes as our exacta box hit which was fun to see because she is not the gambling type, while I am a high functioning degenerate. 

[gotbeer]

Alright degenerates.  Who do you have for the Derby?

My losers are Angel of Empire as my top pick.  Forte second pick.  Reincarnate as a slop longshot.

Tickets are probably going to be:

Oaks/Derby double Wet Paint, Botanical with Forte, Angel of Empire, Reincarnate $6

Derby

Exacta Angel of Empire/Forte Box $2

Exacta Angel of Empire/Reincarnate Box $2

Exacta Angel of Empire/All $19

Exacta All/Angel of Empire $19

Trifecta Forte/All/Angel of Empire $9.50

Trifecta All/Forte/Angel of Empire $9.50

Win/Place/Show Reincarnate $6

So there is confirmation on who not to bet on.

 

[Adam]

WTF GB

[gotbeer]

53 minutes ago, Adam said:

WTF GB

I know.  What I'm hoping for is Angel of Empire coming in first or second, and a bomber.  But both Angel of Empire and Forte look good in their last few races.  Also, what I like about Angel of Empire is that Flavian Pratt was on Angel of Empire and Kingsbarns for their last wins, and chose Angel of Empire.

Reincarnate is my slop longshot.  Watch his last slop race, the Rebel at Oaklawn.  He was charging, then got sandwhiched hard by two horses, and to just really stop all his momentum completely got cut off by a third horse for good measure.  And he still broke to the outside and was charging and finished in 3rd.  

[Adam]

I rarely ever play any chalk but Forte feels like Nyquist and 2023 feels like a Nyquist year. The post draw was absolutely perfect for him. My opinion is that he is the best horse and has the ideal scenario to get a great trip. There are only a handful of horses that look like true 10F horses.

The only other horses who could possibly beat Forte are Tapit Trice (he may just be the most talented horse. Unlike Forte, he got an absolutely brutal draw as he loves being outside. If you watch his replays he does everything he can as early as he can to get outside of horses. But if he somehow manages to get a trip, I could see him being better in stretch than anyone else.) Angel of Empire has stepped forward each race and while he looks slower than Forte he could take another step forward, while it looks like Forte is what he is. The Jap horse - who the fuck knows. So I will have 1 tri ticket with 5,14,17 / 15 / Bombs but most of my play will be Forte over Disarm, Skinner, Two Phil's and Sun Thunder.

[Adam]

Santin looks like the reincarnation of Divisdero in the Turf. Won this race last year and another stake at Churchill later in the year. 

The Oaks looks narrow - 4,7 = A's, 6,14 = B's, 2,10 = C's

Oaks - Turf - Derby Pick 3

$10 4,7 / 8 / 15

$5 6,14 / 8 / 15

$1 2,10 / 8 / 15

[Adam]

We have Softball, a Travel Tournament and Little League Gala so I'll be getting all my action in on Friday afternoon

[Lou]

3 hours ago, Adam said:

Little League Gala

Oh, I knew him when...

[Tank]

16 hours ago, Lou said:

Oh, I knew him when...

i'll bet he was in the first batch of subscribers to Disney+ also.

[Lou]

33 minutes ago, Tank said:

i'll bet he was in the first batch of subscribers to Disney+ also.

What's Disney+ ?

[Adam]

17 hours ago, Lou said:

Oh, I knew him when...

It's the Dad's Home Run Derby. I gotta hit some nukes homey

[Lou]

3 minutes ago, Adam said:

It's the Dad's Home Run Derby. I gotta hit some nukes homey

Oh, I thought it was a black-tie affair.